Result
1:0
22/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: League Two - Round 38
- Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.91 | 0.57 |
Ball Possession |
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54% | 46% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
15 | 8 |
Shots on Goal |
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4 | 2 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
5 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
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6 | 4 |
Big Chances |
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0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
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6 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
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9 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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2 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
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10 | 10 |
Offsides |
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4 | 1 |
Fouls |
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10 | 10 |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 3 |
Throw-ins |
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24 | 21 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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32 | 12 |
Passes |
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77% (272/354) | 72% (207/287) |
Passes in the final third |
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63% (92/146) | 51% (43/85) |
Crosses |
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22% (4/18) | 11% (2/19) |
Tackles |
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43% (6/14) | 79% (11/14) |
Clearances Total |
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34 | 37 |
Interceptions |
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10 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Tutonda D. 🟨,
- 24', Hall C. 🟨,
- 31', Williams R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', Angol L. 🟨,
- 63', Lewis A. ↓, Songo'o Y. ↑,
- 66', Walters R. ↓, Garrity B. ↑,
- 66', Clark M. ↓, Richards R. ↑,
- 70', Edwards G. ↓, Slew J. ↑,
- 84', Tollitt B. ↓, Garner G. ↑,
- 84', Jones C. ↓, Cooke C. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 0, Curtis R. ⚽, Richards R. (A),
- 90', Curtis R. 🟨,
- 90+3', Tolaj L. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
- 90+3', Richards R. ↓, Smith N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Port Vale 61.8% | Draw 23% | Morecambe 15.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Port Vale's performance.Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Morecambe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Port Vale - Morecambe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.53 ↓ (1.68) |
4.05 ↑ (3.9) |
6.27 ↑ (4.61) |
6% (6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Port Vale - Morecambe?
Users Predictions:
Port Vale will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 3.
- Recent matches Port Vale is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Morecambe is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Port Vale could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Port Vale is a favorite.
- There will not play in Port Vale: Headley J.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Morecambe: Hendrie L.
(Inactive)
Macadam H.
(Inactive)
Moore S.
(Inactive)
Ray G.
(Inactive)
Schofield R.
(Injury)
Taylor M.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Morecambe: Lewis P.
(Injury)
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15:10 (average 1.1:0.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Port Vale won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:3 (average 0.8:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Morecambe?
Port Vale has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Morecambe won against Port Vale?
Morecambe has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Morecambe were as follows:
16.11.2024
Morecambe
-
Port Vale
0:1
21.02.2023
Morecambe
-
Port Vale
1:0
26.12.2022
Port Vale
-
Morecambe
1:0
Latest results of Port Vale
Latest results of Morecambe
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Colchester | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Bristol Rovers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Cheltenham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Crewe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Gillingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Oldham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Swindon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Tranmere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Walsall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Accrington | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Barnet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Chesterfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Grimsby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | MK Dons | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Notts Co | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Shrewsbury | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Cambridge Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Crawley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Barrow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Bromley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
21 | Newport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Harrogate | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
23 | Fleetwood | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
24 | Salford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League