Result
0:1
28/05/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | CBS, ESPN App, ESPN+, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (310/367) | 84% (247/295) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (310/367) | 84% (247/295) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 68% (59/87) | 41% (13/32) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (71/103) | 60% (50/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/23) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 29 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.30 | 1.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 23', Leal P. 🟨,
- 24', 0 - 1, Okello N. ⚽, Avayevu H. (A),
- 26', Sacko I. 🟨,
- 45+5', Cabral R. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 67', Peeters D. ↓, Covil V. ↑,
- 75', Gyau J. ↓, Pearson C. ↑,
- 75', Sacko I. ↓, Traore M. ↑,
- 75', Formella D. ↓, Margaritha J. ↑,
- 78', Covil V. 🟨,
- 80', Leal P. ↓, Pickering N. ↑,
- 81', Nigro G. 🟨,
- 90+2', Scearce J. 🟨,
- 90+5', Noel V. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Las Vegas Lights
34.3% | Draw
27.3% | Phoenix Rising
38.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Las Vegas Lights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Phoenix Rising's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Las Vegas Lights, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Phoenix Rising, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.7 ↑
(2.25) |
3.39 ↑
(3.1) |
2.41 ↓
(2.75) |
8.1%
(13.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Las Vegas (votes: 1 - 50%). Phoenix Rising (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Phoenix Rising may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Las Vegas has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:47. (average 1.4:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Las Vegas won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1.8:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Las Vegas Lights won against Phoenix Rising?
Las Vegas Lights has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Phoenix Rising won against Las Vegas Lights?
Phoenix Rising has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising were as follows:
28.09.2024
Phoenix Rising
-
Las Vegas Lights
1:2
01.06.2024
Las Vegas Lights
-
Phoenix Rising
0:0
26.08.2023
Las Vegas Lights
-
Phoenix Rising
2:3
26.05.2023
Phoenix Rising
-
Las Vegas Lights
0:1
Latest results of Las Vegas Lights
Latest results of Phoenix Rising
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Charleston | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 38:16 | 22 | 41 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 38 |
| 3 | Loudoun | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 26:24 | 2 | 27 |
| 4 | North Carolina | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 26 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
| 6 | Detroit | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:22 | -2 | 21 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 26:28 | -2 | 20 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 18 |
| 9 | Birmingham | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
| 11 | Tampa Bay | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 17:25 | -8 | 14 |
| 12 | Hartford Athletic | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15:21 | -6 | 13 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 29 |
| 2 | San Antonio | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | 2 | 27 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 22:17 | 5 | 25 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22:12 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Phoenix Rising | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 23 |
| 6 | El Paso | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 23 |
| 7 | Monterey Bay | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
| 8 | Orange County SC | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 22:22 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 20 |
| 10 | Lexington | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 17:23 | -6 | 19 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 13:28 | -15 | 18 |
| 12 | Colorado Springs | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 18 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
