Result
1:0
12/12/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 14
- Referee: Nogueira M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Porto Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 40', 1 - 0, Karamoh Y. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Pedro Lima ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
- 47', Melnichenko T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 56', Melnichenko T. 🟨,
- 58', Karamoh Y. ↓, Andrade T. ↑,
- 67', Sery J. ↓, Alcaina R. ↑,
- 76', Negrao G. ↓, Xico ↑,
- 76', Alves R. ↓, Ze Leite ↑,
- 81', Bras G. 🟨,
- 84', Teixeira J. ↓, Oliveira A. ↑,
- 84', Melnichenko T. ↓, Vonic L. ↑,
- 87', Andrade T. 🟨,
- 87', lano Imbene ↓, Pereira B. ↑,
- 88', Santos A. ↓, Suker H. ↑,
- 89', Moreira C. 🟨,
- 90+1', Oliveira A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Kaue Rodrigues ↓, Gomes L. ↑,
- 90+4', Ze Leite 🟨,
Chances of winning
Porto B
41.7% | Draw
29.3% | Penafiel
28.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Porto B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto B than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Porto B - Penafiel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↑
(2.15) |
3.18 ↓
(3.52) |
3.23 ↑
(3.12) |
7.4%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Porto B - Penafiel?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Porto B will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Penafiel will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto B: 39.2% – 89.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Porto B (votes: 1 - 50%). Penafiel (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto B won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Porto B will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Porto B won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:23. (average 1.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Porto B won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:10. (average 2.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Porto B won against Penafiel?
Porto B has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Penafiel won against Porto B?
Penafiel has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Porto B - Penafiel were as follows:
16.02.2025
Porto B
-
Penafiel
3:2
15.09.2024
Penafiel
-
Porto B
1:1
30.03.2024
Porto B
-
Penafiel
3:1
11.11.2023
Penafiel
-
Porto B
3:2
03.04.2023
Penafiel
-
Porto B
1:2
Latest results of Porto B
Latest results of Penafiel
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 43:21 | 22 | 56 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 50:28 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Torreense | 27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 45 |
| 4 | Vizela | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 36:31 | 5 | 44 |
| 5 | Leiria | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 41:34 | 7 | 41 |
| 6 | Sporting CP B | 27 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 39:26 | 13 | 41 |
| 7 | FC Porto B | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
| 9 | Benfica B | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 37:32 | 5 | 37 |
| 10 | Chaves | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 29:26 | 3 | 36 |
| 11 | Feirense | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 35 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 32:49 | -17 | 34 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 24:34 | -10 | 30 |
| 14 | Pacos Ferreira | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:37 | -11 | 30 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 22:26 | -4 | 29 |
| 16 | SC Farense | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 23:33 | -10 | 29 |
| 17 | Portimonense | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 29:40 | -11 | 27 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 26:37 | -11 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
