Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Znicz Pruszków – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 1 Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Znicz Pruszków
Result
4:1
16/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 5
  • Referee: Sulikowski D. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
77
Corner Kicks
68
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
77
Shots off target
610
Corner Kicks
68
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1311
Throw-ins
2118
Fouls
1011
Goalkeeper Saves
63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Sokol D. , Moskwik P. (A),
  • 35', 1 - 1, Olewinski O. , Noiszewski K. (A),
  • 42', 2 - 1, Adamski R. , Korczakowski I. (A),
  • 43', 3 - 1, Adamski R. , Adkonis J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', Jach J. , Koprowski O. ,
  • 59', 4 - 1, Adamski R. ,
  • 62', Adamski R. , Gieroba S. ,
  • 62', Szczepaniak M. , Lis J. ,
  • 68', Borecki M. , Pawlik M. ,
  • 68', Proczek T. , Mak M. ,
  • 69', Korczakowski I. , Staniszewski J. ,
  • 70', Konstantyn J. , Jedrasik J. ,
  • 81', Majewski R. , Kazimierczak A. ,
  • 81', Adkonis J. , Jaron D. ,
  • 83', Nowakowski J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
48.8%
Draw
25.2%
Znicz Pruszków
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.4% 26.9% 23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 25.5% 22.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Znicz Pruszków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Znicz Pruszków than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Znicz Pruszków Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.81)
    3.68
    (3.32)
    3.57
    (3.78)
    8%
    (11.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Znicz Pruszków?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Znicz will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Grodzisk Mazowiecki: 35.2%84.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Znicz (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Znicz (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Grodzisk Mazowiecki is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Znicz has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Znicz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Grodzisk Mazowiecki is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Znicz Pruszków were as follows:
    29.06.2024 Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Znicz Pruszków 1:2
    07.07.2023 Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Znicz Pruszków 1:0
    Latest results of Znicz Pruszków
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla861130:92119
    2KS Wieczysta Krakow852120:91117
    3Slask Wroclaw952215:13217
    4Polonia Bytom951314:12216
    5S. Rzeszow942314:13114
    6Chrobry Glogow934213:10313
    7Ruch Chorzow934213:11213
    8Polonia Warszawa934215:15013
    9Grodzisk M933318:15312
    10Pogon Siedlce93339:7212
    11LKS Lodz932414:14011
    12Tychy932415:16-111
    13Legnica932414:18-411
    14Stal Mielec932412:19-711
    15Odra Opole92438:12-410
    16Puszcza90637:11-46
    17Leczna906312:20-86
    18Pruszkow91088:27-193

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2