Result
0:1
16/02/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 22
- Referee: Martins T. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | Sport TV Africa, ZAP |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Moja TV, Sportklub 3 |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free |
Georgia | Silk Universal |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
Hungary | Sport 2 |
Italy | DAZN Italia |
Montenegro | Sportklub 3 |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO, SportKlub 3 |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Romania | AntenaPLAY |
Russia | TV Start Triumph |
Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP |
Serbia | SportKlub 3 |
Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
Slovenia | SportKlub 4 |
South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | S Sport+ |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Inter |
World | Disney+, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.47 | 1.31 |
Ball Possession |
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33% | 67% |
Goal Attempts |
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8 | 11 |
Shots on Goal |
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2 | 2 |
Shots off Goal |
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4 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
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2 | 3 |
Big Chances |
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0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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2 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
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6 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
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2 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
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0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
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10 | 15 |
Offsides |
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4 | 0 |
Fouls |
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15 | 10 |
Yellow Cards |
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4 | 2 |
Red Cards |
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1 | 0 |
Throw-ins |
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17 | 27 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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8 | 22 |
Passes |
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77% (195/253) | 86% (438/512) |
Passes in the final third |
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61% (37/61) | 71% (86/121) |
Crosses |
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44% (4/9) | 36% (5/14) |
Tackles |
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74% (14/19) | 62% (8/13) |
Clearances Total |
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29 | 23 |
Interceptions |
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8 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', Claudio Falcao 🟨,
- 48', 0 - 1, Moura F. ⚽, Vieira F. (A),
- 59', Jorge A. 🟨,
- 61', Danny Namaso ↓, Joao Mario ↑,
- 61', Franco A. ↓, Eustaquio S. ↑,
- 63', Moreno M. 🟨,
- 64', Gul D. ↓, Samu ↑,
- 64', Njie Y. 🟨,
- 69', Perez N. 🟨,
- 71', Njie Y. ↓, Tomane ↑,
- 71', Matias M. ↓, Costa R. ↑,
- 72', Mora R. ↓, Varela A. ↑,
- 81', Menino M. ↓, Soares F. ↑,
- 81', Jorge A. ↓, Bermejo A. ↑,
- 81', Paulo Victor ↓, Poveda D. ↑,
- 84', Pepê ↓, Sousa V. ↑,
- 90+1', Joao Mario 🟨,
- 90+5', Ze Carlos 🟥,
Chances of winning
Farense 17.1% | Draw 24.6% | Porto 58.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Farense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Farense's performance.Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Porto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Farense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+14.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Porto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Farense - Porto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.5 ↓ (8.4) |
3.82 ↓ (5.1) |
1.62 ↑ (1.38) |
6.3% (4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Farense - Porto?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Farense will win (votes: 1 - 4.2%). Porto will win (votes: 18 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 57.7% – 92.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Neutral location.
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
- Farense has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Porto is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Farense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Porto is indisputable favorite.
- There will not play in Farense: Balde E.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Porto: Fernandes M.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Farense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4:13 (average 0.8:2.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Farense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Farense won against Porto?
Farense has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Farense?
Porto has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Farense - Porto were as follows:
15.09.2024
Porto
-
Farense
2:1
28.01.2024
Farense
-
Porto
1:3
20.08.2023
Porto
-
Farense
2:1
Latest results of Farense
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estrela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Estoril | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Rio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Santa Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Moreirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | FC Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Sporting CP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Arouca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Casa Pia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Tondela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Alverca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Famalicao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | AFS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2