Port Vale vs Sunderland – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
08/03/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FA Cup - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaSportsnet+
chinaChinaMigu
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Sports Prime
hungaryHungarySpiler1 TV
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyDAZN Italia, Discovery+
japanJapanU-NEXT
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
kenyaKenyaGotv
malaysiaMalaysiaSKY NET Sports X
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
mexicoMexicoHBO Max
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 1
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 8
singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 4
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 1, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Premier League
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 2
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 1, Tabii
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC Radio 5 Live, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
uzbekistanUzbekistanZor TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamFPT Play

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.541.72
Ball possession
31%69%
Total shots
917
Shots on target
16
Big chances
04
Corner kicks
59
Passes
58% (121/207)80% (362/452)
Yellow cards
31
Expected goals (xG)
0.541.72
xG on target (xGOT)
0.081.03
Total shots
917
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
410
Blocked shots
41
Shots inside the box
614
Shots outside the box
33
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
10
Big chances
04
Corner kicks
59
Touches in opposition box
830
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
02
Free kicks
1012
Passes
58% (121/207)80% (362/452)
Long passes
26% (17/66)42% (25/60)
Passes in final third
32% (18/57)67% (90/135)
Crosses
33% (3/9)33% (9/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.161.57
Throw ins
1124
Fouls
1210
Tackles
82% (14/17)47% (7/15)
Duels won
5362
Clearances
4921
Interceptions
103
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
50
xGOT faced
1.030.08
Goals prevented
1.03-0.92

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Waine B. , Brown D. (A),
  • 30', Brown D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Humphreys C. , Magloire T. ,
  • 54', Waine B. 🟨,
  • 57', Archer E. , Hall G. ,
  • 57', Brown D. , Gray A. ,
  • 61', Ellborg M. 🟨,
  • 63', Brady J. 🟨,
  • 68', Talbi C. , Isidor W. ,
  • 81', Gordon L. , Campbell E. ,
  • 83', Rigg C. , Xhaka G. ,
  • 88', Waine B. , Ward G. ,

Chances of winning


Port Vale
20.8%
Draw
31.2%
Sunderland
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.3% 22% 65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13% 20.8% 62.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Port Vale's performance.
  • Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sunderland might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Port Vale that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+14.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sunderland could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Port Vale - Sunderland Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.05
    (7.53)
    4.12
    (4.2)
    2.89
    (1.41)
    -24.6%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Port Vale - Sunderland?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Sunderland will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sunderland: 73.9%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sunderland will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Sunderland is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Port Vale: Byers G. (Injury) Garrity B. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Sunderland: Bi J. T. (Injury) Brobbey B. (Groin Injury) Cirkin D. (Injury) Hume T. (Yellow Cards) Mandava R. (Knee Injury) Mukiele N. (Injury) Mundle R. (Muscle Injury) Roefs R. (Muscle Injury) Sadiki N. (Yellow Cards) Traore B. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Port Vale: Croasdale R. (Inactive) Heneghan B. (Injury) Magloire T. (Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    Latest results of Port Vale
    07.03.2026 Peterborough United - Port Vale Postponed
    03.03.2026 Port Vale - Bristol City 1:0
    28.02.2026 Port Vale - Luton Town 1:1
    21.02.2026 Port Vale - Reading 1:1
    Latest results of Sunderland
    03.03.2026 Leeds United - Sunderland 0:1
    28.02.2026 Bournemouth - Sunderland 1:1
    22.02.2026 Sunderland - Fulham 1:3
    15.02.2026 Oxford United - Sunderland 0:1
    11.02.2026 Sunderland - Liverpool 0:1
    Draw
    Main

    1/128-finals
    1StokeBye
    4ByeCoventry
    5FulhamBye
    8ByeMiddlesbrough
    9StevenageChesterfield0 : 1
    10CreweDoncaster1 : 2
    12ByeSouthampton
    13CheltenhamBradford City1 : 0
    14BuxtonChatham2 : 1
    16ByeLeicester
    17BurnleyBye
    20ByeMillwall
    21Sheffield UtdBye
    23GainsboroughAccrington1 : 2
    24MansfieldHarrogate3 : 2
    25PortsmouthBye
    28ByeArsenal
    29PrestonBye
    31WiganHemel Hempstead2 : 1
    32SpennymoorBarrow0 : 2
    33WrexhamBye
    36ByeNottingham
    37IpswichBye
    39BlackpoolScunthorpe1 : 0
    40ReadingCarlisle2 : 3
    41HullBye
    44ByeBlackburn
    45CharltonBye
    48ByeChelsea
    49Port ValeMaldon & Tiptree5 : 1
    50BromleyBristol Rovers1 : 2
    51FleetwoodBarnet2 : 1
    52LutonForest Green4 : 3
    53Bristol CityBye
    56ByeWatford
    57ColchesterMK Dons2 : 3
    58OldhamNorthampton3 : 1
    60ByeOxford Utd
    61EvertonBye
    64ByeSunderland
    65TottenhamBye
    68ByeAston Villa
    69NewcastleBye
    72ByeBournemouth
    73Manchester CityBye
    75FC HalifaxExeter0 : 2
    76WycombePlymouth2 : 0
    77SalfordLincoln2 : 1
    78TamworthLeyton Orient0 : 1
    79RotherhamSwindon1 : 2
    80BoltonHuddersfield2 : 1
    81GrimsbyEbbsfleet3 : 1
    82WealdstoneSouthend1 : 0
    83ChelmsfordBraintree4 : 1
    84Weston-super-MareAldershot2 : 1
    85WolvesBye
    87SuttonAFC Telford2 : 1
    88South ShieldsShrewsbury1 : 3
    89LiverpoolBye
    91PeterboroughCardiff1 : 0
    92BarnsleyYork City3 : 2
    93Manchester UtdBye
    96ByeBrighton
    97Boreham WoodCrawley3 : 0
    98NewportGillingham3 : 2
    99Brackley TownNotts Co3 : 2
    100BurtonSt. Albans6 : 0
    101West HamBye
    104ByeQPR
    105SloughAltrincham2 : 1
    106MacclesfieldAFC Totton6 : 3
    108ByeCrystal Palace
    109Sheffield WedBye
    112ByeBrentford
    113TranmereStockport County1 : 3
    114Cambridge UtdChester3 : 0
    116ByeBirmingham
    117DerbyBye
    120ByeLeeds
    121NorwichBye
    123AFC WimbledonGateshead0 : 2
    124EastleighWalsall0 : 3
    125SwanseaBye
    128ByeWest Brom

    1/64-finals
    1StokeBye
    2ByeCoventry
    3FulhamBye
    4ByeMiddlesbrough
    5ChesterfieldDoncaster1 : 2
    6ByeSouthampton
    7CheltenhamBuxton6 : 2
    8ByeLeicester
    9BurnleyBye
    10ByeMillwall
    11Sheffield UtdBye
    12AccringtonMansfield2 : 3
    13PortsmouthBye
    14ByeArsenal
    15PrestonBye
    16WiganBarrow3 : 2
    17WrexhamBye
    18ByeNottingham
    19IpswichBye
    20BlackpoolCarlisle4 : 1
    21HullBye
    22ByeBlackburn
    23CharltonBye
    24ByeChelsea
    25Port ValeBristol Rovers1 : 0
    26FleetwoodLuton3 : 2
    27Bristol CityBye
    28ByeWatford
    29MK DonsOldham3 : 1
    30ByeOxford Utd
    31EvertonBye
    32ByeSunderland
    33TottenhamBye
    34ByeAston Villa
    35NewcastleBye
    36ByeBournemouth
    37Manchester CityBye
    38ExeterWycombe4 : 0
    39SalfordLeyton Orient4 : 0
    40SwindonBolton4 : 0
    41GrimsbyWealdstone4 : 0
    42ChelmsfordWeston-super-Mare0 : 2
    43WolvesBye
    44SuttonShrewsbury1 : 2
    45LiverpoolBye
    46PeterboroughBarnsley0 : 1
    47Manchester UtdBye
    48ByeBrighton
    49Boreham WoodNewport3 : 0
    50Brackley TownBurton1 : 3
    51West HamBye
    52ByeQPR
    53SloughMacclesfield1 : 3
    54ByeCrystal Palace
    55Sheffield WedBye
    56ByeBrentford
    57Stockport CountyCambridge Utd0 : 1
    58ByeBirmingham
    59DerbyBye
    60ByeLeeds
    61NorwichBye
    62GatesheadWalsall0 : 2
    63SwanseaBye
    64ByeWest Brom

    1/32-finals
    1StokeCoventry1 : 0
    2FulhamMiddlesbrough3 : 1
    3DoncasterSouthampton2 : 3
    4CheltenhamLeicester0 : 2
    5BurnleyMillwall5 : 1
    6Sheffield UtdMansfield3 : 4
    7PortsmouthArsenal1 : 4
    8PrestonWigan0 : 1
    9WrexhamNottingham4 : 3
    10IpswichBlackpool2 : 1
    11HullBlackburn1 : 0
    12CharltonChelsea1 : 5
    13Port ValeFleetwood1 : 0
    14Bristol CityWatford5 : 1
    15MK DonsOxford Utd1 : 2
    16EvertonSunderland1 : 2
    17TottenhamAston Villa1 : 2
    18NewcastleBournemouth4 : 3
    19Manchester CityExeter10 : 1
    20SalfordSwindon3 : 2
    21GrimsbyWeston-super-Mare3 : 2
    22WolvesShrewsbury6 : 1
    23LiverpoolBarnsley4 : 1
    24Manchester UtdBrighton1 : 2
    25Boreham WoodBurton0 : 5
    26West HamQPR2 : 1
    27MacclesfieldCrystal Palace2 : 1
    28Sheffield WedBrentford0 : 2
    29Cambridge UtdBirmingham2 : 3
    30DerbyLeeds1 : 3
    31NorwichWalsall5 : 1
    32SwanseaWest Brom2 : 3

    1/16-finals
    1StokeFulham1 : 2
    2SouthamptonLeicester2 : 1
    3BurnleyMansfield1 : 2
    4ArsenalWigan4 : 0
    5WrexhamIpswich1 : 0
    6HullChelsea0 : 4
    7Port ValeBristol City1 : 0
    8Oxford UtdSunderland0 : 1
    9Aston VillaNewcastle1 : 3
    10Manchester CitySalford2 : 0
    11GrimsbyWolves0 : 1
    12LiverpoolBrighton3 : 0
    13BurtonWest Ham0 : 1
    14MacclesfieldBrentford0 : 1
    15BirminghamLeeds1 : 2
    16NorwichWest Brom3 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1FulhamSouthampton0 : 1
    2MansfieldArsenal1 : 2
    3WrexhamChelsea2 : 4
    4Port ValeSunderland1 : 0
    5NewcastleManchester City1 : 3
    6WolvesLiverpool1 : 3
    7West HamBrentford3 : 2
    8LeedsNorwich3 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1SouthamptonArsenal
    2ChelseaPort Vale
    3Manchester CityLiverpool
    4West HamLeeds