Result
3:2
09/03/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie B - Round 29
- Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.84 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (236/341) | 55% (145/263) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 55% (62/112) | 41% (38/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 50% (4/8) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 55% (6/11) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 55 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 37', 0 - 1, Wisniewski P. (Own goal),
- 43', Meister H. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 1, Esposito Sa. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 47', 1 - 2, Meister H. ⚽, Toure I. (A),
- 57', Bertola N. ↓, Elia S. ↑,
- 58', 2 - 2, Esposito F. ⚽, Reca A. (A),
- 65', 3 - 2, Wisniewski P. ⚽,
- 69', Bonfanti G. ↓, Angori S. ↑,
- 69', Toure I. ↓, Morutan O. ↑,
- 73', Mateju A. 🟨,
- 74', Canestrelli S. 🟨,
- 77', Meister H. ↓, Arena A. ↑,
- 78', Esposito Sa. ↓, Nagy A. ↑,
- 78', Lapadula G. ↓, Di Serio G. ↑,
- 84', Caracciolo Ant. ↓, Piccinini G. ↑,
- 84', Marin M. ↓, Buffon L. ↑,
- 86', Abildgaard O. 🟨,
- 88', Reca A. 🟨,
- 88', Reca A. ↓, Aurelio G. ↑,
- 88', Vignali L. ↓, Kouda R. ↑,
- 90+4', Lind A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Spezia
50.3% | Draw
29.2% | Pisa
20.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Pisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Spezia - Pisa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↑
(1.84) |
3.23 ↓
(3.41) |
4.59 ↑
(4.05) |
5.7%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Spezia - Pisa?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Spezia will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spezia: 47.7% – 95.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Spezia won 1.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Pisa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Spezia is a favorite.
- There will not play in Spezia: Cassata F.
(Yellow Cards)
Sarr M.
(Shoulder Injury)
Soleri E.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Pisa: Esteves T.
(Tendon Injury)
Leris M.
(Injury)
Solbakken M.
(Muscle Injury)
Vignato E.
(Ankle Injury)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Spezia won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:9 (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Spezia won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Pisa?
Spezia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pisa won against Spezia?
Pisa has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Spezia - Pisa were as follows:
17.08.2024
Pisa
-
Spezia
2:2
27.01.2024
Pisa
-
Spezia
2:3
08.10.2023
Spezia
-
Pisa
0:0
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
