Farense vs Porto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal Farense - Porto
Result
0:1
16/02/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 22
  • Referee: Martins T. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSport TV Africa, ZAP
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaMoja TV, Sportklub 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hungaryHungarySport 2
italyItalyDAZN Italia
montenegroMontenegroSportklub 3
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO, SportKlub 3
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
russiaRussiaTV Start Triumph
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid VIP
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 3
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 4
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldDisney+, Triller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.471.31
Ball Possession
33%67%
Goal Attempts
811
Shots on Goal
22
Shots off Goal
46
Blocked Shots
23
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
24
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
12
Free Kicks
1015
Offsides
40
Fouls
1510
Yellow Cards
42
Red Cards
10
Throw-ins
1727
Touches in the Opposition Box
822
Passes
77% (195/253)86% (438/512)
Passes in the final third
61% (37/61)71% (86/121)
Crosses
44% (4/9)36% (5/14)
Tackles
74% (14/19)62% (8/13)
Clearances Total
2923
Interceptions
82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 47', Claudio Falcao 🟨,
  • 48', 0 - 1, Moura F. , Vieira F. (A),
  • 59', Jorge A. 🟨,
  • 61', Danny Namaso , Joao Mario ,
  • 61', Franco A. , Eustaquio S. ,
  • 63', Moreno M. 🟨,
  • 64', Gul D. , Samu ,
  • 64', Njie Y. 🟨,
  • 69', Perez N. 🟨,
  • 71', Njie Y. , Tomane ,
  • 71', Matias M. , Costa R. ,
  • 72', Mora R. , Varela A. ,
  • 81', Menino M. , Soares F. ,
  • 81', Jorge A. , Bermejo A. ,
  • 81', Paulo Victor , Poveda D. ,
  • 84', Pepê , Sousa V. ,
  • 90+1', Joao Mario 🟨,
  • 90+5', Ze Carlos 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Farense
17.1%
Draw
24.6%
Porto
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
11.4% 18.9% 69.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11% 18.2% 72.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Farense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Farense's performance.
  • Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Porto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Farense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+14.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Porto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Farense - Porto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.5
    (8.4)
    3.82
    (5.1)
    1.62
    (1.38)
    6.3%
    (4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Farense - Porto?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Farense will win (votes: 1 - 4.2%). Porto will win (votes: 18 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 57.7%92.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location.
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
    • Farense has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Porto is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Farense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Porto is indisputable favorite.
    • There will not play in Farense: Balde E. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Porto: Fernandes M. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Farense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4:13 (average 0.8:2.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Farense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Farense - Porto were as follows:
    15.09.2024 Porto - Farense 2:1
    28.01.2024 Farense - Porto 1:3
    20.08.2023 Porto - Farense 2:1
    Latest results of Farense
    09.02.2025 Farense - Nacional 0:2
    02.02.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Farense 3:1
    25.01.2025 Farense - Rio Ave 1:2
    19.01.2025 Moreirense - Farense 0:0
    14.01.2025 Farense - Benfica 1:3
    Latest results of Porto
    13.02.2025 Porto - Roma 1:1
    07.02.2025 Porto - Sporting Lisbon 1:1
    03.02.2025 Rio Ave - Porto 2:2
    30.01.2025 Maccabi Tel Aviv - Porto 0:1
    26.01.2025 Porto - Santa Clara 1:1
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estrela00000:000
    2Vitoria Guimaraes00000:000
    3Estoril00000:000
    4Gil Vicente00000:000
    5Rio Ave00000:000
    6Santa Clara00000:000
    7Moreirense00000:000
    8FC Porto00000:000
    9Sporting CP00000:000
    10Benfica00000:000
    11Braga00000:000
    12Nacional00000:000
    13Arouca00000:000
    14Casa Pia00000:000
    15Tondela00000:000
    16Alverca00000:000
    17Famalicao00000:000
    18AFS00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2