Progreso vs Boston River – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Progreso
35.9%
Draw
29.5%
Boston River
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36% 29.6% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7% 29% 33.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Boston River has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Progreso - Boston River Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.58
    (2.57)
    3.14
    (3.12)
    2.67
    (2.69)
    8.2%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Boston River may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Boston River has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Progreso won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Progreso - Boston River were as follows:
    29.01.2026 Boston River - Progreso 1:2
    31.08.2025 Boston River - Progreso 2:1
    19.06.2025 Progreso - Boston River 2:0
    09.03.2025 Progreso - Boston River 2:2
    16.10.2024 Boston River - Progreso 1:0
    Latest results of Progreso
    14.03.2026 Cerro - Progreso 0:1
    28.02.2026 Danubio - Progreso 2:2
    Latest results of Boston River
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Montevideo641112:6613
    2Maldonado641110:5513
    3Penarol64119:5413
    4Montevideo City63219:5411
    5Liverpool M63217:4311
    6Danubio632110:8211
    7Central Esp63127:5210
    8Nacional63127:6110
    9Defensor Sp62224:408
    10Wanderers62224:8-48
    11Cerro Largo62045:7-26
    12Albion61237:8-15
    13Progreso61235:10-55
    14Juventud61147:11-44
    15Boston River60242:7-52
    16CA Cerro60242:8-62

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