Pozuelo de Alarcón vs Carabanchel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
04/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 16

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 32', 0 - 1, Gutierrez H. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 76', 🟥,
  • 81', 1 - 1, Clinton ,

Chances of winning


Pozuelo de Alarcón
43.4%
Draw
30.2%
Carabanchel
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.3% 27.7% 24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8% 26.9% 23.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pozuelo de Alarcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Carabanchel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pozuelo de Alarcón than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pozuelo de Alarcón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabanchel than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Pozuelo de Alarcón - Carabanchel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (1.89)
    3
    (3.3)
    3.44
    (3.8)
    10.4%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pozuelo de Alarcón won 1.
    • Pozuelo de Alarcón is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Carabanchel has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Pozuelo de Alarcón will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Pozuelo de Alarcón won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pozuelo de Alarcón won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
    Latest results of Pozuelo de Alarcón
    Latest results of Carabanchel
    21.12.2025 Carabanchel - Leganés B 1:2
    06.12.2025 Carabanchel - Torrejón 0:1
    23.11.2025 Parla - Carabanchel 3:1
    16.11.2025 Carabanchel - Alcorcón B 2:3
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Madrid C23136459:312845
    2Las Rozas23136439:231645
    3CD Mostoles23136440:271345
    4Leganes B24127544:172743
    5AD Torrejon23123837:31639
    6Pozuelo de Alarcon2399525:19636
    7Trival Valderas231031029:27233
    8Mexico FC24951032:32032
    9Galapagar23710625:32-731
    10San Sebastian Reyes B2379724:25-130
    11Union Adarve2386925:30-530
    12Villaverde San Andres2379721:26-530
    13Siello24731424:37-1324
    14Alcorcon B23661119:25-624
    15Carabanchel23581019:24-523
    16Parla23641319:38-1922
    17Tres Cantos23631421:38-1721
    18Ciudad de Madrid24471323:43-2019

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