Pogoń Szczecin vs Arka Gdynia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
15/02/2026 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 21
  • Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.690.66
Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
2011
Shots on target
42
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
87
Passes
82% (344/421)78% (260/335)
Yellow cards
34
Expected goals (xG)
1.690.66
xG on target (xGOT)
1.590.04
Total shots
2011
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
64
Blocked shots
105
Shots inside the box
116
Shots outside the box
95
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
87
Touches in opposition box
3616
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free kicks
1515
Passes
82% (344/421)78% (260/335)
Long passes
40% (20/50)40% (19/48)
Passes in final third
70% (109/156)49% (36/73)
Crosses
29% (7/24)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.140.41
Throw ins
1312
Fouls
1515
Tackles
58% (7/12)45% (5/11)
Duels won
4356
Clearances
3438
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
13
xGOT faced
0.041.59
Goals prevented
0.040.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Mukairu P. , Grosicki K. (A),
  • 40', Navarro M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Pozo J. 🟨,
  • 61', Jakubczyk K. 🟨,
  • 62', Gaprindashvili T. 🟨,
  • 63', Gaprindashvili T. , Kubiak O. ,
  • 63', Navarro M. , Kocyla D. ,
  • 64', Acosta K. 🟨,
  • 65', Pozo J. , Greenwood S. ,
  • 73', Rusyn N. , Gutkovskis V. ,
  • 76', Koutris L. , Mendy B. ,
  • 77', Acosta K. , Bieganski J. ,
  • 85', Jakubczyk K. , Perea L. ,
  • 86', Gojny D. , Abramowicz D. ,
  • 86', Grosicki K. , Loncar D. ,
  • 89', Mendy B. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Abramowicz D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Pogoń Szczecin
57.4%
Draw
23.4%
Arka Gdynia
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.8% 25.4% 21.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Pogoń Szczecin - Arka Gdynia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.69)
    4.03
    (3.51)
    4.87
    (4.1)
    6.7%
    (12.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin - Arka Gdynia?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Arka will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 47.7%95.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Arka (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pogoń Szczecin will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Arka (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 0.
    • Pogoń Szczecin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Pogoń Szczecin is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Mendy B. (Inactive) Molnar R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Pogoń Szczecin: Greenwood S. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 33:18. (average 2.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 2.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Szczecin - Arka Gdynia were as follows:
    09.08.2025 Arka Gdynia - Pogoń Szczecin 2:1
    02.07.2025 Arka Gdynia - Pogoń Szczecin 2:0
    15.11.2024 Pogoń Szczecin - Arka Gdynia 1:1
    Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
    Latest results of Arka Gdynia
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lech Poznan26128646:37944
    2Zaglebie26118740:301041
    3Jagiellonia26118743:34941
    4Gornik Zabrze26116936:32439
    5Wisla Plock26109728:25339
    6Rakow261151035:33238
    7Motor Lublin26910735:38-337
    8Korona Kielce261061033:29436
    9Cracovia2699831:28336
    10GKS Katowice261131235:35036
    11Piast Gliwice261051132:33-135
    12Lechia Gdansk26116951:48334
    13Pogon Szczecin261041236:40-434
    14Radomiak Radom2689942:40233
    15Legia26612830:31-130
    16Arka Gdynia26861225:44-1930
    17Widzew Lodz26851331:34-329
    18Termalica B-B26571430:48-1822

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1