Chattanooga vs Philadelphia Union II: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Chattanooga - Philadelphia Union II
Result
0:1 penalties
03/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Chattanooga - Philadelphia Union II - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.440.74
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
71% (289/405)78% (327/420)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.440.74
xG on target (xGOT)
0.920.25
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
67
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
148
Shots outside the Box
06
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
2718
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1410
Passes
71% (289/405)78% (327/420)
Long passes
47% (42/90)56% (27/48)
Passes in final third
47% (48/103)66% (81/123)
Crosses
44% (4/9)11% (2/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.930.80
Throw-ins
3123
Fouls
1014
Tackles
79% (15/19)55% (6/11)
Duels won
3939
Clearances
2016
Interceptions
1114
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
0.250.92
Goals prevented
0.250.92

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Naglestad M. , Kwak Min-Jae ,
  • 46', Olney C. , Bernstein H. ,
  • 66', Robertson T. 🟨,
  • 68', Olivas S. , Korzeniowski S. ,
  • 76', LeBlanc K. , Soria L. ,
  • 83', Dudley E. , Brown L. ,
  • 85', Vazquez D. , Sequera G. ,
  • 85', Pierre N. , Benitez O. ,
  • Penalties (8 - 9)
  • 1, Pariano N. (Pen),
  • 1, Robertson T. (Pen),
  • 2, Korzeniowski S. (Pen),
  • 2, Kwak Min-Jae (Pen),
  • 3, LeFlore I. (Pen),
  • 3, Mendonca N. (Pen),
  • 4, Uzcategui R. (Pen),
  • 4, Plougmand P. (Pen),
  • 5, Soria L. (Pen),
  • 5, Watson C. (Pen),
  • 6, Sequera G. (Pen),
  • 6, Mangarov D. (Pen),
  • 7, Bernstein H. (Pen),
  • 7, Brown L. (Pen),
  • 8, Davis E. (Pen),
  • 8, Sar-Sar F. (Pen),
  • 9, Wetzel G. (Pen),
  • 9, Ancelin K. (Pen),
  • 10, Benitez O. (Pen),
  • 10, Koehler N. (Pen),
  • 11, Rick A. (Pen),
  • 11, Jakupovic E. (Pen),
  • 12, Pariano N. (Pen),
  • 12, Robertson T. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Chattanooga
38.4%
Draw
25%
Philadelphia Union II
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.6% 25.1% 43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31% 24.6% 44.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chattanooga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chattanooga's performance.
  • Philadelphia Union II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Philadelphia Union II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chattanooga than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chattanooga that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union II than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Philadelphia Union II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Chattanooga - Philadelphia Union II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (2.92)
    3.71
    (3.68)
    2.52
    (2.13)
    8.1%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Philadelphia II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chattanooga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chattanooga - Philadelphia Union II were as follows:
    11.07.2024 Philadelphia Union II - Chattanooga 3:1
    Latest results of Chattanooga
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2161012339:2834
    2Philadelphia Union II14742133:1131
    3Chicago Fire II15722428:2427
    4New England Revolution II14541421:1824
    5New York City II16523630:3322
    6Toronto FC II15603616:2321
    7Cincinnati 215260715:2318
    8Columbus Crew 214312814:2613


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga16822424:2130
    2Huntsville14632329:1726
    3Orlando City B16621723:2923
    4Crown Legacy15334523:2719
    5Inter Miami II16502925:3517
    6Carolina Core15324620:2117
    7Atlanta United 213224519:2314


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County16911530:2430
    2Vancouver Whitecaps 216630735:3124
    3Tacoma Defiance14620634:3222
    4Real Monarchs13523325:2222
    5Town FC13522428:1821
    6Portland Timbers 215512726:3119
    7Los Angeles FC II15511823:3118


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2161110432:2235
    2Colorado Rapids 217803628:2627
    3North Texas16721628:3126
    4Austin FC II15533417:1624
    5Houston Dynamo 216531722:2322
    6Minnesota 214602623:2020
    7Sporting Kansas City II14013109:335


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2161012339:2834
    2Philadelphia Union II14742133:1131
    3Chattanooga16822424:2130
    4Chicago Fire II15722428:2427
    5Huntsville14632329:1726
    6New England Revolution II14541421:1824
    7Orlando City B16621723:2923
    8New York City II16523630:3322
    9Toronto FC II15603616:2321
    10Crown Legacy15334523:2719
    11Cincinnati 215260715:2318
    12Inter Miami II16502925:3517
    13Carolina Core15324620:2117
    14Atlanta United 213224519:2314
    15Columbus Crew 214312814:2613


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2161110432:2235
    2Ventura County16911530:2430
    3Colorado Rapids 217803628:2627
    4North Texas16721628:3126
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 216630735:3124
    6Austin FC II15533417:1624
    7Tacoma Defiance14620634:3222
    8Real Monarchs13523325:2222
    9Houston Dynamo 216531722:2322
    10Town FC13522428:1821
    11Minnesota 214602623:2020
    12Portland Timbers 215512726:3119
    13Los Angeles FC II15511823:3118
    14Sporting Kansas City II14013109:335

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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