Lexington vs Phoenix Rising – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
09/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Pennington A. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+, TUDN App, TUDN
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.290.29
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
89% (358/403)90% (366/408)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.290.29
xG on target (xGOT)
1.420.02
Total shots
105
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
73
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2012
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
148
Passes
89% (358/403)90% (366/408)
Long passes
58% (22/38)67% (31/46)
Passes in final third
81% (109/134)75% (43/57)
Crosses
27% (6/22)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.050.53
Throw-ins
188
Fouls
714
Tackles
71% (10/14)86% (6/7)
Duels won
4327
Clearances
1222
Interceptions
29
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.021.42
Goals prevented
0.02-0.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 29', 1 - 0, Ajago F. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Cuello E. , Flores D. ,
  • 56', Sacko I. , Johnson D. ,
  • 58', Essengue A. 🟨,
  • 66', Okello N. , Scearce J. ,
  • 66', Emmers X. , Avayevu H. ,
  • 71', Epps M. , Olney C. ,
  • 79', 2 - 0, Adedokun M. , Olney C. (A),
  • 81', Rizzo P. , Cabral R. ,
  • 84', Djeffal S. , Williams D. ,
  • 84', Ferri B. , Zengue X. ,
  • 90+4', Flores D. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Lexington
50.8%
Draw
25%
Phoenix Rising
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.5% 26% 24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7% 26.1% 24.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Lexington - Phoenix Rising Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.87)
    3.72
    (3.57)
    3.84
    (3.77)
    7.6%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Lexington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Lexington has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Lexington is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lexington won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lexington - Phoenix Rising were as follows:
    04.07.2025 Phoenix Rising - Lexington 0:1
    Latest results of Lexington
    Latest results of Phoenix Rising
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tampa Bay541010:3713
    2Louisville City641114:9513
    3Detroit53116:2410
    4Charleston53027:709
    5Miami FC62317:709
    6Hartford Athletic62317:709
    7Indy Eleven52218:628
    8Pittsburgh62138:11-37
    9Brooklyn62045:9-46
    10Rhode Island51227:8-15
    11Birmingham51225:6-15
    12Loudoun50328:11-33
    13Sporting Jax60155:13-81


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC74217:3414
    2El Paso541014:5913
    3San Antonio73315:3212
    4Sacramento Republic62317:439
    5Oakland Roots52217:618
    6New Mexico52035:8-36
    7Phoenix Rising61328:806
    8Colorado Springs51228:9-15
    9Las Vegas Lights61239:11-25
    10Lexington61236:8-25
    11FC Tulsa51224:6-25
    12Monterey Bay60242:9-72

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)