Lexington vs Phoenix Rising – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Toyota Stadium (Georgetown, KY).

USL Championship
Referee: Pennington A. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+, TUDN App, TUDN
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.29	0.29
Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
10	5
Shots on target
3	1
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
6	3
Passes
89% (358/403)	90% (366/408)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29	0.29
xG on target (xGOT)
1.42	0.02
Total shots
10	5
Shots on target
3	1
Shots off target
4	3
Blocked Shots
3	1
Shots inside the Box
7	3
Shots outside the Box
3	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
6	3
Touches in opposition box
20	12
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
14	8
Passes
89% (358/403)	90% (366/408)
Long passes
58% (22/38)	67% (31/46)
Passes in final third
81% (109/134)	75% (43/57)
Crosses
27% (6/22)	31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.05	0.53
Throw-ins
18	8
Fouls
7	14
Tackles
71% (10/14)	86% (6/7)
Duels won
43	27
Clearances
12	22
Interceptions
2	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
xGOT faced
0.02	1.42
Goals prevented
0.02	-0.58

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Ajago F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Cuello E. ↓, Flores D. ↑,
56', Sacko I. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
58', Essengue A. 🟨,
66', Okello N. ↓, Scearce J. ↑,
66', Emmers X. ↓, Avayevu H. ↑,
71', Epps M. ↓, Olney C. ↑,
79', 2 - 0, Adedokun M. ⚽, Olney C. (A),
81', Rizzo P. ↓, Cabral R. ↑,
84', Djeffal S. ↓, Williams D. ↑,
84', Ferri B. ↓, Zengue X. ↑,
90+4', Flores D. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Lexington
50.8%

Draw
25%

Phoenix Rising
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

26%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

26.1%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Lexington - Phoenix Rising Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.87)	3.72 ↑ (3.57)	3.84 ↑ (3.77)	7.6% (8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Lexington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Lexington has had a series of away games.
In this match, Lexington is seen as the favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lexington won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Lexington won against Phoenix Rising?

Lexington has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Phoenix Rising won against Lexington?

Phoenix Rising has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lexington - Phoenix Rising were as follows:

04.07.2025 Phoenix Rising - Lexington 0:1

Latest results of Lexington

01.08.2025 Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Lexington 3:1 ✺

26.07.2025 Lexington - Louisville City 1:2 ✺

19.07.2025 Sacramento Republic - Lexington 0:0 ✺

12.07.2025 Miami - Lexington 1:1 ✺

04.07.2025 Phoenix Rising - Lexington 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Phoenix Rising

02.08.2025 Phoenix Rising - Birmingham Legion 3:3 ✺

30.07.2025 Orange County SC - Phoenix Rising 4:1 ✺

19.07.2025 El Paso Locomotive - Phoenix Rising 2:3 ✺

12.07.2025 Oakland Roots - Phoenix Rising 1:2 ✺

04.07.2025 Phoenix Rising - Lexington 0:1 ✺

USL Championship Table

Main

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Louisville City	30	22	7	1	56:19	37	73
2	Charleston	30	19	5	6	62:32	30	62
3	North Carolina	30	13	6	11	40:39	1	45
4	Hartford Athletic	30	13	5	12	48:36	12	44
5	Pittsburgh	30	12	8	10	32:28	4	44
6	Loudoun	30	12	6	12	45:48	-3	42
7	Rhode Island	30	10	8	12	29:29	0	38
8	Detroit	30	9	10	11	33:35	-2	37
9	Indy Eleven	30	10	5	15	44:52	-8	35
10	Tampa Bay	30	9	7	14	43:50	-7	34
11	Miami FC	30	8	6	16	29:44	-15	30
12	Birmingham	30	5	12	13	36:50	-14	27

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Tulsa	30	16	9	5	50:30	20	57
2	New Mexico	30	14	6	10	45:41	4	48
3	Sacramento Republic	30	13	9	8	44:27	17	48
4	El Paso	30	10	11	9	47:45	2	41
5	San Antonio	30	11	7	12	39:38	1	40
6	Phoenix Rising	30	9	13	8	48:48	0	40
7	Orange County SC	30	10	9	11	44:45	-1	39
8	Colorado Springs	30	10	7	13	35:47	-12	37
9	Lexington	30	9	9	12	31:42	-11	36
10	Oakland Roots	30	8	8	14	42:52	-10	32
11	Monterey Bay	30	7	8	15	27:45	-18	29
12	Las Vegas Lights	30	6	9	15	23:50	-27	27

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )