Farense vs Portimonense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
03/01/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV2

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
167
Shots on target
82
Corner Kicks
124
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
167
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
85
Corner Kicks
124
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
919
Throw-ins
2529
Fouls
189

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 7', Teixeira R. 🟨,
  • 42', D'Agrella L. , Dario Miranda ,
  • 45', Lobato S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Teixeira R. , Menino M. ,
  • 59', 0 - 1, Mamede ,
  • 60', Dorregaray D. , Carter A. ,
  • 66', Lobato S. , Ze Gabriel ,
  • 71', Ndiaye A. 🟨,
  • 71', Derick Poloni , Candeias A. ,
  • 71', Almeida B. , Jaiminho ,
  • 73', Mamede , Djassi D. ,
  • 73', Welinton Junior , Dauda M. ,
  • 90+6', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Farense
55.6%
Draw
25%
Portimonense
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.3% 25.7% 23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 20.6% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Farense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense than the current prediction. (-14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Farense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portimonense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Farense - Portimonense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.8)
    3.7
    (3.58)
    4.78
    (4)
    7.9%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Farense - Portimonense?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Farense will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Portimonense will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Farense: 19%81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Farense (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Portimonense (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Farense won 0.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Farense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Farense is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Farense won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 0.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Farense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Farense - Portimonense were as follows:
    02.08.2024 Portimonense - Farense 0:0
    18.05.2024 Farense - Portimonense 1:3
    12.01.2024 Portimonense - Farense 1:0
    Latest results of Farense
    21.12.2025 Farense - Leiria 0:1
    17.12.2025 Farense - Benfica 0:2
    08.12.2025 Farense - Vizela 2:0
    Latest results of Portimonense
    20.12.2025 Chaves - Portimonense 0:1
    14.12.2025 Portimonense - Leixões 1:2
    07.12.2025 Lusitânia - Portimonense 3:2
    30.11.2025 Portimonense - Marítimo 0:2
    23.11.2025 Porto B - Portimonense 1:0
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo27175543:212256
    2Academico Viseu27155750:282250
    3Torreense271431035:27845
    4Vizela27128736:31544
    5Leiria26118741:34741
    6Sporting CP B271321239:261341
    7FC Porto B271151133:35-238
    8Lusitania FC271071037:44-737
    9Benfica B27910837:32537
    10Chaves271061129:26336
    11Feirense27981030:32-235
    12Leixoes271041332:49-1734
    13Felgueiras27791124:34-1030
    14Pacos Ferreira26791026:37-1130
    15Penafiel27781222:26-429
    16SC Farense27781223:33-1029
    17Portimonense27761429:40-1127
    18Oliveirense27691226:37-1127

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          Relegation ~ Liga 3