Result
2:1
09/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 4
- Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 2.36 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (254/317) | 81% (324/398) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 2.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (254/317) | 81% (324/398) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (12/45) | 57% (27/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (48/83) | 73% (60/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (3/23) | 30% (7/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.51 | -0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 33', Percan 🟨,
- 38', 0 - 1, Loncar D. ⚽, Grosicki K. (A),
- 43', Huja M. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Kerk S. ⚽, Percan (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', Juwara M. ↓, Mukairu P. ↑,
- 65', Leo Borges ↓, Koutris L. ↑,
- 66', Percan ↓, Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↑,
- 66', Kocyla D. ↓, Oliveira J. ↑,
- 66', Predenkiewicz M. ↓, Gaprindashvili T. ↑,
- 74', Kerk S. ↓, Nguiamba A. ↑,
- 78', Koulouris E. (Pen),
- 80', 2 - 1, Jakubczyk K. ⚽,
- 81', Jakubczyk K. 🟨,
- 82', Wahlqvist L. 🟨,
- 82', Celestine J. 🟨,
- 85', Loncar D. 🟨,
- 85', Grosicki K. ↓, Kostorz K. ↑,
- 85', Ndiaye M. ↓, Keramitsis D. ↑,
- 85', Wahlqvist L. ↓, Lis J. ↑,
- 88', Jakubczyk K. ↓, Hermoso K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Arka Gdynia
36% | Draw
27.4% | Pogoń Szczecin
36.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Arka Gdynia - Pogoń Szczecin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.61 ↓
(2.94) |
3.4 ↑
(3.18) |
2.58 ↑
(2.35) |
6.6%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Arka Gdynia - Pogoń Szczecin?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Arka will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 23.8% – 76.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arka won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Arka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Renyer
(Inactive)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Arka won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:32. (average 1.1:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arka won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.9:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Arka Gdynia won against Pogoń Szczecin?
Arka Gdynia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Arka Gdynia?
Pogoń Szczecin has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arka Gdynia - Pogoń Szczecin were as follows:
02.07.2025
Arka Gdynia
-
Pogoń Szczecin
2:0
15.11.2024
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Arka Gdynia
1:1
Latest results of Arka Gdynia
Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla Plock | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 2 | Cracovia | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 | Korona Kielce | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:10 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | Gornik Zabrze | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 7 | Pogon Szczecin | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 8 | Zaglebie | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14:11 | 3 | 9 |
| 9 | Radomiak Radom | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Termalica B-B | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Motor Lublin | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Arka Gdynia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Legia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 14 | Widzew Lodz | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
| 15 | GKS Katowice | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:17 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | Rakow | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14:19 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
