Plymouth Argyle vs Millwall – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:1
12/02/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 32
  • Referee: Simpson J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryNet4+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.560.84
Ball Possession
35%65%
Goal Attempts
1313
Shots on Goal
76
Shots off Goal
42
Blocked Shots
25
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
26
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
52
Free Kicks
1019
Offsides
01
Fouls
1910
Yellow Cards
10
Throw-ins
1841
Touches in the Opposition Box
1515
Passes
61% (161/265)75% (378/502)
Passes in the final third
53% (51/97)57% (85/148)
Crosses
13% (2/15)16% (3/19)
Tackles
70% (16/23)56% (9/16)
Clearances Total
4732
Interceptions
79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Bryan J. (Own goal),
  • 10', 2 - 0, Hardie R. (Pen),
  • 40', Randell A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 53', 3 - 0, Bundu M. , Palsson V. (A),
  • 56', 4 - 0, Hardie R. ,
  • 57', Neghli C. , Bangura-Williams R. ,
  • 58', Cundle L. , Azeez F. ,
  • 62', Hardie R. , Baidoo M. ,
  • 63', Ogbeta N. , Mumba B. ,
  • 63', Randell A. , Gyabi D. ,
  • 71', Sorinola M. , Szucs K. ,
  • 77', Connolly A. , Watmore D. ,
  • 77', De Norre C. , Mitchell B. ,
  • 78', Bundu M. , Al Hajj R. ,
  • 80', 4 - 1, Bryan J. , Azeez F. (A),
  • 86', 5 - 1, Katic N. ,

Chances of winning


Plymouth Argyle
25.8%
Draw
31.1%
Millwall
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27% 30% 43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8% 29.7% 43.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Plymouth Argyle - Millwall Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.73
    (3.51)
    3.07
    (3.17)
    2.22
    (2.21)
    4.5%
    (5.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Plymouth Argyle - Millwall?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 4 - 14.8%). Millwall will win (votes: 15 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 29.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 36.9%74.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches New Orleans won 3.
    • New Orleans has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Sacramento is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Sacramento could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently New Orleans have a series of guest games.
    • Sacramento will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches New Orleans won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 2361:2257 (average 118.1:112.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams New Orleans won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1159:1075 (average 115.9:107.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Plymouth Argyle - Millwall were as follows:
    23.10.2024 Millwall - Plymouth Argyle 1:0
    27.04.2024 Millwall - Plymouth Argyle 1:0
    03.10.2023 Plymouth Argyle - Millwall 0:2
    Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
    Latest results of Millwall
    08.02.2025 Leeds United - Millwall 0:2
    28.01.2025 Portsmouth - Millwall 0:1
    25.01.2025 Luton Town - Millwall 0:1
    21.01.2025 Millwall - Cardiff City 2:2
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry422510784:424285
    2Ipswich402112771:403175
    3Millwall4221101156:47973
    4Middlesbrough4220121062:422072
    5Southampton4119121070:502069
    6Hull422081464:60468
    7Wrexham4217131263:60364
    8Derby421891561:53863
    9Norwich421771855:50558
    10Bristol City4216101652:51158
    11QPR4216101658:63-558
    12Watford4214151352:51157
    13Preston4214151350:53-357
    14Swansea421691750:54-457
    15Birmingham4215111651:52-156
    16Stoke4215101749:46355
    17Sheffield Utd421662059:59054
    18Charlton4212131739:51-1249
    19Blackburn4212121838:50-1248
    20West Brom4211131842:56-1446
    21Portsmouth4111121841:57-1645
    22Oxford Utd4210141841:54-1344
    23Leicester4211141754:64-1041
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 421113025:82-57-4

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One