Result
1:3
22/11/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 16
- Referee: Kwiatkowski T. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 2.07 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (412/515) | 75% (276/368) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 2.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 2.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (412/515) | 75% (276/368) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (21/50) | 35% (24/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (81/136) | 69% (79/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 19 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.50 | 0.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.50 | -0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 31', 0 - 1, Dziczek P. ⚽, Lesniak O. (A),
- 37', Ameyaw M. ↓, Seck I. ↑,
- 43', Lesniak O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Lesniak O. ↓, Lokilo J. ↑,
- 46', Bulat M. ↓, Barath P. ↑,
- 56', Tomasiewicz G. 🟨,
- 57', 0 - 2, Barkovskiy G. ⚽, Tomasiewicz G. (A),
- 64', Konstantopoulos A. ↓, Makuch P. ↑,
- 64', Struski K. ↓, Lopez I. ↑,
- 64', Tomasiewicz G. ↓, Boisgard Q. ↑,
- 70', 0 - 3, Dziczek P. (Pen),
- 71', Adriano ↓, Pienko T. ↑,
- 76', Vallejo H. ↓, Sanca L. ↑,
- 76', Barkovskiy G. ↓, Felix J. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 3, Brunes J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Raków Częstochowa
53.3% | Draw
27.6% | Piast Gliwice
19.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Raków Częstochowa have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Piast Gliwice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+2.6%)The ML Model estimate for Piast Gliwice aligns with the current prediction.
Raków Częstochowa - Piast Gliwice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↑
(1.75) |
3.44 ↓
(3.49) |
4.8 ↑
(4.68) |
6.5%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa - Piast Gliwice?
Users Predictions:
Raków Częstochowa will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Raków Częstochowa will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raków won 2.
- Raków is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Piast has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Raków is the team to beat.
- We predict that Raków will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Raków won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Raków won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 1.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Piast Gliwice?
Raków Częstochowa has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Piast Gliwice won against Raków Częstochowa?
Piast Gliwice has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Raków Częstochowa - Piast Gliwice were as follows:
08.03.2025
Piast Gliwice
-
Raków Częstochowa
0:3
30.08.2024
Raków Częstochowa
-
Piast Gliwice
0:1
27.02.2024
Piast Gliwice
-
Raków Częstochowa
3:0
17.02.2024
Raków Częstochowa
-
Piast Gliwice
3:1
11.08.2023
Piast Gliwice
-
Raków Częstochowa
2:1
Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
Latest results of Piast Gliwice
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 37:27 | 10 | 38 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 40:34 | 6 | 38 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 33:31 | 2 | 34 |
| 5 | Rakow | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 31:29 | 2 | 34 |
| 6 | Cracovia | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 33 |
| 7 | Wisla Plock | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 33 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 31 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 30 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 30 |
| 11 | Motor Lublin | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 32:37 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Radomiak Radom | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 37:34 | 3 | 29 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Lechia Gdansk | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 46:45 | 1 | 28 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 21:38 | -17 | 26 |
| 16 | Legia | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 27:29 | -2 | 25 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 29:33 | -4 | 24 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
