Result
09/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Lexington
50% | Draw
25.6% | Phoenix Rising
24.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Lexington - Phoenix Rising Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↓
(1.87) |
3.61 ↑
(3.57) |
3.78 ↑
(3.77) |
8.3%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Lexington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Lexington has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Lexington is a strong favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lexington won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Lexington won against Phoenix Rising?
Lexington has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Phoenix Rising won against Lexington?
Phoenix Rising has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lexington - Phoenix Rising were as follows:
04.07.2025
Phoenix Rising
-
Lexington
0:1
Latest results of Lexington
Latest results of Phoenix Rising
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Charleston | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 38:16 | 22 | 41 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 34:14 | 20 | 41 |
| 3 | Loudoun | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 28:27 | 1 | 27 |
| 4 | North Carolina | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 17:15 | 2 | 26 |
| 6 | Detroit | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:22 | -2 | 21 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 27:31 | -4 | 20 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 19 |
| 9 | Birmingham | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 22:28 | -6 | 19 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20:26 | -6 | 17 |
| 11 | Rhode Island | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
| 12 | Hartford Athletic | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 16 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 27:18 | 9 | 32 |
| 2 | San Antonio | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 27 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 25:13 | 12 | 27 |
| 4 | El Paso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 30:25 | 5 | 26 |
| 5 | New Mexico | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 25 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 30:33 | -3 | 24 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 26:23 | 3 | 23 |
| 8 | Monterey Bay | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
| 9 | Colorado Springs | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | 21 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 20 |
| 11 | Lexington | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 13:34 | -21 | 18 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
