Port Vale vs Fleetwood Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Vale Park (Stoke on Trent).

FA Cup - 1/32-finals
Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	Sportsnet+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Malta	TSN Malta 3
Peru	Disney+
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 7
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.78	0.92
Ball possession
46%	54%
Total shots
13	14
Shots on target
4	1
Big chances
1	0
Corner kicks
8	8
Passes
67% (196/294)	66% (231/350)
Yellow cards
2	2
Expected goals (xG)
1.78	0.92
xG on target (xGOT)
2.25	0.10
Total shots
13	14
Shots on target
4	1
Shots off target
4	7
Blocked shots
5	6
Shots inside the box
9	9
Shots outside the box
4	5
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
1	0
Corner kicks
8	8
Touches in opposition box
18	37
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
5	1
Free kicks
12	8
Passes
67% (196/294)	66% (231/350)
Long passes
45% (35/78)	44% (40/90)
Passes in final third
55% (41/74)	51% (73/144)
Crosses
29% (6/21)	17% (5/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.71	0.88
Throw ins
20	28
Fouls
8	12
Tackles
52% (11/21)	58% (7/12)
Duels won
79	64
Clearances
53	30
Interceptions
13	3
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.10	2.25
Goals prevented
0.10	1.25

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Mullarkey T. 🟨,
42', McCann L. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
45+2', 1 - 0, Shipley J. ⚽, Cole D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Neal H. 🟨,
59', Mullarkey T. ↓, Rooney S. ↑,
59', Neal H. ↓, Hughes K. ↑,
62', Stockley J. ↓, Croasdale R. ↑,
62', Hall G. ↓, Faal M. ↑,
69', Shipley J. 🟨,
71', Davies J. ↓, Virtue-Thick M. ↑,
72', Davies W. ↓, Devonport O. ↑,
75', Johnson M. ↓, Headley J. ↑,
78', Waine B. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
85', Gauci J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Port Vale
52.7%

Draw
25.8%

Fleetwood Town
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

24.3%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

25.6%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Port Vale, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-3%)

Port Vale - Fleetwood Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.66)	3.64 ↓ (3.85)	4.35 ↓ (4.79)	6.8% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Port Vale - Fleetwood Town?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Fleetwood will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Port Vale: 21.5% – 71.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Port Vale (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Fleetwood (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 1.
Recent form of Port Vale has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Fleetwood has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Port Vale is a strong favorite.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:26. (average 1.5:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.7:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Fleetwood Town?

Port Vale has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Port Vale?

Fleetwood Town has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Fleetwood Town were as follows:

11.11.2025 Port Vale - Fleetwood Town 3:4

08.03.2025 Fleetwood Town - Port Vale 1:1

19.10.2024 Port Vale - Fleetwood Town 3:1

27.02.2024 Port Vale - Fleetwood Town 2:2

03.02.2024 Fleetwood Town - Port Vale 3:0

Latest results of Port Vale

04.01.2026 Port Vale - Barnsley Postponed ✺

01.01.2026 Port Vale - Blackpool 5:1 ✺

29.12.2025 Bradford City - Port Vale 1:0 ✺

26.12.2025 Huddersfield Town - Port Vale 5:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Port Vale - Peterborough United 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Fleetwood Town

01.01.2026 Fleetwood Town - Grimsby Town 0:1 ✺

29.12.2025 Salford City - Fleetwood Town 0:0 ✺

26.12.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Fleetwood Town 1:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Fleetwood Town - Gillingham 2:1 ✺

13.12.2025 Newport County - Fleetwood Town 0:2 ✺

Draw

Main

1/128-finals

1	Stoke	Bye
4	Bye	Coventry
5	Fulham	Bye
8	Bye	Middlesbrough
9	Stevenage	Chesterfield	0 : 1
10	Crewe	Doncaster	1 : 2
12	Bye	Southampton
13	Cheltenham	Bradford City	1 : 0
14	Buxton	Chatham	2 : 1
16	Bye	Leicester
17	Tottenham	Bye
20	Bye	Aston Villa
21	Newcastle	Bye
24	Bye	Bournemouth
25	Manchester City	Bye
27	FC Halifax	Exeter	0 : 2
28	Wycombe	Plymouth	2 : 0
29	Salford	Lincoln	2 : 1
30	Tamworth	Leyton Orient	0 : 1
31	Rotherham	Swindon	1 : 2
32	Bolton	Huddersfield	2 : 1
33	Boreham Wood	Crawley	3 : 0
34	Newport	Gillingham	3 : 2
35	Brackley Town	Notts Co	3 : 2
36	Burton	St. Albans	6 : 0
37	West Ham	Bye
40	Bye	QPR
41	Slough	Altrincham	2 : 1
42	Macclesfield	AFC Totton	6 : 3
44	Bye	Crystal Palace
45	Sheffield Wed	Bye
48	Bye	Brentford
49	Burnley	Bye
52	Bye	Millwall
53	Sheffield Utd	Bye
55	Gainsborough	Accrington	1 : 2
56	Mansfield	Harrogate	3 : 2
57	Portsmouth	Bye
60	Bye	Arsenal
61	Preston	Bye
63	Wigan	Hemel Hempstead	2 : 1
64	Spennymoor	Barrow	0 : 2
65	Grimsby	Ebbsfleet	3 : 1
66	Wealdstone	Southend	1 : 0
67	Chelmsford	Braintree	4 : 1
68	Weston-super-Mare	Aldershot	2 : 1
69	Wolves	Bye
71	Sutton	AFC Telford	2 : 1
72	South Shields	Shrewsbury	1 : 3
73	Liverpool	Bye
75	Peterborough	Cardiff	1 : 0
76	Barnsley	York City	3 : 2
77	Manchester Utd	Bye
80	Bye	Brighton
81	Port Vale	Maldon & Tiptree	5 : 1
82	Bromley	Bristol Rovers	1 : 2
83	Fleetwood	Barnet	2 : 1
84	Luton	Forest Green	4 : 3
85	Bristol City	Bye
88	Bye	Watford
89	Colchester	MK Dons	2 : 3
90	Oldham	Northampton	3 : 1
92	Bye	Oxford Utd
93	Everton	Bye
96	Bye	Sunderland
97	Wrexham	Bye
100	Bye	Nottingham
101	Ipswich	Bye
103	Blackpool	Scunthorpe	1 : 0
104	Reading	Carlisle	2 : 3
105	Hull	Bye
108	Bye	Blackburn
109	Charlton	Bye
112	Bye	Chelsea
113	Tranmere	Stockport County	1 : 3
114	Cambridge Utd	Chester	3 : 0
116	Bye	Birmingham
117	Derby	Bye
120	Bye	Leeds
121	Norwich	Bye
123	AFC Wimbledon	Gateshead	0 : 2
124	Eastleigh	Walsall	0 : 3
125	Swansea	Bye
128	Bye	West Brom

1/64-finals

1	Stoke	Bye
2	Bye	Coventry
3	Fulham	Bye
4	Bye	Middlesbrough
5	Chesterfield	Doncaster	1 : 2
6	Bye	Southampton
7	Cheltenham	Buxton	6 : 2
8	Bye	Leicester
9	Tottenham	Bye
10	Bye	Aston Villa
11	Newcastle	Bye
12	Bye	Bournemouth
13	Manchester City	Bye
14	Exeter	Wycombe	4 : 0
15	Salford	Leyton Orient	4 : 0
16	Swindon	Bolton	4 : 0
17	Boreham Wood	Newport	3 : 0
18	Brackley Town	Burton	1 : 3
19	West Ham	Bye
20	Bye	QPR
21	Slough	Macclesfield	1 : 3
22	Bye	Crystal Palace
23	Sheffield Wed	Bye
24	Bye	Brentford
25	Burnley	Bye
26	Bye	Millwall
27	Sheffield Utd	Bye
28	Accrington	Mansfield	2 : 3
29	Portsmouth	Bye
30	Bye	Arsenal
31	Preston	Bye
32	Wigan	Barrow	3 : 2
33	Grimsby	Wealdstone	4 : 0
34	Chelmsford	Weston-super-Mare	0 : 2
35	Wolves	Bye
36	Sutton	Shrewsbury	1 : 2
37	Liverpool	Bye
38	Peterborough	Barnsley	0 : 1
39	Manchester Utd	Bye
40	Bye	Brighton
41	Port Vale	Bristol Rovers	1 : 0
42	Fleetwood	Luton	3 : 2
43	Bristol City	Bye
44	Bye	Watford
45	MK Dons	Oldham	3 : 1
46	Bye	Oxford Utd
47	Everton	Bye
48	Bye	Sunderland
49	Wrexham	Bye
50	Bye	Nottingham
51	Ipswich	Bye
52	Blackpool	Carlisle	4 : 1
53	Hull	Bye
54	Bye	Blackburn
55	Charlton	Bye
56	Bye	Chelsea
57	Stockport County	Cambridge Utd	0 : 1
58	Bye	Birmingham
59	Derby	Bye
60	Bye	Leeds
61	Norwich	Bye
62	Gateshead	Walsall	0 : 2
63	Swansea	Bye
64	Bye	West Brom

1/32-finals

1	Stoke	Coventry	1 : 0
2	Fulham	Middlesbrough	3 : 1
3	Doncaster	Southampton	2 : 3
4	Cheltenham	Leicester	0 : 2
5	Tottenham	Aston Villa	1 : 2
6	Newcastle	Bournemouth	4 : 3
7	Manchester City	Exeter	10 : 1
8	Salford	Swindon	3 : 2
9	Boreham Wood	Burton	0 : 5
10	West Ham	QPR	2 : 1
11	Macclesfield	Crystal Palace	2 : 1
12	Sheffield Wed	Brentford	0 : 2
13	Burnley	Millwall	5 : 1
14	Sheffield Utd	Mansfield	3 : 4
15	Portsmouth	Arsenal	1 : 4
16	Preston	Wigan	0 : 1
17	Grimsby	Weston-super-Mare	3 : 2
18	Wolves	Shrewsbury	6 : 1
19	Liverpool	Barnsley	4 : 1
20	Manchester Utd	Brighton	1 : 2
21	Port Vale	Fleetwood	1 : 0
22	Bristol City	Watford	5 : 1
23	MK Dons	Oxford Utd	1 : 2
24	Everton	Sunderland	1 : 2
25	Wrexham	Nottingham	4 : 3
26	Ipswich	Blackpool	2 : 1
27	Hull	Blackburn	1 : 0
28	Charlton	Chelsea	1 : 5
29	Cambridge Utd	Birmingham	2 : 3
30	Derby	Leeds	1 : 3
31	Norwich	Walsall	5 : 1
32	Swansea	West Brom	2 : 3

1/16-finals

1	Stoke	Fulham	1 : 2
2	Southampton	Leicester	2 : 1
3	Aston Villa	Newcastle	1 : 3
4	Manchester City	Salford	2 : 0
5	Burton	West Ham	0 : 1
6	Macclesfield	Brentford	0 : 1
7	Burnley	Mansfield	1 : 2
8	Arsenal	Wigan	4 : 0
9	Grimsby	Wolves	0 : 1
10	Liverpool	Brighton	3 : 0
11	Port Vale	Bristol City
12	Oxford Utd	Sunderland	0 : 1
13	Wrexham	Ipswich	1 : 0
14	Hull	Chelsea	0 : 4
15	Birmingham	Leeds	1 : 2
16	Norwich	West Brom	3 : 1

1/8-finals

1	Fulham	Southampton
2	Newcastle	Manchester City
3	West Ham	Brentford
4	Mansfield	Arsenal
5	Wolves	Liverpool
6	TBD #11	Sunderland
7	Wrexham	Chelsea
8	Leeds	Norwich