Result
6:0
08/03/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Montiel J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 33', 2 - 0, Leandro Andrade ⚽,
- 36', 3 - 0, Leandro Andrade ⚽,
- 38', Cohen B. ↓, Ahmadzada M. ↑,
- 42', Ahmadzada M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 55', Alxasov ↓, Bruno Franco ↑,
- 55', Keyta H. ↓, Boli C. ↑,
- 63', Paro I. 🟨,
- 64', 4 - 0, Duran C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 67', Simakala B. ↓, Isgandarov U. ↑,
- 72', Addai E. ↓, Qurbanly M. ↑,
- 72', Zoubir A. ↓, Jankovic M. ↑,
- 80', Cafarquliyev E. ↓, Bayramov T. ↑,
- 80', Leandro Andrade ↓, Sheydayev R. ↑,
- 80', Dani Bolt ↓, Huseynov A. ↑,
- 83', 5 - 0, Qurbanly M. ⚽,
- 90', 6 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Qarabağ Agdam
71.1% | Draw
18.4% | Araz Naxçıvan
10.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Araz Naxçıvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Araz Naxçıvan than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Qarabağ Agdam - Araz Naxçıvan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.28 ↓
(1.34) |
4.93 ↑
(4.63) |
8.67 ↑
(7.98) |
10.2%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Qarabağ Agdam - Araz Naxçıvan?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Qarabağ will win (votes: 5 - 100%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Qarabağ (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.5 - Qarabağ (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2 - Araz (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Qarabağ (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Araz (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Qarabağ won 4.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Qarabağ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Qarabağ is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Qarabağ won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:10. (average 2.6:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Qarabağ won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:3. (average 3:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Qarabağ Agdam won against Araz Naxçıvan?
Qarabağ Agdam has won 9 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Araz Naxçıvan won against Qarabağ Agdam?
Araz Naxçıvan has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Qarabağ Agdam - Araz Naxçıvan were as follows:
14.12.2025
Qarabağ Agdam
-
Araz Naxçıvan
5:1
21.09.2025
Araz Naxçıvan
-
Qarabağ Agdam
0:5
11.05.2025
Qarabağ Agdam
-
Araz Naxçıvan
2:0
23.04.2025
Qarabağ Agdam
-
Araz Naxçıvan
3:0
02.04.2025
Araz Naxçıvan
-
Qarabağ Agdam
1:0
Latest results of Qarabağ Agdam
Latest results of Araz Naxçıvan
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 66:21 | 45 | 66 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 55:18 | 37 | 56 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Zira | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 36:30 | 6 | 44 |
| 5 | Neftci Baku | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 44:24 | 20 | 43 |
| 6 | Araz | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 37:49 | -12 | 39 |
| 7 | Shamakhi | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 25:28 | -3 | 32 |
| 8 | Sumqayit | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 35:40 | -5 | 32 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 20:37 | -17 | 26 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 22:54 | -32 | 21 |
| 11 | Gabala | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 25:43 | -18 | 19 |
| 12 | Karvan | 27 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 20:57 | -37 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
