Result
1:2
05/04/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 32
- Referee: Perri M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.30 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (414/517) | 68% (234/342) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 12 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (414/517) | 68% (234/342) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (15/44) | 42% (33/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (144/205) | 41% (35/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (12/39) | 50% (1/2) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 0.29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 55% (11/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 62 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 18 | 60 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.27 | 0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', Canestrelli S. 🟨,
- 27', 0 - 1, Santoro S. ⚽, Di Pardo A. (A),
- 35', Cauz C. 🟨,
- 42', Gerli F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Meister H. ↓, Lind A. ↑,
- 46', Canestrelli S. ↓, Rus A. ↑,
- 50', 0 - 2, Gliozzi E. ⚽,
- 54', Toure I. ↓, Arena A. ↑,
- 54', Hojholt M. ↓, Piccinini G. ↑,
- 64', Rus A. 🟨,
- 70', Marin M. ↓, Solbakken M. ↑,
- 70', Gerli F. ↓, Battistella T. ↑,
- 71', Idrissi R. ↓, Duca E. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 2, Moreo S. ⚽,
- 78', Gliozzi E. ↓, Mendes P. ↑,
- 78', Caso G. ↓, Bozhanaj K. ↑,
- 84', Solbakken M. 🟨,
- 90', Palumbo A. ↓, Caldara M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pisa 49.3% | Draw 28.2% | Modena 22.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Pisa - Modena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.9 ↑ (1.89) |
3.29 ↑ (3.26) |
4.21 ↓ (4.3) |
6.9% (6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Pisa - Modena?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Pisa (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Pisa will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pisa will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Pisa (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 10).
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- In this match Pisa is a favorite.
- There will not play in Pisa: Esteves T.
(Tendon Injury)
Leris M.
(Injury)
Vignato E.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Modena: Cotali M.
(Yellow Cards)
Defrel G.
(Injury)
Dellavalle A.
(Injury)
Pergreffi A.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Pisa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:8 (average 1.2:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Pisa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:4 (average 3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Pisa won against Modena?
Pisa has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Pisa?
Modena has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pisa - Modena were as follows:
21.12.2024
Modena
-
Pisa
1:0
28.02.2024
Pisa
-
Modena
2:2
02.09.2023
Modena
-
Pisa
2:0
11.03.2023
Modena
-
Pisa
1:0
23.10.2022
Pisa
-
Modena
4:2
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 53:24 | 29 | 56 |
| 2 | Monza | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 39:20 | 19 | 54 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48:24 | 24 | 53 |
| 4 | Palermo | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 45:19 | 26 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 44 |
| 6 | Modena | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 35:20 | 15 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Cesena | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34:37 | -3 | 37 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 33 |
| 10 | Empoli | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:36 | -4 | 30 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Padova | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Avellino | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 30:42 | -12 | 29 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 26 |
| 16 | Mantova | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Spezia | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 23:34 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Entella | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 |
| 19 | Bari | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 21:39 | -18 | 22 |
| 20 | Pescara | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 30:51 | -21 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation