Result
1:2
16/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 13', 0 - 1, Zakayo E. ⚽,
- 30', 0 - 2, Simiyu D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 90+5', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Tusker 35.7% | Draw 33.7% | Police FC 30.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tusker has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Police FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tusker than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Police FC than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Tusker - Police FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.54 ↑ (2.4) |
2.69 ↓ (2.75) |
2.96 ↓ (3.17) |
10.3% (9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Tusker - Police FC?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Police (1.94) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Police (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tusker won 2.
- Tusker is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Police has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Tusker may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Police has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Tusker won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tusker won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 0.8:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Tusker won against Police FC?
Tusker has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Police FC won against Tusker?
Police FC has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tusker - Police FC were as follows:
08.02.2025
Tusker
-
Police FC
0:0
29.09.2024
Police FC
-
Tusker
1:1
20.12.2023
Tusker
-
Police FC
1:0
15.04.2023
Tusker
-
Police FC
1:0
28.01.2023
Police FC
-
Tusker
3:0
Latest results of Police FC
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 38:15 | 23 | 49 |
| 2 | Leopards | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 30:14 | 16 | 43 |
| 3 | Shabana | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 40 |
| 4 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 34:23 | 11 | 38 |
| 5 | Police FC | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 20:14 | 6 | 37 |
| 6 | Muranga | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 31:25 | 6 | 36 |
| 7 | Tusker | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 21:24 | -3 | 34 |
| 8 | Bandari | 23 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 32 |
| 9 | KCB | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 32 |
| 10 | Nairobi United | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 29 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 28 |
| 12 | Mathare Utd | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 17:22 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Posta Rangers | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 18:27 | -9 | 24 |
| 14 | Kariobangi Sharks | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 |
| 15 | Bidco United | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 15:27 | -12 | 20 |
| 16 | Ulinzi Stars | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 19:26 | -7 | 19 |
| 17 | APS Bomet | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23:32 | -9 | 19 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15:33 | -18 | 14 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League