Plymouth Argyle vs Millwall – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Plymouth Argyle - Millwall
Result
5:1
12/02/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 32
  • Referee: Simpson J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryNet4+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.560.84
Ball Possession
35%65%
Goal Attempts
1313
Shots on Goal
76
Shots off Goal
42
Blocked Shots
25
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
26
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
52
Free Kicks
1019
Offsides
01
Fouls
1910
Yellow Cards
10
Throw-ins
1841
Touches in the Opposition Box
1515
Passes
61% (161/265)75% (378/502)
Passes in the final third
53% (51/97)57% (85/148)
Crosses
13% (2/15)16% (3/19)
Tackles
70% (16/23)56% (9/16)
Clearances Total
4732
Interceptions
79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Bryan J. (Own goal),
  • 10', 2 - 0, Hardie R. (Pen),
  • 40', Randell A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 53', 3 - 0, Bundu M. , Palsson V. (A),
  • 56', 4 - 0, Hardie R. ,
  • 57', Neghli C. , Bangura-Williams R. ,
  • 58', Cundle L. , Azeez F. ,
  • 62', Hardie R. , Baidoo M. ,
  • 63', Ogbeta N. , Mumba B. ,
  • 63', Randell A. , Gyabi D. ,
  • 71', Sorinola M. , Szucs K. ,
  • 77', Connolly A. , Watmore D. ,
  • 77', De Norre C. , Mitchell B. ,
  • 78', Bundu M. , Al Hajj R. ,
  • 80', 4 - 1, Bryan J. , Azeez F. (A),
  • 86', 5 - 1, Katic N. ,

Chances of winning


Plymouth Argyle
25.8%
Draw
31.1%
Millwall
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27% 30% 43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8% 29.7% 43.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Plymouth Argyle - Millwall Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.73
    (3.51)
    3.07
    (3.17)
    2.22
    (2.21)
    4.5%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Plymouth Argyle - Millwall?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 4 - 14.8%). Millwall will win (votes: 15 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 29.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 36.9%74.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches New Orleans won 3.
    • New Orleans has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Sacramento is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Sacramento could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently New Orleans have a series of guest games.
    • Sacramento will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches New Orleans won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 2361:2257 (average 118.1:112.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams New Orleans won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1159:1075 (average 115.9:107.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Plymouth Argyle - Millwall were as follows:
    23.10.2024 Millwall - Plymouth Argyle 1:0
    27.04.2024 Millwall - Plymouth Argyle 1:0
    03.10.2023 Plymouth Argyle - Millwall 0:2
    Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
    Latest results of Millwall
    08.02.2025 Leeds United - Millwall 0:2
    28.01.2025 Portsmouth - Millwall 0:1
    25.01.2025 Luton Town - Millwall 0:1
    21.01.2025 Millwall - Cardiff City 2:2
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stoke33008:269
    2Middlesbrough33006:159
    3Coventry321012:487
    4West Brom32105:327
    5Birmingham32104:227
    6Preston32104:227
    7Leicester32014:316
    8Millwall32013:4-16
    9Bristol City31205:235
    10Southampton31114:404
    11Portsmouth31113:304
    12Watford31113:304
    13Swansea31112:204
    14Charlton31111:104
    15Hull31113:5-24
    16Blackburn31024:313
    17Norwich31024:5-13
    18Ipswich30212:3-12
    19Wrexham30125:7-21
    20Derby30125:9-41
    21Sheffield Wed30123:7-41
    22QPR30123:10-71
    23Oxford Utd30032:5-30
    24Sheffield Utd30031:6-50

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One