Deportivo Maldonado vs Progreso – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
14/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayAntel TV, Disney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
188
Shots on target
85
Corner kicks
64
Yellow cards
22
Red cards
01
Total shots
188
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
103
Corner kicks
64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 29', 1 - 0, Noble Sequeira A. M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 45+4', Ginzo J. M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Silva G. , Viera S. ,
  • 46', Fernandez N. , Fernandez F. ,
  • 46', Sanchez D. , Copelotti M. ,
  • 55', Lemmo I. 🟨,
  • 61', 2 - 0, Noble Sequeira A. M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 68', De Leon F. 🟨,
  • 68', Menosse H. 🟨,
  • 68', Lemmo I. , Lopez N. ,
  • 70', Menosse H. , Fernandez J. ,
  • 75', Cesar R. , Lopez G. ,
  • 75', Cartagena S. , Gonzalez S. ,
  • 78', Trasante G. , Silva J. ,
  • 84', Tealde F. , Petryk H. ,
  • 84', Tabo C. , Mozzone E. ,
  • 89', Cougo A. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Maldonado
38.6%
Draw
29.7%
Progreso
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.2% 28.6% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Maldonado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Progreso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Deportivo Maldonado - Progreso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.29)
    3.12
    (3.23)
    2.95
    (2.95)
    7.2%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Deportivo Maldonado - Progreso?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Maldonado will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Progreso will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9%76.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Maldonado (1.80) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Maldonado (votes: 2 - 50%). Progreso (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maldonado won 1.
    • Progreso has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Maldonado won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Maldonado won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Maldonado - Progreso were as follows:
    06.10.2024 Deportivo Maldonado - Progreso 2:2
    21.07.2024 Progreso - Deportivo Maldonado 0:1
    31.03.2024 Progreso - Deportivo Maldonado 3:1
    Latest results of Progreso
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maldonado43019:549
    2Central Esp43016:249
    3Penarol43017:439
    4Racing Montevideo421110:647
    5Montevideo City42118:537
    6Liverpool M42116:427
    7Nacional42114:317
    8Defensor Sp42114:317
    9Danubio42115:6-17
    10Wanderers42114:6-27
    11Albion41125:504
    12Cerro Largo41032:5-33
    13Boston River40222:5-32
    14CA Cerro40222:6-42
    15Juventud40133:6-31
    16Progreso40132:8-61

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