Arka Gdynia vs Pogoń Szczecin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Arka Gdynia - Pogoń Szczecin
Result
2:1
09/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 4
  • Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.532.36
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
80% (254/317)81% (324/398)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.532.36
xG on target (xGOT)
1.741.51
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
412
Shots outside the Box
71
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
1024
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1412
Passes
80% (254/317)81% (324/398)
Long passes
27% (12/45)57% (27/47)
Passes in final third
58% (48/83)73% (60/82)
Crosses
13% (3/23)30% (7/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.331.58
Throw-ins
2115
Fouls
1314
Tackles
50% (8/16)77% (10/13)
Duels won
3947
Clearances
1737
Interceptions
81
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.511.74
Goals prevented
0.51-0.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 33', Percan 🟨,
  • 38', 0 - 1, Loncar D. , Grosicki K. (A),
  • 43', Huja M. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Kerk S. , Percan (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 60', Juwara M. , Mukairu P. ,
  • 65', Leo Borges , Koutris L. ,
  • 66', Percan , Espiau Hernandez E. D. ,
  • 66', Kocyla D. , Oliveira J. ,
  • 66', Predenkiewicz M. , Gaprindashvili T. ,
  • 74', Kerk S. , Nguiamba A. ,
  • 78', Koulouris E. (Pen),
  • 80', 2 - 1, Jakubczyk K. ,
  • 81', Jakubczyk K. 🟨,
  • 82', Wahlqvist L. 🟨,
  • 82', Celestine J. 🟨,
  • 85', Loncar D. 🟨,
  • 85', Grosicki K. , Kostorz K. ,
  • 85', Ndiaye M. , Keramitsis D. ,
  • 85', Wahlqvist L. , Lis J. ,
  • 88', Jakubczyk K. , Hermoso K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Arka Gdynia
36%
Draw
27.4%
Pogoń Szczecin
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.5% 29.1% 39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7% 29.2% 39.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Arka Gdynia - Pogoń Szczecin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.61
    (2.94)
    3.4
    (3.18)
    2.58
    (2.35)
    6.6%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Arka Gdynia - Pogoń Szczecin?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Arka will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 23.8%76.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arka won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Arka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Renyer (Inactive)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Arka won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:32. (average 1.1:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arka won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.9:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arka Gdynia - Pogoń Szczecin were as follows:
    02.07.2025 Arka Gdynia - Pogoń Szczecin 2:0
    15.11.2024 Pogoń Szczecin - Arka Gdynia 1:1
    Latest results of Arka Gdynia
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock54108:2613
    2Gornik Zabrze640210:4612
    3Cracovia632111:8311
    4Jagiellonia430110:919
    5Radomiak Radom622211:928
    6Termalica B-B62229:728
    7Korona Kielce62227:618
    8Legia42115:237
    9Widzew Lodz62138:717
    10Lech Poznan42118:9-17
    11Pogon Szczecin62139:13-47
    12Rakow42026:7-16
    13Zaglebie41219:635
    14Arka Gdynia51224:7-35
    15Motor Lublin51225:9-45
    16GKS Katowice61147:13-64
    17Piast Gliwice40220:3-32
    18Lechia Gdansk502311:17-6-3

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          Relegation ~ Division 1