Port Vale vs Morecambe: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

22/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Vale Park (Stoke on Trent).

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 38
Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.91	0.57
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Goal Attempts
15	8
Shots on Goal
4	2
Shots off Goal
5	2
Blocked Shots
6	4
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
3	5
Shots inside the Box
6	6
Shots outside the Box
9	2
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
Free Kicks
10	10
Offsides
4	1
Fouls
10	10
Yellow Cards
2	3
Throw-ins
24	21
Touches in the Opposition Box
32	12
Passes
77% (272/354)	72% (207/287)
Passes in the final third
63% (92/146)	51% (43/85)
Crosses
22% (4/18)	11% (2/19)
Tackles
43% (6/14)	79% (11/14)
Clearances Total
34	37
Interceptions
10	2

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Tutonda D. 🟨,
24', Hall C. 🟨,
31', Williams R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Angol L. 🟨,
63', Lewis A. ↓, Songo'o Y. ↑,
66', Walters R. ↓, Garrity B. ↑,
66', Clark M. ↓, Richards R. ↑,
70', Edwards G. ↓, Slew J. ↑,
84', Tollitt B. ↓, Garner G. ↑,
84', Jones C. ↓, Cooke C. ↑,
89', 1 - 0, Curtis R. ⚽, Richards R. (A),
90', Curtis R. 🟨,
90+3', Tolaj L. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
90+3', Richards R. ↓, Smith N. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Port Vale
61.8%

Draw
23%

Morecambe
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

24%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

23.2%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Port Vale's performance.

Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Morecambe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Port Vale - Morecambe Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.68)	4.05 ↑ (3.9)	6.27 ↑ (4.61)	6% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Port Vale - Morecambe?

Users Predictions: Port Vale will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 3.
Recent matches Port Vale is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Morecambe is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Port Vale could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Port Vale is a favorite.
There will not play in Port Vale: Headley J. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Morecambe: Hendrie L. (Inactive) Macadam H. (Inactive) Moore S. (Inactive) Ray G. (Inactive) Schofield R. (Injury) Taylor M. (Red Card)
There are questionable in Morecambe: Lewis P. (Injury)
Last 14 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15:10 (average 1.1:0.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Port Vale won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:3 (average 0.8:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Morecambe?

Port Vale has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Morecambe won against Port Vale?

Morecambe has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Morecambe were as follows:

16.11.2024 Morecambe - Port Vale 0:1

21.02.2023 Morecambe - Port Vale 1:0

26.12.2022 Port Vale - Morecambe 1:0

Latest results of Port Vale

15.03.2025 Port Vale - Milton Keynes Dons 3:0 ✺

11.03.2025 Colchester United - Port Vale 2:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Fleetwood Town - Port Vale 1:1 ✺

04.03.2025 Port Vale - Harrogate Town 0:0 ✺

01.03.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Port Vale 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Morecambe

15.03.2025 Morecambe - Barrow 2:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Morecambe 2:1 ✺

04.03.2025 Morecambe - AFC Wimbledon 1:0 ✺

01.03.2025 Gillingham - Morecambe 1:0 ✺

22.02.2025 Morecambe - Walsall 0:2 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Colchester	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bristol Rovers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Cheltenham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Crewe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Gillingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Oldham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Swindon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Tranmere	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Walsall	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Accrington	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Barnet	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Chesterfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Grimsby	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	MK Dons	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Notts Co	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Shrewsbury	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cambridge Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Crawley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Barrow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Bromley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Newport	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Harrogate	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Fleetwood	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	Salford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ League Two
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League

Which TV channels are streaming of Port Vale - Morecambe?

It is being streamed on channel


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+