Lexington vs Phoenix Rising – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Lexington - Phoenix Rising
Result
2:0
09/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Pennington A. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+, TUDN App, TUDN
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.290.29
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
89% (358/403)90% (366/408)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.290.29
xG on target (xGOT)
1.420.02
Total shots
105
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
73
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2012
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
148
Passes
89% (358/403)90% (366/408)
Long passes
58% (22/38)67% (31/46)
Passes in final third
81% (109/134)75% (43/57)
Crosses
27% (6/22)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.050.53
Throw-ins
188
Fouls
714
Tackles
71% (10/14)86% (6/7)
Duels won
4327
Clearances
1222
Interceptions
29
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.021.42
Goals prevented
0.02-0.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 29', 1 - 0, Ajago F. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Cuello E. , Flores D. ,
  • 56', Sacko I. , Johnson D. ,
  • 58', Essengue A. 🟨,
  • 66', Okello N. , Scearce J. ,
  • 66', Emmers X. , Avayevu H. ,
  • 71', Epps M. , Olney C. ,
  • 79', 2 - 0, Adedokun M. , Olney C. (A),
  • 81', Rizzo P. , Cabral R. ,
  • 84', Djeffal S. , Williams D. ,
  • 84', Ferri B. , Zengue X. ,
  • 90+4', Flores D. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Lexington
50.8%
Draw
25%
Phoenix Rising
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.5% 26% 24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7% 26.1% 24.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Lexington - Phoenix Rising Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.87)
    3.72
    (3.57)
    3.84
    (3.77)
    7.6%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Lexington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Lexington has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Lexington is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lexington won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lexington - Phoenix Rising were as follows:
    04.07.2025 Phoenix Rising - Lexington 0:1
    Latest results of Lexington
    Latest results of Phoenix Rising
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City21146142:172548
    2Charleston21152445:222347
    3North Carolina20103731:27433
    4Loudoun2194832:33-131
    5Pittsburgh2177720:19128
    6Detroit2177724:24028
    7Hartford Athletic2075829:23626
    8Indy Eleven2065932:37-523
    9Rhode Island21561015:23-821
    10Miami FC21551121:34-1320
    11Birmingham2148924:33-920
    12Tampa Bay20531222:31-918


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa21126337:231442
    2Sacramento Republic2087529:171231
    3El Paso2087533:27631
    4San Antonio2085725:26-129
    5Phoenix Rising2177735:37-228
    6Lexington2177723:27-428
    7Orange County SC1983828:25327
    8New Mexico1983826:28-227
    9Colorado Springs2066825:29-424
    10Monterey Bay22661023:29-624
    11Oakland Roots20631124:32-821
    12Las Vegas Lights21551117:39-2220

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )