St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS St. Louis City - Portland Timbers
Result
2:1
13/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Montero R. (Cos)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaMax, TNT, TNT Sports
asiaAsiaSPOTV Asia
australiaAustraliaSBS On Demand, SBS Viceland
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL 2
indiaIndiaEurosport, JioTV app, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaSPOTV, Vidio
israelIsraelSport 2
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go
mexicoMexicoMAX
mongoliaMongoliaSPOTV
philippinesPhilippinesSPOTV
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV
spainSpain3Cat, Esport3
thailandThailandSPOTV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
vietnamVietnamSPOTV
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.081.15
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
94
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
88% (476/539)89% (426/480)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
2.081.15
xG on target (xGOT)
2.441.90
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
95
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
4321
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
910
Passes
88% (476/539)89% (426/480)
Long passes
52% (13/25)57% (28/49)
Passes in final third
81% (134/166)82% (116/142)
Crosses
35% (6/17)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.670.55
Throw-ins
136
Fouls
109
Tackles
61% (11/18)73% (8/11)
Duels won
4638
Clearances
1727
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
37
xGOT faced
1.902.44
Goals prevented
0.600.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Pereira da Costa D. , Moreno S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Fory J. , Smith I. ,
  • 54', 1 - 1, Hartel M. , Joao Klauss (A),
  • 59', Ortiz J. 🟨,
  • 64', Kelsy K. 🟨,
  • 65', Moreno S. , Fernandez O. ,
  • 65', Ortiz J. , Chara D. ,
  • 66', Ostrak T. , Lowen E. ,
  • 67', Pompeu C. , Becher S. ,
  • 67', 2 - 1, Hartel M. , Wallem C. (A),
  • 75', Ayala D. , Paredes C. ,
  • 75', Zuparic D. , Guerra G. ,
  • 77', Mosquera J. 🟨,
  • 79', Miller K. 🟨,
  • 82', Teuchert C. , Watts A. ,
  • 90+2', Joao Klauss 🟨,
  • 90+3', Orozco J. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Orozco J. , Hiebert K. ,

Chances of winning


St. Louis City
43.7%
Draw
24.7%
Portland Timbers
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 25.2% 34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 27.5% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • St. Louis City - Portland Timbers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.33)
    3.85
    (3.78)
    2.99
    (2.79)
    5.5%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for St. Louis City - Portland Timbers?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. St. Louis City will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Portland will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for St. Louis City: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. St. Louis City (votes: 1 - 50%). Portland (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 1.
    • St. Louis City is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Portland is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Portland has had a series of home games.
    • St. Louis City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in St. Louis City: Baumgartl T. (Knee Injury) Durkin C. (Knee Injury) Kessler H. (Hamstring Injury) Lowen E. (Hamstring Injury) Nilsson J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Portland: Antony (Hamstring Injury) Lassiter A. (Hand Injury) Rodriguez J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in St. Louis City: Morales A. (Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.8:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City - Portland Timbers were as follows:
    08.06.2025 Portland Timbers - St. Louis City 2:1
    24.08.2024 Portland Timbers - St. Louis City 4:4
    09.08.2024 St. Louis City - Portland Timbers 3:1
    08.06.2024 St. Louis City - Portland Timbers 0:0
    11.03.2023 Portland Timbers - St. Louis City 1:2
    Latest results of St. Louis City
    Latest results of Portland Timbers
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionBye
    2Chicago FireOrlando City3 : 1
    3CharlotteBye
    4ByeNew York City
    5Inter MiamiBye
    6ByeNashville SC
    7FC CincinnatiBye
    8ByeColumbus Crew
    9San Diego FCBye
    10Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake3 : 1
    11Minnesota UnitedBye
    12ByeSeattle Sounders
    13Los Angeles FCBye
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    16ByeFC Dallas

    1/8-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionChicago Fire
    2CharlotteNew York City
    3Inter MiamiNashville SC1 : 0
    4FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew
    5San Diego FCPortland Timbers
    6Minnesota UnitedSeattle Sounders
    7Los Angeles FCAustin FC
    8Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2