Port Vale vs Leyton Orient – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Port Vale - Leyton Orient
Result
2:3
06/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 7
  • Referee: Joyce R. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.901.39
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
68% (214/316)79% (349/442)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.901.39
xG on target (xGOT)
2.531.50
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
129
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
2022
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
67
Passes
68% (214/316)79% (349/442)
Long passes
32% (18/56)26% (17/66)
Passes in final third
53% (65/122)66% (63/95)
Crosses
30% (7/23)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.140.87
Throw-ins
3722
Fouls
76
Tackles
55% (12/22)75% (9/12)
Duels won
6356
Clearances
1440
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
1.502.53
Goals prevented
-1.500.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Croasdale R. , Cole D. (A),
  • 9', Hall C. 🟨,
  • 13', 1 - 1, Connolly A. ,
  • 44', 1 - 2, Ballard D. , Koroma J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Faal M. , Paton R. ,
  • 46', Byers G. , Ojo F. ,
  • 52', 2 - 2, Cole D. ,
  • 53', Beckles O. 🟨,
  • 59', James T. , Edmonds-Green R. ,
  • 59', Beckles O. , Simpson J. ,
  • 64', O'Neill O. 🟨,
  • 69', O'Neill O. , Mitchell D. ,
  • 69', Moorhouse J. , Clare S. ,
  • 70', Cole D. , Brown D. ,
  • 76', Headley J. , Gordon L. ,
  • 78', Kyle John , Clark M. ,
  • 79', Ballard D. , Wellens C. ,
  • 90+3', 🟨,
  • 90+4', Clare S. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 2 - 3, Wellens C. , Koroma J. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Port Vale
44.9%
Draw
27.4%
Leyton Orient
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.9% 26.8% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4% 26.5% 30.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Port Vale - Leyton Orient Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2.26)
    3.51
    (3.52)
    3.59
    (3.02)
    3.2%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Port Vale - Leyton Orient?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Leyton Orient will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Port Vale: 10.6%60.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Leyton Orient (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Leyton Orient may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Port Vale is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Port Vale: Amos B. (Muscle Injury) Stockley J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Leyton Orient: Archibald T. (Knee Injury) Graham J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Leyton Orient: Obiero Z. (Knee Injury) Wellens C. (Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Leyton Orient were as follows:
    12.03.2024 Leyton Orient - Port Vale 0:0
    06.02.2024 Port Vale - Leyton Orient 0:1
    Latest results of Port Vale
    Latest results of Leyton Orient
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff1282221:101126
    2Stevenage1181217:9825
    3Bradford City1274122:15725
    4Stockport County1374219:14525
    5AFC Wimbledon1381419:14525
    6Lincoln1273218:10824
    7Bolton1355318:15320
    8Huddersfield1261518:15319
    9Mansfield1253418:14418
    10Barnsley1153318:16218
    11Northampton1352610:12-217
    12Doncaster1352612:18-617
    13Exeter1451814:14016
    14Wigan1344516:17-116
    15Luton1251614:15-116
    16Leyton Orient1342720:23-314
    17Reading1335514:18-414
    18Rotherham1242612:16-414
    19Wycombe1334615:16-113
    20Port Vale1334611:12-113
    21Plymouth1341817:23-613
    22Burton1233610:16-612
    23Peterborough123189:20-1110
    24Blackpool1323811:21-109

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two