Result
2:1
09/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 4
- Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.53 | 2.36 |
Ball Possession |
---|
44% | 56% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
80% (254/317) | 81% (324/398) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.53 | 2.36 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.74 | 1.51 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 12 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
10 | 24 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
80% (254/317) | 81% (324/398) |
Long passes |
---|
27% (12/45) | 57% (27/47) |
Passes in final third |
---|
58% (48/83) | 73% (60/82) |
Crosses |
---|
13% (3/23) | 30% (7/23) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.33 | 1.58 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 15 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
50% (8/16) | 77% (10/13) |
Duels won |
---|
39 | 47 |
Clearances |
---|
17 | 37 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 1 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.51 | 1.74 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.51 | -0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 33', Percan 🟨,
- 38', 0 - 1, Loncar D. ⚽, Grosicki K. (A),
- 43', Huja M. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Kerk S. ⚽, Percan (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', Juwara M. ↓, Mukairu P. ↑,
- 65', Leo Borges ↓, Koutris L. ↑,
- 66', Percan ↓, Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↑,
- 66', Kocyla D. ↓, Oliveira J. ↑,
- 66', Predenkiewicz M. ↓, Gaprindashvili T. ↑,
- 74', Kerk S. ↓, Nguiamba A. ↑,
- 78', Koulouris E. (Pen),
- 80', 2 - 1, Jakubczyk K. ⚽,
- 81', Jakubczyk K. 🟨,
- 82', Wahlqvist L. 🟨,
- 82', Celestine J. 🟨,
- 85', Loncar D. 🟨,
- 85', Grosicki K. ↓, Kostorz K. ↑,
- 85', Ndiaye M. ↓, Keramitsis D. ↑,
- 85', Wahlqvist L. ↓, Lis J. ↑,
- 88', Jakubczyk K. ↓, Hermoso K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Arka Gdynia 36% | Draw 27.4% | Pogoń Szczecin 36.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Arka Gdynia - Pogoń Szczecin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.61 ↓ (2.94) |
3.4 ↑ (3.18) |
2.58 ↑ (2.35) |
6.6% (8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Arka Gdynia - Pogoń Szczecin?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Arka will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 23.8% – 76.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arka won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Arka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Renyer
(Inactive)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Arka won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:32. (average 1.1:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arka won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.9:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Arka Gdynia won against Pogoń Szczecin?
Arka Gdynia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Arka Gdynia?
Pogoń Szczecin has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arka Gdynia - Pogoń Szczecin were as follows:
02.07.2025
Arka Gdynia
-
Pogoń Szczecin
2:0
15.11.2024
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Arka Gdynia
1:1
Latest results of Arka Gdynia
Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Wisla Plock | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 13 |
2 | Gornik Zabrze | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:4 | 6 | 12 |
3 | Cracovia | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 11 |
4 | Jagiellonia | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
5 | Radomiak Radom | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 8 |
6 | Termalica B-B | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 8 |
7 | Korona Kielce | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
8 | Legia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
9 | Widzew Lodz | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 7 |
10 | Lech Poznan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
11 | Pogon Szczecin | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Rakow | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
13 | Zaglebie | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 5 |
14 | Arka Gdynia | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 5 |
15 | Motor Lublin | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
16 | GKS Katowice | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 4 |
17 | Piast Gliwice | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 2 |
18 | Lechia Gdansk | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11:17 | -6 | -3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1