Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Znicz Pruszków – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 1 Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Znicz Pruszków
Result
4:1
16/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 5
  • Referee: Sulikowski D. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
77
Corner Kicks
68
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
77
Shots off target
610
Corner Kicks
68
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1311
Throw-ins
2118
Fouls
1011
Goalkeeper Saves
63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Sokol D. , Moskwik P. (A),
  • 35', 1 - 1, Olewinski O. , Noiszewski K. (A),
  • 42', 2 - 1, Adamski R. , Korczakowski I. (A),
  • 43', 3 - 1, Adamski R. , Adkonis J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', Jach J. , Koprowski O. ,
  • 59', 4 - 1, Adamski R. ,
  • 62', Adamski R. , Gieroba S. ,
  • 62', Szczepaniak M. , Lis J. ,
  • 68', Borecki M. , Pawlik M. ,
  • 68', Proczek T. , Mak M. ,
  • 69', Korczakowski I. , Staniszewski J. ,
  • 70', Konstantyn J. , Jedrasik J. ,
  • 81', Majewski R. , Kazimierczak A. ,
  • 81', Adkonis J. , Jaron D. ,
  • 83', Nowakowski J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
48.8%
Draw
25.2%
Znicz Pruszków
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.4% 26.9% 23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 25.5% 22.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Znicz Pruszków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Znicz Pruszków than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Znicz Pruszków Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.81)
    3.71
    (3.32)
    3.5
    (3.78)
    8.3%
    (11.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Znicz Pruszków?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Znicz will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Grodzisk Mazowiecki: 35.2%84.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Znicz (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Znicz (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Grodzisk Mazowiecki is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Znicz has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Znicz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Grodzisk Mazowiecki is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Znicz Pruszków were as follows:
    29.06.2024 Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Znicz Pruszków 1:2
    07.07.2023 Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Znicz Pruszków 1:0
    Latest results of Znicz Pruszków
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla1292137:112629
    2KS Wieczysta Krakow1264225:141122
    3Grodzisk M1263325:17821
    4Slask Wroclaw1263320:18221
    5Polonia Bytom1262419:14520
    6S. Rzeszow1262421:19220
    7Chrobry Glogow1254318:13519
    8Odra Opole1245313:14-117
    9Ruch Chorzow1244417:19-216
    10Pogon Siedlce1243515:13215
    11LKS Lodz1243517:18-115
    12Polonia Warszawa1235419:21-214
    13Legnica1242616:25-914
    14Puszcza1218311:14-311
    15Tychy1232717:26-911
    16Stal Mielec1232716:26-1011
    17Leczna1216515:24-99
    18Pruszkow1230915:30-159

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2