Accrington Stanley vs Port Vale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
07/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Trophy
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.111.20
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
70% (254/363)66% (220/332)
Yellow Cards
50
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.111.20
xG on target (xGOT)
0.332.31
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1418
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
70% (254/363)66% (220/332)
Long passes
37% (30/81)35% (29/83)
Passes in final third
52% (59/113)49% (41/83)
Crosses
33% (5/15)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.410.71
Throw-ins
2725
Fouls
1413
Tackles
42% (8/19)47% (7/15)
Duels won
6269
Clearances
2528
Interceptions
811
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
2.310.33
Goals prevented
0.310.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45', Love D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Debrah J. , Hall C. ,
  • 48', Madden P. 🟨,
  • 51', Kyle John , Lomax B. ,
  • 67', Madden P. , Caton C. ,
  • 68', Popoola A. , Woods J. ,
  • 69', Paton R. , Hall G. ,
  • 70', Stockley J. , Brown D. ,
  • 78', Ward B. 🟥,
  • 78', Kelly M. 🟨,
  • 82', 0 - 1, Hall C. , Curtis R. (A),
  • 82', Grant C. , Smith J. ,
  • 85', 0 - 2, Faal M. , Curtis R. (A),
  • 88', Matthews D. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Pye L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Accrington Stanley
20.4%
Draw
23.3%
Port Vale
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.9% 25.1% 53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5% 24.6% 54.1%

Accrington Stanley - Port Vale Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.51
(4.2)
4.02
(3.66)
1.67
(1.74)
7.1%
(8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Port Vale?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Port Vale (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Port Vale will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.83%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 1.
    • Recent performances by Accrington have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Port Vale is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Port Vale may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Port Vale is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.5:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Port Vale were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Port Vale - Accrington Stanley 2:1
    21.09.2024 Accrington Stanley - Port Vale 2:2
    07.04.2023 Accrington Stanley - Port Vale 3:0
    07.02.2023 Port Vale - Accrington Stanley 1:1
    Latest results of Accrington Stanley
    Latest results of Port Vale
    27.09.2025 Barnsley - Port Vale 0:2
    24.09.2025 Port Vale - Arsenal 0:2
    20.09.2025 Port Vale - Mansfield Town 2:1
    13.09.2025 Exeter City - Port Vale 0:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LincolnHuddersfield0 : 2
    2SalfordRotherham2 : 7
    3DoncasterChesterfield5 : 1
    4TranmereFleetwood0 : 3
    5BoltonBradford City3 : 0
    6Port ValeBarnsley5 : 0
    7CreweStockport County1 : 2
    8HarrogateBlackpool4 : 2
    9ColchesterWest Ham U21
    10CardiffAFC Wimbledon1 : 5
    11LutonExeter4 : 0
    12SwindonPeterborough1 : 0
    13NorthamptonWycombe2 : 0
    14StevenageWalsall1 : 2
    15Bristol RoversCambridge Utd3 : 2
    16Leyton OrientPlymouth0 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1HuddersfieldRotherham
    2DoncasterFleetwood
    3BoltonPort Vale
    4Stockport CountyHarrogate
    5TBD #9AFC Wimbledon
    6LutonSwindon
    7NorthamptonWalsall
    8Bristol RoversPlymouth