Result
0:1
20/12/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 15
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', 0 - 1, De Eguino I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Portugalete 58.1% | Draw 25.5% | Leioa 16.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portugalete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Leioa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portugalete than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (-1%)
Portugalete - Leioa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.56 ↓ (1.57) |
3.56 ↑ (3.53) |
5.5 ↓ (5.62) |
10.3% (9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portugalete won 1.
- Portugalete is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Leioa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Portugalete is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Portugalete won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Portugalete won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Portugalete won against Leioa?
Portugalete has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leioa won against Portugalete?
Leioa has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portugalete - Leioa were as follows:
18.01.2025
Leioa
-
Portugalete
2:3
08.09.2024
Portugalete
-
Leioa
0:0
07.01.2024
Portugalete
-
Leioa
0:3
14.01.2023
Leioa
-
Portugalete
2:0
11.09.2022
Portugalete
-
Leioa
0:1
Latest results of Portugalete
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 58:17 | 41 | 67 |
| 2 | Leioa | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 40:25 | 15 | 52 |
| 3 | Touring KE | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 47 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 41:26 | 15 | 46 |
| 5 | Derio | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45:31 | 14 | 46 |
| 6 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 35:31 | 4 | 46 |
| 7 | Alaves C | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 42 |
| 8 | San Ignacio | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 27:20 | 7 | 42 |
| 9 | UD Aretxabaleta | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 44:44 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | Durango | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29:28 | 1 | 36 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad C | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 29:35 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 27:35 | -8 | 31 |
| 13 | Pasaia | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 20:32 | -12 | 28 |
| 14 | Eibar C | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 30:43 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | Anorga | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 26:49 | -23 | 27 |
| 16 | Zamudio | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:43 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 22:50 | -28 | 22 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 18:33 | -15 | 21 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation