Las Vegas Lights vs Phoenix Rising: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising
Result
0:1
28/05/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.800.56
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
205
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
114
Passes
84% (310/367)84% (247/295)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.800.56
xG on target (xGOT)
1.420.70
Total shots
205
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
110
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
114
Touches in opposition box
1614
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1417
Passes
84% (310/367)84% (247/295)
Long passes
68% (59/87)41% (13/32)
Passes in final third
69% (71/103)60% (50/83)
Crosses
17% (4/23)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.650.67
Throw-ins
2118
Fouls
1714
Tackles
57% (4/7)67% (6/9)
Duels won
2937
Clearances
1127
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.701.42
Goals prevented
-0.301.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 23', Leal P. 🟨,
  • 24', 0 - 1, Okello N. , Avayevu H. (A),
  • 26', Sacko I. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Cabral R. , Johnson D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 67', Peeters D. , Covil V. ,
  • 75', Gyau J. , Pearson C. ,
  • 75', Sacko I. , Traore M. ,
  • 75', Formella D. , Margaritha J. ,
  • 78', Covil V. 🟨,
  • 80', Leal P. , Pickering N. ,
  • 81', Nigro G. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Scearce J. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Noel V. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Las Vegas Lights
34.3%
Draw
27.3%
Phoenix Rising
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.3% 28.5% 32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 27.7% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Las Vegas Lights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Phoenix Rising's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Las Vegas Lights, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Phoenix Rising, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.7
    (2.25)
    3.39
    (3.1)
    2.41
    (2.75)
    8.1%
    (13.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Las Vegas (votes: 1 - 50%). Phoenix Rising (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Phoenix Rising may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Las Vegas has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:47. (average 1.4:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Las Vegas won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1.8:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Phoenix Rising - Las Vegas Lights 1:2
    01.06.2024 Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising 0:0
    26.08.2023 Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising 2:3
    26.05.2023 Phoenix Rising - Las Vegas Lights 0:1
    Latest results of Phoenix Rising
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City15104128:121634
    2Charleston15102332:151732
    3Loudoun1582524:20426
    4North Carolina1372419:14523
    5Detroit1455419:18120
    6Pittsburgh1352611:12-117
    7Miami FC1351713:18-516
    8Rhode Island1443713:16-315
    9Indy Eleven1335520:24-414
    10Birmingham1535715:21-614
    11Tampa Bay1432916:24-811
    12Hartford Athletic1223713:19-69


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New Mexico1381421:14725
    2El Paso1465323:20323
    3FC Tulsa1263315:9621
    4San Antonio1463520:20021
    5Phoenix Rising1455424:24020
    6Monterey Bay1554616:17-119
    7Las Vegas Lights1453610:18-818
    8Orange County SC1352617:20-317
    9Sacramento Republic1345417:12517
    10Colorado Springs1436518:21-315
    11Oakland Roots1442814:23-914
    12Lexington1435615:22-714

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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    mexicoMexicoDisney+
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