Skënderbeu Korçë vs Pogradeci – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
07/12/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Kategoria e Parë - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldFIFA+

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Nasr S. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 48', 1 - 1, Kazeem S. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 2, Danladi S. ,

Chances of winning


Skënderbeu Korçë
69.9%
Draw
21.2%
Pogradeci
8.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.1% 25.9% 17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9% 25.1% 16.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Skënderbeu Korçë has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Skënderbeu Korçë's performance.
  • Pogradeci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pogradeci might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skënderbeu Korçë than the current prediction. (-11%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Skënderbeu Korçë that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogradeci than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pogradeci could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Skënderbeu Korçë - Pogradeci Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.59)
    4.26
    (3.5)
    10.19
    (5.34)
    10.8%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Skënderbeu Korçë - Pogradeci?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pogradeci (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: )).
    • Skënderbeu is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Pogradeci's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Pogradeci may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Skënderbeu is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Skënderbeu will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Skënderbeu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Skënderbeu Korçë - Pogradeci were as follows:
    19.09.2025 Pogradeci - Skënderbeu Korçë 0:1
    Latest results of Skënderbeu Korçë
    Latest results of Pogradeci
    03.12.2025 Laçi - Pogradeci 0:0
    29.11.2025 Pogradeci - Iliria 0:0
    07.11.2025 Burreli - Pogradeci 2:0
    03.11.2025 Pogradeci - Apolonia Fier 1:0
    Albanian First Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Skenderbeu24183346:232357
    2Laci24166241:152654
    3Pogradeci24147339:201949
    4Iliria Fushe-Kruje2489723:24-133
    5Kastrioti2496930:35-533
    6Burreli2487919:27-831
    7Besa Kavaje24771026:26028
    8Korabi Peshkopi24771025:29-428
    9Apolonia Fier24661222:29-724
    10Lushnja24481221:33-1220
    11AF Luftetari243101124:35-1119
    12Kukesi24441619:39-2016

          Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore
          Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: )
          Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)
          Relegation