Result
3:4 penalties
11/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EFL Trophy
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.73 | 0.88 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (370/440) | 73% (238/325) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.73 | 0.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.39 | 1.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (370/440) | 73% (238/325) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (18/46) | 29% (21/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (93/127) | 58% (61/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 10% (2/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.72 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.10 | 3.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.90 | 0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 32', 0 - 1, Helm M. ⚽, Neal H. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 46', McCann L. ↓, Ennis E. ↑,
- 46', Kyle John ↓, Debrah J. ↑,
- 46', Humphreys C. ↓, Hall C. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 1, Shipley J. ⚽, Ojo F. (A),
- 56', 2 - 1, Brown D. ⚽,
- 66', Coughlan R. ↓, Davies W. ↑,
- 67', Neal H. ↓, Virtue-Thick M. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 2, Medley Z. ⚽, Helm M. (A),
- 71', Shipley J. ↓, Byers G. ↑,
- 71', Brown D. ↓, Paton R. ↑,
- 75', Norwood J. ↓, Graydon R. ↑,
- 81', Faal M. ↓, Hall G. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 3, Medley Z. ⚽,
- 88', 3 - 3, Hall G. ⚽,
- Penalties (2 - 4)
- 1, Helm M. (Pen),
- 1, Stockley J. (Pen),
- 2, Davies W. (Pen),
- 2, Curtis R. (Pen),
- 3, Graydon R. (Pen),
- 3, Paton R. (Pen),
- 4, Ennis E. (Pen),
- 4, Byers G. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Port Vale
56.4% | Draw
24.3% | Fleetwood Town
19.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Port Vale - Fleetwood Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↑
(1.62) |
3.85 ↓
(3.97) |
4.73 ↓
(4.97) |
6.9%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Port Vale - Fleetwood Town?
Users Predictions:
Port Vale will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 2.
- Port Vale is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Fleetwood is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Port Vale is a strong favorite.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Fleetwood Town?
Port Vale has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Port Vale?
Fleetwood Town has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Fleetwood Town were as follows:
08.03.2025
Fleetwood Town
-
Port Vale
1:1
19.10.2024
Port Vale
-
Fleetwood Town
3:1
27.02.2024
Port Vale
-
Fleetwood Town
2:2
03.02.2024
Fleetwood Town
-
Port Vale
3:0
08.08.2023
Port Vale
-
Fleetwood Town
3:2
Latest results of Port Vale
Latest results of Fleetwood Town
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Lincoln | Huddersfield | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Salford | Rotherham | 2 : 7 |
| 3 | Doncaster | Chesterfield | 5 : 1 |
| 4 | Tranmere | Fleetwood | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Bolton | Bradford City | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Port Vale | Barnsley | 5 : 0 |
| 7 | Crewe | Stockport County | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Harrogate | Blackpool | 4 : 2 |
| 9 | Colchester | West Ham U21 | |
| 10 | Cardiff | AFC Wimbledon | 1 : 5 |
| 11 | Luton | Exeter | 4 : 0 |
| 12 | Swindon | Peterborough | 1 : 0 |
| 13 | Northampton | Wycombe | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Stevenage | Walsall | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | Cambridge Utd | 3 : 2 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | Plymouth | 0 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Huddersfield | Rotherham | |
| 2 | Doncaster | Fleetwood | |
| 3 | Bolton | Port Vale | |
| 4 | Stockport County | Harrogate | |
| 5 | TBD #9 | AFC Wimbledon | |
| 6 | Luton | Swindon | |
| 7 | Northampton | Walsall | |
| 8 | Bristol Rovers | Plymouth | |
