Result
1:1
24/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 34
- Referee: Myc W. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 4, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (353/427) | 66% (157/239) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (353/427) | 66% (157/239) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (41/72) | 44% (27/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (73/109) | 40% (27/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/24) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.75 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.21 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 27', Ulvestad F. 🟨,
- 32', 0 - 1, Koulouris E. ⚽, Leo Borges (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', Wedrychowski M. ↓, Koutris L. ↑,
- 59', Kurzawa R. ↓, Smolinski K. ↑,
- 69', Hansen K. ↓, Pietuszewski O. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 1, Wojtuszek N. ⚽,
- 72', Wahlqvist L. 🟨,
- 75', Gamboa J. ↓, Lukasiak K. ↑,
- 79', Pietuszewski O. 🟨,
- 80', Loncar D. 🟨,
- 82', Churlinov D. ↓, Villar Miki ↑,
- 85', Luizao ↓, Lisowski W. ↑,
- 85', Ulvestad F. ↓, Paryzek P. ↑,
- 89', Skrzypczak M. 🟨,
- 90+2', Smolinski K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Jagiellonia Białystok
46.6% | Draw
25.3% | Pogoń Szczecin
28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Jagiellonia Białystok - Pogoń Szczecin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↓
(2.16) |
3.69 ↑
(3.54) |
3.32 ↑
(3.12) |
6.6%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Jagiellonia Białystok - Pogoń Szczecin?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Jagiellonia (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Users Predictions:
Jagiellonia Białystok will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Jagiellonia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Jagiellonia might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Jagiellonia: Romanczuk T.
(Knee Injury)
Sacek M.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Przyborek A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Jagiellonia: Diaby-Fadiga L.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:27. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jagiellonia won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.7:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Pogoń Szczecin?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
Pogoń Szczecin has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jagiellonia Białystok - Pogoń Szczecin were as follows:
01.12.2024
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
1:1
26.04.2024
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Pogoń Szczecin
2:2
03.04.2024
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
2:1
28.10.2023
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
2:1
11.02.2023
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Pogoń Szczecin
2:0
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Cracovia | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Wisla Plock | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Korona Kielce | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:18 | 2 | 19 |
| 7 | Zaglebie | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 25:18 | 7 | 17 |
| 8 | Widzew Lodz | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Legia | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 10 | Radomiak Radom | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 22:22 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 | Rakow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Pogon Szczecin | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 14 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16:21 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 | Arka Gdynia | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7:19 | -12 | 12 |
| 15 | GKS Katowice | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 11 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21:27 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Termalica B-B | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 17:25 | -8 | 10 |
| 18 | Piast Gliwice | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
