Portugalete vs Leioa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
20/12/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, De Eguino I. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Portugalete
58.1%
Draw
25.5%
Leioa
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58% 25.8% 16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 24.7% 15.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portugalete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Leioa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portugalete than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Portugalete - Leioa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.57)
    3.56
    (3.53)
    5.5
    (5.62)
    10.3%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portugalete won 1.
    • Portugalete is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Leioa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Portugalete is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Portugalete won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portugalete won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.4:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portugalete - Leioa were as follows:
    18.01.2025 Leioa - Portugalete 2:3
    08.09.2024 Portugalete - Leioa 0:0
    07.01.2024 Portugalete - Leioa 0:3
    14.01.2023 Leioa - Portugalete 2:0
    11.09.2022 Portugalete - Leioa 0:1
    Latest results of Portugalete
    14.12.2025 Eibar C - Portugalete 0:5
    06.12.2025 Portugalete - Añorga 3:0
    22.11.2025 Durango - Portugalete 1:1
    16.11.2025 Portugalete - Aretxabaleta 3:2
    Latest results of Leioa
    13.12.2025 Leioa - San Ignacio 0:0
    07.12.2025 Derio - Leioa 1:0
    22.11.2025 Leioa - Touring KE 0:3
    16.11.2025 Alavés C - Leioa 0:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portugalete27214258:174167
    2Leioa27164740:251552
    3Touring KE27138636:261047
    4Lagun Onak27144941:261546
    5Derio27144945:311446
    6Aurrera de Vitoria27144935:31446
    7Alaves C27126944:311342
    8San Ignacio27126927:20742
    9UD Aretxabaleta271151144:44038
    10Durango2799929:28136
    11Real Sociedad C271131329:35-636
    12Santurtzi277101027:35-831
    13Pasaia27771320:32-1228
    14Eibar C27761430:43-1327
    15Anorga27831626:49-2327
    16Zamudio27751528:43-1526
    17Zarautz KE27641722:50-2822
    18SD Deusto27461718:33-1521

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