Result
1:2
09/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 2
- Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', Correa L. 🟨,
- 13', Olivera E. 🟨,
- 19', Kidd F. 🟨,
- 27', 0 - 1, Olivera E. ⚽,
- 37', Gentilio N. 🟨,
- 42', Lopez F. 🟨,
- 42', Bonifazi F. 🟨,
- 45+1', Parada F. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Medina F. ↓, Vazquez Mederos L. ↑,
- 46', Bonifazi F. ↓, Anasco M. ↑,
- 46', Trasante G. ↓, Copelotti M. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 1, Lemmo I. ⚽,
- 54', Olivera E. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
- 55', Cougo A. 🟨,
- 60', Cougo A. ↓, Rivero J. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 2, Mir M. ⚽,
- 72', Fernandez N. ↓, Lopez N. ↑,
- 80', Colombino A. ↓, Silva G. ↑,
- 81', Kidd F. ↓, Lopez P. ↑,
- 90+1', Rossi F. ↓, Delgado R. ↑,
- 90+1', Mir M. ↓, Bertocchi N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Progreso
39% | Draw
30% | Cerro Largo
30.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)The chances for Cerro Largo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (+0.2%)The ML Model estimate for Cerro Largo aligns with the current prediction.
Progreso - Cerro Largo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.39 ↑
(2.37) |
3.06 ↓
(3.11) |
3 ↓
(3.02) |
7.7%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Progreso - Cerro Largo?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Progreso will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Cerro Largo will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 0.
- Progreso is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cerro Largo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Progreso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Progreso has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 0.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Progreso won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Progreso won against Cerro Largo?
Progreso has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Largo won against Progreso?
Cerro Largo has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Progreso - Cerro Largo were as follows:
07.02.2025
Cerro Largo
-
Progreso
4:1
30.11.2024
Cerro Largo
-
Progreso
2:1
04.06.2024
Progreso
-
Cerro Largo
0:1
Latest results of Progreso
Latest results of Cerro Largo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | Boston River | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17:4 | 13 | 18 |
| 3 | Montevideo City | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:9 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Nacional | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19:8 | 11 | 16 |
| 5 | Cerro Largo | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 16 |
| 6 | Defensor Sp | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 15 |
| 7 | CA Cerro | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 13 |
| 8 | Liverpool M | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | Danubio | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:9 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 | Miramar | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 10 |
| 11 | Progreso | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Racing Montevideo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:15 | -8 | 10 |
| 13 | Juventud | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5:8 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | Wanderers | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2:12 | -10 | 4 |
| 15 | River Plate | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2:13 | -11 | 2 |
| 16 | Plaza Colonia | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:19 | -14 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
