Farense vs Portimonense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
03/01/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV2

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
167
Shots on target
82
Corner Kicks
124
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
167
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
85
Corner Kicks
124
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
919
Throw-ins
2529
Fouls
189

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 7', Teixeira R. 🟨,
  • 42', D'Agrella L. , Dario Miranda ,
  • 45', Lobato S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Teixeira R. , Menino M. ,
  • 59', 0 - 1, Mamede ,
  • 60', Dorregaray D. , Carter A. ,
  • 66', Lobato S. , Ze Gabriel ,
  • 71', Ndiaye A. 🟨,
  • 71', Derick Poloni , Candeias A. ,
  • 71', Almeida B. , Jaiminho ,
  • 73', Mamede , Djassi D. ,
  • 73', Welinton Junior , Dauda M. ,
  • 90+6', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Farense
55.6%
Draw
25%
Portimonense
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.3% 25.7% 23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 20.6% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Farense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense than the current prediction. (-14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Farense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portimonense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Farense - Portimonense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.8)
    3.7
    (3.58)
    4.78
    (4)
    7.9%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Farense - Portimonense?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Farense will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Portimonense will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Farense: 19%81%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Farense (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Portimonense (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Farense won 0.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Farense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Farense is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Farense won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 0.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Farense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Farense - Portimonense were as follows:
    02.08.2024 Portimonense - Farense 0:0
    18.05.2024 Farense - Portimonense 1:3
    12.01.2024 Portimonense - Farense 1:0
    Latest results of Farense
    21.12.2025 Farense - Leiria 0:1
    17.12.2025 Farense - Benfica 0:2
    08.12.2025 Farense - Vizela 2:0
    Latest results of Portimonense
    20.12.2025 Chaves - Portimonense 0:1
    14.12.2025 Portimonense - Leixões 1:2
    07.12.2025 Lusitânia - Portimonense 3:2
    30.11.2025 Portimonense - Marítimo 0:2
    23.11.2025 Porto B - Portimonense 1:0
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo29186544:212360
    2Academico Viseu29155953:332050
    3Torreense291441136:30646
    4Leiria291210745:36946
    5Vizela29128937:34344
    6Benfica B291011841:35641
    7Sporting CP B291321441:301141
    8FC Porto B281251136:35141
    9Feirense291181032:32041
    10Chaves291161231:29239
    11Lusitania FC281081037:44-738
    12Leixoes291151335:50-1538
    13Penafiel29981228:30-235
    14Felgueiras298101125:34-934
    15SC Farense29881325:35-1032
    16Pacos Ferreira297111126:39-1332
    17Portimonense29861531:42-1130
    18Oliveirense29691427:41-1427

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          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
          Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
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