Jagiellonia Białystok vs Pogoń Szczecin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chorten Arena (Bialystok).

Ekstraklasa - Round 34
Referee: Myc W. (Pol)
Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 4, Ekstraklasa TV
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.70	1.20
Ball Possession
63%	37%
Total shots
17	8
Shots on target
6	2
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
9	4
Passes
83% (353/427)	66% (157/239)
Yellow Cards
2	4
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70	1.20
xG on target (xGOT)
1.37	0.79
Total shots
17	8
Shots on target
6	2
Shots off target
6	4
Blocked Shots
5	2
Shots inside the Box
12	6
Shots outside the Box
5	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
9	4
Touches in opposition box
35	22
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	3
Free Kicks
15	14
Passes
83% (353/427)	66% (157/239)
Long passes
57% (41/72)	44% (27/62)
Passes in final third
67% (73/109)	40% (27/68)
Crosses
17% (4/24)	29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.87	0.75
Throw-ins
17	20
Fouls
14	15
Tackles
89% (8/9)	67% (10/15)
Duels won
42	53
Clearances
23	39
Interceptions
10	5
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	5
xGOT faced
0.79	1.37
Goals prevented
-0.21	0.37

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', Ulvestad F. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Koulouris E. ⚽, Leo Borges (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Wedrychowski M. ↓, Koutris L. ↑,
59', Kurzawa R. ↓, Smolinski K. ↑,
69', Hansen K. ↓, Pietuszewski O. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Wojtuszek N. ⚽,
72', Wahlqvist L. 🟨,
75', Gamboa J. ↓, Lukasiak K. ↑,
79', Pietuszewski O. 🟨,
80', Loncar D. 🟨,
82', Churlinov D. ↓, Villar Miki ↑,
85', Luizao ↓, Lisowski W. ↑,
85', Ulvestad F. ↓, Paryzek P. ↑,
89', Skrzypczak M. 🟨,
90+2', Smolinski K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Jagiellonia Białystok
46.6%

Draw
25.3%

Pogoń Szczecin
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

26.5%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

27.3%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Jagiellonia Białystok - Pogoń Szczecin Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.16)	3.69 ↑ (3.54)	3.32 ↑ (3.12)	6.6% (6.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Jagiellonia Białystok - Pogoń Szczecin?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Jagiellonia (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Users Predictions: Jagiellonia Białystok will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 4).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Jagiellonia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Jagiellonia might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Jagiellonia: Romanczuk T. (Knee Injury) Sacek M. (Leg Injury)
There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Przyborek A. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Jagiellonia: Diaby-Fadiga L. (Leg Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:27. (average 1.2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Jagiellonia won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.7:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Pogoń Szczecin?

Jagiellonia Białystok has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Jagiellonia Białystok?

Pogoń Szczecin has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Jagiellonia Białystok - Pogoń Szczecin were as follows:

01.12.2024 Pogoń Szczecin - Jagiellonia Białystok 1:1

26.04.2024 Jagiellonia Białystok - Pogoń Szczecin 2:2

03.04.2024 Pogoń Szczecin - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:1

28.10.2023 Pogoń Szczecin - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:1

11.02.2023 Jagiellonia Białystok - Pogoń Szczecin 2:0

Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok

16.05.2025 Śląsk Wrocław - Jagiellonia Białystok 1:1 ✺

10.05.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Jagiellonia Białystok 1:2 ✺

04.05.2025 Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Zabrze 1:1 ✺

27.04.2025 Korona Kielce - Jagiellonia Białystok 3:1 ✺

21.04.2025 Jagiellonia Białystok - Zagłębie Lubin 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin

17.05.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Lechia Gdańsk 3:3 ✺

14.05.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Motor Lublin 3:0 ✺

10.05.2025 Radomiak Radom - Pogoń Szczecin 2:0 ✺

02.05.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Legia Warsaw 3:4 ✺

25.04.2025 Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Szczecin 4:5 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Wisla Plock	3	3	0	0	6:1	5	9
2	Cracovia	2	2	0	0	6:1	5	6
3	Gornik Zabrze	2	2	0	0	3:1	2	6
4	Radomiak Radom	2	1	1	0	6:2	4	4
5	Termalica B-B	2	1	0	1	4:2	2	3
6	Legia	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
7	Widzew Lodz	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
8	Rakow	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
9	Pogon Szczecin	2	1	0	1	5:6	-1	3
10	Lech Poznan	2	1	0	1	5:7	-2	3
11	Motor Lublin	2	1	0	1	2:4	-2	3
12	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	3:6	-3	3
13	Zaglebie	3	0	2	1	3:4	-1	2
14	GKS Katowice	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
15	Arka Gdynia	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
16	Korona Kielce	3	0	1	2	1:5	-4	1
17	Piast Gliwice	2	0	0	2	0:3	-3	0
18	Lechia Gdansk	2	0	0	2	4:6	-2	-5

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1