Lexington vs Phoenix Rising – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Lexington - Phoenix Rising
Result
2:0
09/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Pennington A. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+, TUDN App, TUDN
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.290.29
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
89% (358/403)90% (366/408)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.290.29
xG on target (xGOT)
1.420.02
Total shots
105
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
73
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2012
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
148
Passes
89% (358/403)90% (366/408)
Long passes
58% (22/38)67% (31/46)
Passes in final third
81% (109/134)75% (43/57)
Crosses
27% (6/22)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.050.53
Throw-ins
188
Fouls
714
Tackles
71% (10/14)86% (6/7)
Duels won
4327
Clearances
1222
Interceptions
29
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.021.42
Goals prevented
0.02-0.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 29', 1 - 0, Ajago F. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Cuello E. , Flores D. ,
  • 56', Sacko I. , Johnson D. ,
  • 58', Essengue A. 🟨,
  • 66', Okello N. , Scearce J. ,
  • 66', Emmers X. , Avayevu H. ,
  • 71', Epps M. , Olney C. ,
  • 79', 2 - 0, Adedokun M. , Olney C. (A),
  • 81', Rizzo P. , Cabral R. ,
  • 84', Djeffal S. , Williams D. ,
  • 84', Ferri B. , Zengue X. ,
  • 90+4', Flores D. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Lexington
50.8%
Draw
25%
Phoenix Rising
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.5% 26% 24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7% 26.1% 24.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Lexington - Phoenix Rising Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.87)
    3.72
    (3.57)
    3.84
    (3.77)
    7.6%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Lexington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Lexington has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Lexington is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lexington won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lexington - Phoenix Rising were as follows:
    04.07.2025 Phoenix Rising - Lexington 0:1
    Latest results of Lexington
    Latest results of Phoenix Rising
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 27206154:193566
    2Charleston ✔ 26174554:292555
    3North Carolina271251039:37241
    4Loudoun271161043:45-239
    5Hartford Athletic261151040:291138
    6Pittsburgh271071027:27037
    7Detroit27981031:32-135
    8Indy Eleven27951340:47-732
    9Rhode Island26871120:26-631
    10Tampa Bay27861339:42-330
    11Birmingham285121133:45-1227
    12Miami FC27661525:41-1624


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa ✔ 27148544:291550
    2Sacramento Republic26128639:211844
    3New Mexico261241036:34240
    4San Antonio26107934:32237
    5El Paso2699842:38436
    6Lexington27981028:35-735
    7Colorado Springs27971134:39-534
    8Phoenix Rising26712745:47-233
    9Orange County SC25861138:41-330
    10Monterey Bay28771426:41-1528
    11Oakland Roots26761333:44-1127
    12Las Vegas Lights26671319:43-2425

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )