Phoenix Rising vs Lexington: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship Phoenix Rising - Lexington
Result
0:1
04/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
Phoenix Rising - Lexington - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.360.59
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
03
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
86% (409/476)87% (369/426)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.360.59
xG on target (xGOT)
0.000.32
Total shots
87
Shots on target
03
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
63
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2211
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
89
Passes
86% (409/476)87% (369/426)
Long passes
63% (34/54)42% (18/43)
Passes in final third
74% (103/139)63% (38/60)
Crosses
5% (1/19)0% (0/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.410.27
Throw-ins
3813
Fouls
98
Tackles
73% (11/15)80% (12/15)
Duels won
3935
Clearances
823
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
0.320.00
Goals prevented
-0.680.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 34', 0 - 1, Adedokun M. , Epps M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Zengue X. , Gilbert G. ,
  • 55', Dennis C. , Johnson D. ,
  • 58', Epps M. , Williams D. ,
  • 74', Flood R. , Cuello E. ,
  • 74', Formella D. , Sacko I. ,
  • 74', Midence A. , Barbir D. ,
  • 74', Emmers X. , Ping J. ,
  • 81', Ajago F. , Mbongue H. ,
  • 81', Sargeant K. , Wu D. ,
  • 87', Avayevu H. , Montgomery B. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Phoenix Rising
48.7%
Draw
25.9%
Lexington
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51% 25.5% 23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 24.7% 22.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Phoenix Rising - Lexington Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (1.8)
    3.54
    (3.6)
    3.62
    (3.9)
    9%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Phoenix Rising - Lexington?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Phoenix Rising will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Phoenix Rising (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 12).
    • Phoenix Rising is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Lexington has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Phoenix Rising might have a minor edge in this game.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Phoenix Rising
    Latest results of Lexington
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston17122335:161938
    2Louisville City16114129:121737
    3Loudoun1582524:20426
    4North Carolina1572621:18323
    5Pittsburgh1462612:12020
    6Indy Eleven1555524:24020
    7Detroit1655620:22-220
    8Miami FC1553716:21-518
    9Birmingham1746719:24-518
    10Rhode Island1644814:18-416
    11Hartford Athletic1333715:20-512
    12Tampa Bay15321016:25-911


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Antonio1683523:21227
    2New Mexico1581622:17525
    3FC Tulsa1474321:14725
    4Sacramento Republic1565422:121023
    5Phoenix Rising1665526:26023
    6El Paso1665524:25-123
    7Monterey Bay1764718:21-322
    8Las Vegas Lights1653813:24-1118
    9Lexington1646617:23-618
    10Orange County SC1452718:22-417
    11Oakland Roots1652917:25-817
    12Colorado Springs1536618:22-415

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Phoenix Rising - Lexington?
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