Las Vegas Lights vs Phoenix Rising – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising
Result
0:1
28/05/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS, ESPN App, ESPN+, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.800.56
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
205
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
114
Passes
84% (310/367)84% (247/295)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.800.56
xG on target (xGOT)
1.420.70
Total shots
205
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
110
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
114
Touches in opposition box
1614
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1417
Passes
84% (310/367)84% (247/295)
Long passes
68% (59/87)41% (13/32)
Passes in final third
69% (71/103)60% (50/83)
Crosses
17% (4/23)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.650.67
Throw-ins
2118
Fouls
1714
Tackles
57% (4/7)67% (6/9)
Duels won
2937
Clearances
1127
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.701.42
Goals prevented
-0.301.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 23', Leal P. 🟨,
  • 24', 0 - 1, Okello N. , Avayevu H. (A),
  • 26', Sacko I. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Cabral R. , Johnson D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 67', Peeters D. , Covil V. ,
  • 75', Gyau J. , Pearson C. ,
  • 75', Sacko I. , Traore M. ,
  • 75', Formella D. , Margaritha J. ,
  • 78', Covil V. 🟨,
  • 80', Leal P. , Pickering N. ,
  • 81', Nigro G. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Scearce J. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Noel V. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Las Vegas Lights
34.3%
Draw
27.3%
Phoenix Rising
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.3% 28.5% 32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 27.7% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Las Vegas Lights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Phoenix Rising's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Las Vegas Lights, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Phoenix Rising, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.7
    (2.25)
    3.39
    (3.1)
    2.41
    (2.75)
    8.1%
    (13.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Las Vegas (votes: 1 - 50%). Phoenix Rising (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Phoenix Rising may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Las Vegas has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:47. (average 1.4:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Las Vegas won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1.8:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Phoenix Rising - Las Vegas Lights 1:2
    01.06.2024 Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising 0:0
    26.08.2023 Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising 2:3
    26.05.2023 Phoenix Rising - Las Vegas Lights 0:1
    Latest results of Phoenix Rising
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City19135138:152344
    2Charleston19132439:201941
    3North Carolina1993729:26330
    4Loudoun1984728:27128
    5Pittsburgh1976618:16227
    6Detroit2067722:24-225
    7Hartford Athletic1864825:22322
    8Rhode Island2056915:20-521
    9Indy Eleven1855827:32-520
    10Miami FC1955917:27-1020
    11Birmingham2047923:32-919
    12Tampa Bay18521121:28-717


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa19115335:221338
    2Sacramento Republic1886426:131330
    3San Antonio1884625:25028
    4El Paso1876530:25527
    5New Mexico1781824:26-225
    6Orange County SC1773727:24324
    7Colorado Springs1866624:24024
    8Phoenix Rising1966730:35-524
    9Monterey Bay20641021:27-622
    10Lexington1957720:26-622
    11Oakland Roots18621020:27-720
    12Las Vegas Lights19541014:35-2119

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )