Raków Częstochowa vs Piast Gliwice – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa
Result
1:3
22/11/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 16
  • Referee: Kwiatkowski T. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.022.07
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
80% (412/515)75% (276/368)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.022.07
xG on target (xGOT)
0.472.50
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
2020
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
115
Passes
80% (412/515)75% (276/368)
Long passes
42% (21/50)35% (24/68)
Passes in final third
60% (81/136)69% (79/114)
Crosses
20% (3/15)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.450.47
Throw-ins
1217
Fouls
511
Tackles
56% (5/9)63% (12/19)
Duels won
4744
Clearances
2225
Interceptions
519
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
2.500.47
Goals prevented
-0.50-0.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 31', 0 - 1, Dziczek P. ⚽, Lesniak O. (A),
  • 37', Ameyaw M. ↓, Seck I. ↑,
  • 43', Lesniak O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Lesniak O. ↓, Lokilo J. ↑,
  • 46', Bulat M. ↓, Barath P. ↑,
  • 56', Tomasiewicz G. 🟨,
  • 57', 0 - 2, Barkovskiy G. ⚽, Tomasiewicz G. (A),
  • 64', Konstantopoulos A. ↓, Makuch P. ↑,
  • 64', Struski K. ↓, Lopez I. ↑,
  • 64', Tomasiewicz G. ↓, Boisgard Q. ↑,
  • 70', 0 - 3, Dziczek P. (Pen),
  • 71', Adriano ↓, Pienko T. ↑,
  • 76', Vallejo H. ↓, Sanca L. ↑,
  • 76', Barkovskiy G. ↓, Felix J. ↑,
  • 88', 1 - 3, Brunes J. ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Raków Częstochowa
53.3%		Draw
27.6%		Piast Gliwice
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 26.8% 20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9% 25.6% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Raków Częstochowa have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Piast Gliwice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Piast Gliwice aligns with the current prediction.
    •

    Raków Częstochowa - Piast Gliwice Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.77 ↑
    (1.75)    		 3.44 ↓
    (3.49)    		 4.8 ↑
    (4.68)    		 6.5%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa - Piast Gliwice?
  • Users Predictions: Raków Częstochowa will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Raków Częstochowa will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raków won 2.
    • Raków is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Piast has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Raków is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Raków will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Raków won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.3:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Raków won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 1.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Raków Częstochowa - Piast Gliwice were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Piast Gliwice - Raków Częstochowa 0:3
    30.08.2024 Raków Częstochowa - Piast Gliwice 0:1
    27.02.2024 Piast Gliwice - Raków Częstochowa 3:0
    17.02.2024 Raków Częstochowa - Piast Gliwice 3:1
    11.08.2023 Piast Gliwice - Raków Częstochowa 2:1
    Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
    09.11.2025 Korona Kielce - Raków Częstochowa 1:4 ✺
    06.11.2025 Sparta Prague - Raków Częstochowa 0:0 ✺
    02.11.2025 Jagiellonia Białystok - Raków Częstochowa 1:2 ✺
    29.10.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Cracovia 3:0 ✺
    26.10.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Lechia Gdańsk 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Piast Gliwice
    08.11.2025 GKS Katowice - Piast Gliwice 1:3 ✺
    31.10.2025 Piast Gliwice - Korona Kielce 0:0 ✺
    28.10.2025 Odra Opole - Piast Gliwice 0:2 ✺
    25.10.2025 Arka Gdynia - Piast Gliwice 2:1 ✺
    19.10.2025 Piast Gliwice - Lechia Gdańsk 1:2 ✺
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lech Poznan26128646:37944
    2Zaglebie26118740:301041
    3Jagiellonia26118743:34941
    4Gornik Zabrze26116936:32439
    5Wisla Plock26109728:25339
    6Rakow261151035:33238
    7Motor Lublin26910735:38-337
    8Korona Kielce261061033:29436
    9Cracovia2699831:28336
    10GKS Katowice261131235:35036
    11Piast Gliwice261051132:33-135
    12Lechia Gdansk26116951:48334
    13Pogon Szczecin261041236:40-434
    14Radomiak Radom2689942:40233
    15Legia26612830:31-130
    16Arka Gdynia26861225:44-1930
    17Widzew Lodz26851331:34-329
    18Termalica B-B26571430:48-1822

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

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