Result
1:0
21/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 39
- Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.41 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 54% (137/255) | 65% (244/374) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 54% (137/255) | 65% (244/374) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (23/81) | 43% (46/107) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (47/100) | 53% (86/161) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 13% (3/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.54 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 39 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 71 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 66 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | -0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', Osei-Tutu J. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 0, Hall G. ⚽, Headley J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Apter R. ↓, Conway M. ↑,
- 60', Erhahon E. 🟨,
- 61', Erhahon E. ↓, Sheehan J. ↑,
- 61', Simons X. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,
- 69', Garrity B. ↓, Waine B. ↑,
- 74', Osei-Tutu J. ↓, Burstow M. ↑,
- 74', Toal E. ↓, Christie C. ↑,
- 78', Sherif M. ↓, Shipley J. ↑,
- 84', Hall G. ↓, Archer E. ↑,
- 85', Headley J. ↓, Magloire T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Port Vale
17.6% | Draw
22.9% | Bolton Wanderers
59.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bolton Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bolton Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Port Vale - Bolton Wanderers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.31 ↑
(4.3) |
4.08 ↑
(3.69) |
1.58 ↓
(1.76) |
6.9%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Port Vale - Bolton Wanderers?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Bolton will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 1.
- Port Vale has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Bolton is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Bolton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Port Vale has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Bolton is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Port Vale: Byers G.
(Injury)
Croasdale R.
(Inactive)
Heneghan B.
(Injury)
Stockley J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Bolton: Blackett-Taylor C.
(Injury)
Cozier-Duberry A.
(Inactive)
Forss M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Port Vale: Humphreys C.
(Inactive)
Kyle John
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Bolton: McAtee J.
(Inactive)
Taylor R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 13:30. (average 0.9:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 2:11. (average 0.3:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Bolton Wanderers?
Port Vale has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Port Vale?
Bolton Wanderers has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Bolton Wanderers were as follows:
13.01.2026
Bolton Wanderers
-
Port Vale
0:1
08.11.2025
Bolton Wanderers
-
Port Vale
4:0
03.08.2024
Port Vale
-
Bolton Wanderers
0:3
20.04.2024
Bolton Wanderers
-
Port Vale
2:0
05.12.2023
Bolton Wanderers
-
Port Vale
2:0
Latest results of Port Vale
Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 42 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 79:36 | 43 | 93 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 76:42 | 34 | 81 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 42 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 71 |
| 4 | Bolton | 42 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 59:44 | 15 | 70 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 59:50 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 41 | 19 | 10 | 12 | 43:38 | 5 | 67 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 66:58 | 8 | 63 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 65:56 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Reading | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 62:55 | 7 | 62 |
| 10 | Luton | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 57:50 | 7 | 61 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 63:51 | 12 | 60 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 40 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 63:65 | -2 | 54 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 50:43 | 7 | 53 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 42 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 43:64 | -21 | 53 |
| 15 | Wigan | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 46:56 | -10 | 52 |
| 16 | Peterborough | 41 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 60:58 | 2 | 51 |
| 17 | Burton | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 46:56 | -10 | 51 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 43 | 14 | 9 | 20 | 51:65 | -14 | 51 |
| 19 | Leyton Orient | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 57:66 | -9 | 50 |
| 20 | AFC Wimbledon | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:63 | -14 | 50 |
| 21 | Exeter | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 47:55 | -8 | 47 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 41 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 36:62 | -26 | 37 |
| 23 | Northampton | 41 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 34:60 | -26 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 30:54 | -24 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Qualified for Championship
