Result
1:0
22/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: League Two - Round 38
- Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 32 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (272/354) | 72% (207/287) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 63% (92/146) | 51% (43/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 11% (2/19) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 79% (11/14) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 34 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Tutonda D. 🟨,
- 24', Hall C. 🟨,
- 31', Williams R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', Angol L. 🟨,
- 63', Lewis A. ↓, Songo'o Y. ↑,
- 66', Walters R. ↓, Garrity B. ↑,
- 66', Clark M. ↓, Richards R. ↑,
- 70', Edwards G. ↓, Slew J. ↑,
- 84', Tollitt B. ↓, Garner G. ↑,
- 84', Jones C. ↓, Cooke C. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 0, Curtis R. ⚽, Richards R. (A),
- 90', Curtis R. 🟨,
- 90+3', Tolaj L. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
- 90+3', Richards R. ↓, Smith N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Port Vale
61.8% | Draw
23% | Morecambe
15.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Port Vale's performance.Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Morecambe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Port Vale - Morecambe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↓
(1.68) |
4.05 ↑
(3.9) |
6.27 ↑
(4.61) |
6%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Port Vale - Morecambe?
Users Predictions:
Port Vale will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 3.
- Recent matches Port Vale is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Morecambe is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Port Vale could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Port Vale is a favorite.
- There will not play in Port Vale: Headley J.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Morecambe: Hendrie L.
(Inactive)
Macadam H.
(Inactive)
Moore S.
(Inactive)
Ray G.
(Inactive)
Schofield R.
(Injury)
Taylor M.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Morecambe: Lewis P.
(Injury)
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15:10 (average 1.1:0.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Port Vale won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:3 (average 0.8:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Morecambe?
Port Vale has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Morecambe won against Port Vale?
Morecambe has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Morecambe were as follows:
16.11.2024
Morecambe
-
Port Vale
0:1
21.02.2023
Morecambe
-
Port Vale
1:0
26.12.2022
Port Vale
-
Morecambe
1:0
Latest results of Port Vale
Latest results of Morecambe
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 35 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 69 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 35 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 55:44 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 49:38 | 11 | 55 |
| 9 | Salford | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 55 |
| 10 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 11 | Walsall | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 42:37 | 5 | 53 |
| 12 | Colchester | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 48:38 | 10 | 49 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:42 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Oldham | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 46 |
| 15 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 47:62 | -15 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Newport | 35 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 35:61 | -26 | 28 |
| 23 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
