Result
2:0
03/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 14
- Referee: Malec P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (196/279) | 88% (552/625) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 39 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (196/279) | 88% (552/625) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (24/67) | 68% (27/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (56/96) | 75% (151/202) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 18% (7/39) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.53 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 27 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.81 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', Tavares T. 🟨,
- 22', 1 - 0, Koutris L. (Own goal),
- 45+1', Juwara M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Juwara M. ↓, Smolinski K. ↑,
- 46', Ali H. ↓, Lis J. ↑,
- 46', Koutris L. ↓, Leo Borges ↑,
- 55', Tavares T. ↓, Pacheco D. ↑,
- 56', 2 - 0, Pacheco D. ⚽,
- 70', Nowak W. ↓, Mijuskovic N. ↑,
- 70', Juric D. ↓, Salvador I. ↑,
- 70', Sekulski L. ↓, Niarchos G. ↑,
- 76', Ulvestad F. ↓, Mukairu P. ↑,
- 76', Ndiaye M. ↓, Bieganski J. ↑,
- 87', Lecoeuche Q. ↓, Nastic B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Wisła Płock
41.7% | Draw
26.8% | Pogoń Szczecin
31.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wisła Płock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (+2.5%)The ML Model estimate for Pogoń Szczecin aligns with the current prediction.
Wisła Płock - Pogoń Szczecin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↓
(2.33) |
3.5 ↓
(3.76) |
2.92 ↑
(2.76) |
7.2%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Wisła Płock - Pogoń Szczecin?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Wisła Płock will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wisła Płock: 50.9% – 95.7%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Wisła Płock (votes: 3 - 50%). Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 3 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Pogoń Szczecin (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Pogoń Szczecin (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Wisła Płock (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 5 - 62.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 2.
- In recent matches, Wisła Płock has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Pogoń Szczecin is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Wisła Płock: Gostomski M.
(Knee Injury)
Jimenez J.
(Foot Injury)
Wieckowski M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Renyer
(Inactive)
Wahlqvist L.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wisła Płock won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Wisła Płock won against Pogoń Szczecin?
Wisła Płock has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Wisła Płock?
Pogoń Szczecin has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wisła Płock - Pogoń Szczecin were as follows:
26.02.2023
Wisła Płock
-
Pogoń Szczecin
0:1
Latest results of Wisła Płock
Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 46:37 | 9 | 45 |
| 2 | Jagiellonia | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 44:35 | 9 | 43 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 39:32 | 7 | 42 |
| 4 | Wisla Plock | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 42 |
| 5 | Zaglebie | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 41:33 | 8 | 41 |
| 6 | Rakow | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 36:34 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | GKS Katowice | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 36:35 | 1 | 39 |
| 8 | Motor Lublin | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 36:39 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 37 |
| 10 | Lechia Gdansk | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 55:51 | 4 | 37 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 36 |
| 12 | Piast Gliwice | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 34:36 | -2 | 35 |
| 13 | Radomiak Radom | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 43:41 | 2 | 34 |
| 14 | Pogon Szczecin | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 36:42 | -6 | 34 |
| 15 | Legia | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 32:31 | 1 | 33 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 28:45 | -17 | 33 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 32:35 | -3 | 30 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 33:50 | -17 | 25 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
