Porto B vs Penafiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
12/12/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 14
  • Referee: Nogueira M. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalPorto Canal

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
710
Shots on target
51
Corner Kicks
66
Yellow Cards
42
Total shots
710
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
29
Corner Kicks
66
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1716
Throw-ins
2426
Fouls
1316

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 40', 1 - 0, Karamoh Y. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Pedro Lima , Rodrigues D. ,
  • 47', Melnichenko T. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 56', Melnichenko T. 🟨,
  • 58', Karamoh Y. , Andrade T. ,
  • 67', Sery J. , Alcaina R. ,
  • 76', Negrao G. , Xico ,
  • 76', Alves R. , Ze Leite ,
  • 81', Bras G. 🟨,
  • 84', Teixeira J. , Oliveira A. ,
  • 84', Melnichenko T. , Vonic L. ,
  • 87', Andrade T. 🟨,
  • 87', lano Imbene , Pereira B. ,
  • 88', Santos A. , Suker H. ,
  • 89', Moreira C. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Oliveira A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Kaue Rodrigues , Gomes L. ,
  • 90+4', Ze Leite 🟨,

Chances of winning


Porto B
41.7%
Draw
29.3%
Penafiel
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.5% 26.6% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 26.2% 29.6%

Porto B - Penafiel Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.22
(2.15)
3.18
(3.52)
3.23
(3.12)
7.4%
(7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Porto B - Penafiel?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Porto B will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Penafiel will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Porto B: 39.2%89.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Porto B (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto B won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Porto B will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Porto B won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:23. (average 1.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Porto B won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:10. (average 2.2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Porto B - Penafiel were as follows:
    16.02.2025 Porto B - Penafiel 3:2
    15.09.2024 Penafiel - Porto B 1:1
    30.03.2024 Porto B - Penafiel 3:1
    11.11.2023 Penafiel - Porto B 3:2
    03.04.2023 Penafiel - Porto B 1:2
    Latest results of Porto B
    06.12.2025 Leixões - Porto B 2:4
    30.11.2025 Porto B - Lusitânia 1:2
    23.11.2025 Porto B - Portimonense 1:0
    08.11.2025 Chaves - Porto B 0:1
    29.10.2025 Oliveirense - Porto B 1:0
    Latest results of Penafiel
    05.12.2025 Penafiel - Leiria 1:0
    23.11.2025 Marítimo - Penafiel 2:1
    02.11.2025 Vizela - Penafiel 1:3
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo18123331:131839
    2Academico Viseu1895433:191432
    3Sporting CP B1892727:151229
    4Vizela1877424:17728
    5Chaves1875621:16526
    6Torreense1882822:21126
    7Benfica B1867526:24225
    8Leiria1867523:23025
    9Lusitania FC1866625:29-424
    10Feirense1866624:23124
    11Felgueiras1865719:23-423
    12Portimonense1864820:26-622
    13SC Farense1856715:21-621
    14FC Porto B1863918:26-821
    15Leixoes18621021:36-1520
    16Pacos Ferreira1847718:27-919
    17Oliveirense1847718:22-419
    18Penafiel1854916:20-419

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
          Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga 3