Accrington Stanley vs Port Vale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

The Wham Stadium (Accrington).

EFL Trophy
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.11	1.20
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
16	12
Shots on target
2	5
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
4	3
Passes
70% (254/363)	66% (220/332)
Yellow Cards
5	0
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11	1.20
xG on target (xGOT)
0.33	2.31
Total shots
16	12
Shots on target
2	5
Shots off target
8	4
Blocked Shots
6	3
Shots inside the Box
9	6
Shots outside the Box
7	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
4	3
Touches in opposition box
14	18
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
13	14
Passes
70% (254/363)	66% (220/332)
Long passes
37% (30/81)	35% (29/83)
Passes in final third
52% (59/113)	49% (41/83)
Crosses
33% (5/15)	18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.41	0.71
Throw-ins
27	25
Fouls
14	13
Tackles
42% (8/19)	47% (7/15)
Duels won
62	69
Clearances
25	28
Interceptions
8	11
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
xGOT faced
2.31	0.33
Goals prevented
0.31	0.33

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Love D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Debrah J. ↓, Hall C. ↑,
48', Madden P. 🟨,
51', Kyle John ↓, Lomax B. ↑,
67', Madden P. ↓, Caton C. ↑,
68', Popoola A. ↓, Woods J. ↑,
69', Paton R. ↓, Hall G. ↑,
70', Stockley J. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
78', Ward B. 🟥,
78', Kelly M. 🟨,
82', 0 - 1, Hall C. ⚽, Curtis R. (A),
82', Grant C. ↓, Smith J. ↑,
85', 0 - 2, Faal M. ⚽, Curtis R. (A),
88', Matthews D. 🟨,
90+2', Pye L. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Accrington Stanley
20.4%

Draw
23.3%

Port Vale
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.9%

25.1%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

24.6%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Accrington Stanley - Port Vale Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.51 ↑ (4.2)	4.02 ↑ (3.66)	1.67 ↓ (1.74)	7.1% (8.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Port Vale?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Port Vale (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Port Vale will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 1.
Recent performances by Accrington have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Port Vale is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Port Vale may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Port Vale is a strong favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.5:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Accrington Stanley won against Port Vale?

Accrington Stanley has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Accrington Stanley?

Port Vale has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Port Vale were as follows:

01.02.2025 Port Vale - Accrington Stanley 2:1

21.09.2024 Accrington Stanley - Port Vale 2:2

07.04.2023 Accrington Stanley - Port Vale 3:0

07.02.2023 Port Vale - Accrington Stanley 1:1

Latest results of Accrington Stanley

04.10.2025 Barnet - Accrington Stanley 2:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Accrington Stanley - Walsall 1:3 ✺

20.09.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Accrington Stanley 1:2 ✺

13.09.2025 Accrington Stanley - Colchester United 1:0 ✺

06.09.2025 Cheltenham Town - Accrington Stanley 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Port Vale

04.10.2025 Port Vale - Northampton Town 0:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Barnsley - Port Vale 0:2 ✺

24.09.2025 Port Vale - Arsenal 0:2 ✺

20.09.2025 Port Vale - Mansfield Town 2:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Exeter City - Port Vale 0:2 ✺

English EFL Trophy Table

2025/26

Group 1

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Salford	2	2	0	0	0	5:1	6
2	Stockport County	2	1	0	0	1	6:6	3
3	Wolves U21	2	1	0	0	1	5:6	3
4	Wigan	2	0	0	0	2	1:4	0

Group 2

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Blackpool	2	2	0	0	0	7:1	6
2	Tranmere	2	1	1	0	0	4:3	5
3	Nottingham U21	2	0	0	1	1	3:4	1
4	Barrow	2	0	0	0	2	1:7	0

Group 3

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Bradford City	2	2	0	0	0	7:2	6
2	Doncaster	2	2	0	0	0	5:1	6
3	Grimsby	2	0	0	0	2	1:5	0
4	Everton U21	2	0	0	0	2	2:7	0

Group 4

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Lincoln	2	2	0	0	0	6:0	6
2	Barnsley	2	1	0	0	1	6:4	3
3	Notts Co	2	1	0	0	1	2:4	3
4	Manchester Utd U21	2	0	0	0	2	2:8	0

Group 5

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Bolton	2	2	0	0	0	4:0	6
2	Manchester City U21	2	1	0	0	1	5:4	3
3	Rotherham	2	1	0	0	1	3:3	3
4	Oldham	2	0	0	0	2	3:8	0

Group 6

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Harrogate	2	2	0	0	0	2:0	6
2	Huddersfield	2	1	0	0	1	6:3	3
3	Newcastle Utd U21	2	0	1	0	1	4:8	2
4	Mansfield	2	0	0	1	1	2:3	1

Group 7

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Port Vale	2	2	0	0	0	6:1	6
2	Fleetwood	2	1	1	0	0	6:2	5
3	Accrington	2	0	0	1	1	2:4	1
4	Leeds U21	2	0	0	0	2	1:8	0

Group 8

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Crewe	2	2	0	0	0	9:1	6
2	Burton	2	1	0	0	1	2:1	3
3	Chesterfield	2	1	0	0	1	2:7	3
4	Liverpool U21	2	0	0	0	2	0:4	0

Group 9

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Arsenal U21	1	1	0	0	0	2:1	3
2	Newport	2	1	0	0	1	2:2	3
3	Cardiff	2	1	0	0	1	1:1	3
4	Exeter	1	0	0	0	1	0:1	0

Group 10

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Plymouth	2	2	0	0	0	8:2	6
2	Bristol Rovers	2	1	1	0	0	5:4	5
3	Tottenham U21	2	0	0	1	1	6:10	1
4	Cheltenham	2	0	0	0	2	0:3	0

Group 11

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Northampton	2	2	0	0	0	4:0	6
2	Walsall	2	1	0	0	1	3:2	3
3	Shrewsbury	2	1	0	0	1	4:4	3
4	Chelsea U21	2	0	0	0	2	1:6	0

Group 12

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Reading	3	2	0	0	1	6:4	6
2	West Ham U21	2	1	0	0	1	6:4	3
3	Swindon	1	1	0	0	0	3:2	3
4	MK Dons	2	0	0	0	2	1:6	0

Group 13

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Stevenage	3	3	0	0	0	12:4	9
2	AFC Wimbledon	2	1	0	0	1	4:6	3
3	Bromley	2	0	1	0	1	4:5	2
4	Crystal Palace U21	3	0	0	1	2	6:11	1

Group 14

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Leyton Orient	2	2	0	0	0	5:2	6
2	Crawley	2	1	0	0	1	5:4	3
3	Peterborough	2	1	0	0	1	5:5	3
4	Aston Villa U21	2	0	0	0	2	4:8	0

Group 15

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Colchester	2	2	0	0	0	4:2	6
2	Gillingham	2	1	0	0	1	5:3	3
3	Wycombe	2	1	0	0	1	4:3	3
4	Fulham U21	2	0	0	0	2	2:7	0

Group 16

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Barnet	3	1	1	0	1	5:7	5
2	Luton	2	1	0	0	1	5:4	3
3	Cambridge Utd	2	1	0	0	1	5:4	3
4	Brighton U21	1	0	0	1	0	1:1	1