Phoenix Rising vs Houston Dynamo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4 ET
07/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • US Open Cup - 1/16-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.982.76
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
521
Shots on target
411
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
214
Passes
80% (338/425)87% (619/708)
Yellow Cards
64
Expected Goals (xG)
0.982.76
xG on target (xGOT)
1.164.58
Total shots
521
Shots on target
411
Shots off target
05
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
317
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
214
Touches in opposition box
1138
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1924
Passes
80% (338/425)87% (619/708)
Long passes
54% (31/57)46% (19/41)
Passes in final third
46% (36/79)81% (163/202)
Crosses
18% (2/11)42% (16/38)
Expected assists (xA)
0.402.32
Throw-ins
2534
Fouls
2419
Tackles
58% (7/12)41% (7/17)
Duels won
4859
Clearances
2422
Interceptions
813
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
73
xGOT faced
4.581.16
Goals prevented
0.580.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Felipe Andrade , Lodeiro N. (A),
  • 24', Johnson D. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Gillingham B. 🟨,
  • 45+4', 1 - 1, Formella D. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Ortiz P. , Awodesu F. ,
  • 50', Smith C. 🟨,
  • 52', Kowalczyk S. 🟨,
  • 56', Duenas E. 🟨,
  • 63', Duenas E. , McGlynn J. ,
  • 63', Segal G. , Raines B. ,
  • 63', Artur , Ponce E. ,
  • 64', Montgomery B. 🟨,
  • 65', Cuello E. 🟨,
  • 69', Johnson D. , Rivera D. ,
  • 70', Okello N. 🟨,
  • 81', Lodeiro N. , Lingr O. ,
  • Extra Time (0 - 3)
  • 91', Cuello E. , Flood R. ,
  • 91', Felipe Andrade , Steres D. ,
  • 99', 1 - 2, McGlynn J. , Raines B. (A),
  • 105', Okello N. , Ping J. ,
  • 106', Ping J. 🟨,
  • 112', 1 - 3, Ponce E. , Lingr O. (A),
  • 115', 1 - 4, Kowalczyk S. , Lingr O. (A),
  • 116', Sainte C. F. , Kowall C. ,
  • 116', Montgomery B. , Araneda A. ,
  • 117', Ponce E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Phoenix Rising
22.5%
Draw
25.3%
Houston Dynamo
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.4% 27% 46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5% 26% 48.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Houston Dynamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Houston Dynamo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Phoenix Rising - Houston Dynamo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.15
    (3.45)
    3.68
    (3.36)
    1.78
    (1.95)
    7.5%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Phoenix Rising - Houston Dynamo?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Houston (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Houston is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Phoenix Rising won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    Latest results of Phoenix Rising
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo
    Draw
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