Result
2:3
06/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 7
- Referee: Joyce R. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 1.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (214/316) | 79% (349/442) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 1.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.53 | 1.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (214/316) | 79% (349/442) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (18/56) | 26% (17/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (65/122) | 66% (63/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 37 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (12/22) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.50 | 2.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.50 | 0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 7', 1 - 0, Croasdale R. ⚽, Cole D. (A),
- 9', Hall C. 🟨,
- 13', 1 - 1, Connolly A. ⚽,
- 44', 1 - 2, Ballard D. ⚽, Koroma J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Faal M. ↓, Paton R. ↑,
- 46', Byers G. ↓, Ojo F. ↑,
- 52', 2 - 2, Cole D. ⚽,
- 53', Beckles O. 🟨,
- 59', James T. ↓, Edmonds-Green R. ↑,
- 59', Beckles O. ↓, Simpson J. ↑,
- 64', O'Neill O. 🟨,
- 69', O'Neill O. ↓, Mitchell D. ↑,
- 69', Moorhouse J. ↓, Clare S. ↑,
- 70', Cole D. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
- 76', Headley J. ↓, Gordon L. ↑,
- 78', Kyle John ↓, Clark M. ↑,
- 79', Ballard D. ↓, Wellens C. ↑,
- 90+3', 🟨,
- 90+4', Clare S. 🟨,
- 90+5', 2 - 3, Wellens C. ⚽, Koroma J. (A),
Chances of winning
Port Vale
44.9% | Draw
27.4% | Leyton Orient
27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Port Vale - Leyton Orient Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↓
(2.26) |
3.51 ↓
(3.52) |
3.59 ↑
(3.02) |
3.2%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Port Vale - Leyton Orient?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Leyton Orient will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Port Vale: 10.6% – 60.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Leyton Orient (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Leyton Orient may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Port Vale is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Port Vale: Amos B.
(Muscle Injury)
Stockley J.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Leyton Orient: Archibald T.
(Knee Injury)
Graham J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Leyton Orient: Obiero Z.
(Knee Injury)
Wellens C.
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Leyton Orient?
Port Vale has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leyton Orient won against Port Vale?
Leyton Orient has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Leyton Orient were as follows:
12.03.2024
Leyton Orient
-
Port Vale
0:0
06.02.2024
Port Vale
-
Leyton Orient
0:1
Latest results of Port Vale
Latest results of Leyton Orient
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:15 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 6 | Lincoln | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 24 |
| 7 | Bolton | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Mansfield | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 10 | Barnsley | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:16 | 2 | 18 |
| 11 | Northampton | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 10:12 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 | Doncaster | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 13 | Exeter | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 14:14 | 0 | 16 |
| 14 | Wigan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 16 |
| 15 | Luton | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 16 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 14 |
| 17 | Reading | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 |
| 18 | Rotherham | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 14 |
| 19 | Wycombe | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 20 | Port Vale | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
| 21 | Plymouth | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 13 |
| 22 | Burton | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9:20 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 | Blackpool | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
