Leioa vs Portugalete – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Leioa - Portugalete
Result
2:3
18/01/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 38', 0 - 1, Zorrilla G. ,
  • 43', 1 - 1, Garcia I. ,
  • 45+2', 1 - 2, Zorrilla G. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 57', 1 - 3, Villar A. ,
  • 67', 2 - 3, Pascual A. ,

Chances of winning


Leioa
37%
Draw
29%
Portugalete
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 28.3% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2% 26.6% 30.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leioa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Portugalete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leioa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portugalete than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Leioa - Portugalete Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (2.29)
    3.12
    (3.2)
    2.67
    (2.84)
    10.4%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leioa - Portugalete were as follows:
    08.09.2024 Portugalete - Leioa 0:0
    07.01.2024 Portugalete - Leioa 0:3
    14.01.2023 Leioa - Portugalete 2:0
    11.09.2022 Portugalete - Leioa 0:1
    Latest results of Leioa
    12.01.2025 Leioa - Eibar C 3:0
    21.12.2024 Touring KE - Leioa 0:4
    14.12.2024 Leioa - Deusto 1:0
    06.12.2024 Durango - Leioa 0:1
    30.11.2024 Leioa - Urduliz 2:0
    Latest results of Portugalete
    12.01.2025 Aretxabaleta - Portugalete 0:2
    22.12.2024 Portugalete - San Viator 4:0
    14.12.2024 Padura - Portugalete 1:1
    06.12.2024 Eibar C - Portugalete 1:1
    30.11.2024 Portugalete - Touring KE 3:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2