Result
1:4 ET
07/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- US Open Cup - 1/16-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Usa | CBS, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.98 | 2.76 |
Ball Possession |
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37% | 63% |
Total shots |
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5 | 21 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 11 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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2 | 14 |
Passes |
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80% (338/425) | 87% (619/708) |
Yellow Cards |
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6 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.98 | 2.76 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.16 | 4.58 |
Total shots |
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5 | 21 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 11 |
Shots off target |
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0 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
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1 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
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3 | 17 |
Shots outside the Box |
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2 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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2 | 14 |
Touches in opposition box |
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11 | 38 |
Accurate through passes |
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1 | 0 |
Offsides |
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3 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
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19 | 24 |
Passes |
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80% (338/425) | 87% (619/708) |
Long passes |
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54% (31/57) | 46% (19/41) |
Passes in final third |
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46% (36/79) | 81% (163/202) |
Crosses |
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18% (2/11) | 42% (16/38) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.40 | 2.32 |
Throw-ins |
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25 | 34 |
Fouls |
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24 | 19 |
Tackles |
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58% (7/12) | 41% (7/17) |
Duels won |
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48 | 59 |
Clearances |
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24 | 22 |
Interceptions |
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8 | 13 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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7 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
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4.58 | 1.16 |
Goals prevented |
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0.58 | 0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Felipe Andrade ⚽, Lodeiro N. (A),
- 24', Johnson D. 🟨,
- 45+2', Gillingham B. 🟨,
- 45+4', 1 - 1, Formella D. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Ortiz P. ↓, Awodesu F. ↑,
- 50', Smith C. 🟨,
- 52', Kowalczyk S. 🟨,
- 56', Duenas E. 🟨,
- 63', Duenas E. ↓, McGlynn J. ↑,
- 63', Segal G. ↓, Raines B. ↑,
- 63', Artur ↓, Ponce E. ↑,
- 64', Montgomery B. 🟨,
- 65', Cuello E. 🟨,
- 69', Johnson D. ↓, Rivera D. ↑,
- 70', Okello N. 🟨,
- 81', Lodeiro N. ↓, Lingr O. ↑,
- Extra Time (0 - 3)
- 91', Cuello E. ↓, Flood R. ↑,
- 91', Felipe Andrade ↓, Steres D. ↑,
- 99', 1 - 2, McGlynn J. ⚽, Raines B. (A),
- 105', Okello N. ↓, Ping J. ↑,
- 106', Ping J. 🟨,
- 112', 1 - 3, Ponce E. ⚽, Lingr O. (A),
- 115', 1 - 4, Kowalczyk S. ⚽, Lingr O. (A),
- 116', Sainte C. F. ↓, Kowall C. ↑,
- 116', Montgomery B. ↓, Araneda A. ↑,
- 117', Ponce E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Phoenix Rising 22.5% | Draw 25.3% | Houston Dynamo 52.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Houston Dynamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Houston Dynamo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Phoenix Rising - Houston Dynamo Odds
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1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.15 ↑ (3.45) |
3.68 ↑ (3.36) |
1.78 ↓ (1.95) |
7.5% (10.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Phoenix Rising - Houston Dynamo?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Houston (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Houston is considered a favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Phoenix Rising won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Phoenix Rising won against Houston Dynamo?
Phoenix Rising has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Houston Dynamo won against Phoenix Rising?
Houston Dynamo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Phoenix Rising - Houston Dynamo were as follows:
Latest results of Phoenix Rising
Latest results of Houston Dynamo
Draw
20251/128-finals1 | Louisville City | Bye | |
3 | West Chester Utd | Loudoun | 2 : 3 |
4 | Richmond Kickers | Virginia Dream | 1 : 3 |
8 | Bye | Minnesota United | |
9 | St. Louis City | Bye | |
13 | Sporting Kansas City II | Menace | 1 : 2 |
14 | Flatirons | Union Omaha | 1 : 2 |
16 | Bye | San Antonio | |
17 | Hartford Athletic | New York Shockers | 3 : 0 |
18 | Portland Hearts of Pine | Faialense | 4 : 0 |
20 | Bye | Rhode Island | |
24 | Bye | New England Revolution | |
25 | Chicago Fire | Bye | |
29 | Detroit | Bye | |
31 | Motown | Westchester SC | |
32 | Cincinnati 2 | New York Pancyprian | 0 : 1 |
33 | Tacoma Defiance | Washington AC | 3 : 1 |
34 | Ballard | Spokane Velocity | 0 : 1 |
36 | Bye | Oakland Roots | |
40 | Bye | Portland Timbers | |
41 | Sacramento Republic | Bye | |
43 | Monterey Bay | International SF | 4 : 0 |
44 | Real Monarchs | El Farolito | 1 : 3 |
48 | Bye | San Jose Earthquakes | |
49 | Forward Madison | Duluth FC | 5 : 1 |
50 | Tulsa Athletic | FC Tulsa | 0 : 1 |
52 | Bye | Phoenix Rising | |
56 | Bye | Houston Dynamo | |
57 | Austin FC | Bye | |
61 | New Mexico | Bye | |
63 | Ventura County | Laguna United | 7 : 0 |
64 | El Paso | Harpos | 5 : 1 |
65 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
69 | Indy Eleven | Bye | |
71 | Inter Miami II | Miami United | 4 : 2 |
72 | Miami FC | Naples United | 4 : 1 |
73 | Columbus Crew 2 | NY Renegades | 4 : 1 |
74 | Lexington | Southern Indiana | 5 : 0 |
76 | Bye | Pittsburgh | |
80 | Bye | New York City | |
81 | Colorado Springs | Bye | |
83 | Asheville City | Greenville | 0 : 1 |
84 | Appalachian | One Knoxville | 0 : 3 |
88 | Bye | New York Red Bulls | |
89 | FC Dallas | Bye | |
93 | AV Alta | Ventura | 3 : 1 |
94 | Los Angeles FC II | Arizona FC | 7 : 1 |
96 | Bye | Orange County SC | |
97 | Sarasota Paradise | FC Naples | 1 : 2 |
98 | Little Rock Rangers | Birmingham | 1 : 0 |
100 | Bye | Tampa Bay | |
104 | Bye | Orlando City | |
105 | Nashville SC | Bye | |
109 | Las Vegas Lights | Bye | |
111 | Chattanooga | Corpus Christi FC | 1 : 0 |
112 | New Jersey Alliance | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 2 : 3 |
113 | Long Island | Charlotte Independ. | 2 : 3 |
114 | Carolina Core | Soda City | 4 : 2 |
116 | Bye | North Carolina | |
120 | Bye | Charlotte | |
121 | DC United | Bye | |
125 | Charleston | Bye | |
127 | Tormenta | Harbor City | 3 : 0 |
128 | Texoma | Foro | 1 : 2 |
1/64-finals1 | Louisville City | Bye | |
2 | Loudoun | Virginia Dream | 4 : 2 |
4 | Bye | Minnesota United | |
5 | St. Louis City | Bye | |
7 | Menace | Union Omaha | 1 : 2 |
8 | Bye | San Antonio | |
9 | Hartford Athletic | Portland Hearts of Pine | 1 : 2 |
10 | Bye | Rhode Island | |
12 | Bye | New England Revolution | |
13 | Chicago Fire | Bye | |
15 | Detroit | Bye | |
16 | Westchester SC | New York Pancyprian | 3 : 2 |
17 | Tacoma Defiance | Spokane Velocity | 2 : 1 |
18 | Bye | Oakland Roots | |
20 | Bye | Portland Timbers | |
21 | Sacramento Republic | Bye | |
22 | Monterey Bay | El Farolito | 1 : 2 |
24 | Bye | San Jose Earthquakes | |
25 | Forward Madison | FC Tulsa | 1 : 3 |
26 | Bye | Phoenix Rising | |
28 | Bye | Houston Dynamo | |
29 | Austin FC | Bye | |
31 | New Mexico | Bye | |
32 | Ventura County | El Paso | 0 : 3 |
33 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
35 | Indy Eleven | Bye | |
36 | Inter Miami II | Miami FC | 0 : 1 |
37 | Columbus Crew 2 | Lexington | 3 : 0 |
38 | Bye | Pittsburgh | |
40 | Bye | New York City | |
41 | Colorado Springs | Bye | |
42 | Greenville | One Knoxville | 1 : 3 |
44 | Bye | New York Red Bulls | |
45 | FC Dallas | Bye | |
47 | AV Alta | Los Angeles FC II | 2 : 1 |
48 | Bye | Orange County SC | |
49 | FC Naples | Little Rock Rangers | 3 : 0 |
50 | Bye | Tampa Bay | |
52 | Bye | Orlando City | |
53 | Nashville SC | Bye | |
55 | Las Vegas Lights | Bye | |
56 | Chattanooga | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1 : 2 |
57 | Charlotte Independ. | Carolina Core | 2 : 1 |
58 | Bye | North Carolina | |
60 | Bye | Charlotte | |
61 | DC United | Bye | |
63 | Charleston | Bye | |
64 | Tormenta | Foro | 3 : 2 |
1/32-finals1 | Louisville City | Loudoun | 2 : 1 |
2 | Bye | Minnesota United | |
3 | St. Louis City | Bye | |
4 | Union Omaha | San Antonio | 1 : 0 |
5 | Portland Hearts of Pine | Rhode Island | 1 : 2 |
6 | Bye | New England Revolution | |
7 | Chicago Fire | Bye | |
8 | Detroit | Westchester SC | 3 : 1 |
9 | Tacoma Defiance | Oakland Roots | 2 : 1 |
10 | Bye | Portland Timbers | |
11 | Sacramento Republic | El Farolito | 1 : 0 |
12 | Bye | San Jose Earthquakes | |
13 | FC Tulsa | Phoenix Rising | 1 : 2 |
14 | Bye | Houston Dynamo | |
15 | Austin FC | Bye | |
16 | New Mexico | El Paso | 2 : 3 |
17 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
18 | Indy Eleven | Miami FC | 1 : 0 |
19 | Columbus Crew 2 | Pittsburgh | 0 : 1 |
20 | Bye | New York City | |
21 | Colorado Springs | One Knoxville | 3 : 2 |
22 | Bye | New York Red Bulls | |
23 | FC Dallas | Bye | |
24 | AV Alta | Orange County SC | 3 : 2 |
25 | FC Naples | Tampa Bay | 1 : 2 |
26 | Bye | Orlando City | |
27 | Nashville SC | Bye | |
28 | Las Vegas Lights | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 2 : 3 |
29 | Charlotte Independ. | North Carolina | 1 : 3 |
30 | Bye | Charlotte | |
31 | DC United | Bye | |
32 | Charleston | Tormenta | 4 : 0 |
1/16-finals1 | Louisville City | Minnesota United | 0 : 1 |
2 | St. Louis City | Union Omaha | 2 : 0 |
3 | Rhode Island | New England Revolution | 1 : 2 |
4 | Chicago Fire | Detroit | 4 : 0 |
5 | Tacoma Defiance | Portland Timbers | 2 : 3 |
6 | Sacramento Republic | San Jose Earthquakes | 1 : 2 |
7 | Phoenix Rising | Houston Dynamo | 1 : 4 |
8 | Austin FC | El Paso | 3 : 2 |
9 | Philadelphia Union | Indy Eleven | 2 : 1 |
10 | Pittsburgh | New York City | 1 : 0 |
11 | Colorado Springs | New York Red Bulls | 1 : 4 |
12 | FC Dallas | AV Alta | 3 : 1 |
13 | Tampa Bay | Orlando City | 0 : 5 |
14 | Nashville SC | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1 : 0 |
15 | North Carolina | Charlotte | 1 : 4 |
16 | DC United | Charleston | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals1 | Minnesota United | St. Louis City | 3 : 2 |
2 | New England Revolution | Chicago Fire | 1 : 3 |
3 | Portland Timbers | San Jose Earthquakes | 0 : 1 |
4 | Houston Dynamo | Austin FC | 1 : 3 |
5 | Philadelphia Union | Pittsburgh | 4 : 1 |
6 | New York Red Bulls | FC Dallas | 3 : 2 |
7 | Orlando City | Nashville SC | 2 : 3 |
8 | Charlotte | DC United | 3 : 4 |
Quarter-finals1 | Minnesota United | Chicago Fire | 3 : 1 |
2 | San Jose Earthquakes | Austin FC | 2 : 3 |
3 | Philadelphia Union | New York Red Bulls | |
4 | Nashville SC | DC United | 5 : 2 |
Semi-finals1 | Minnesota United | Austin FC | |
2 | TBD #3 | Nashville SC | |
Final