Result
5:1
14/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 15
- Referee: Ahmadov R. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 30', 1 - 0, Bayramov T. ⚽,
- 37', Rodrigues N. 🟨,
- 41', 2 - 0, Akhundzade N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Paro I. ↓, Buludov O. ↑,
- 57', 3 - 0, Montiel J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 61', Rodrigues N. ↓, Ramon Machado ↑,
- 61', Diniyev C. ↓, Ahmadzada M. ↑,
- 68', Leandro Andrade 🟨,
- 68', Wanderson 🟨,
- 68', Sheydayev R. ↓, Addai E. ↑,
- 68', Qurbanly M. ↓, Duran C. ↑,
- 71', Andrade P. ↓, Cohen B. ↑,
- 72', 4 - 0, Leandro Andrade ⚽,
- 76', 4 - 1, Ramon Machado (Penalty Awarded),
- 76', Pedro Bicalho ↓, Cafarquliyev E. ↑,
- 76', Leandro Andrade ↓, Zoubir A. ↑,
- 84', Montiel J. ↓, Chriso ↑,
- 86', Abbasov U. 🟨,
- 90+5', Simakala B. 🟨,
- 90+6', 5 - 1, Bayramov T. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Qarabağ Agdam
65.8% | Draw
20.1% | Araz Naxçıvan
14.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Qarabağ Agdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Araz Naxçıvan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Qarabağ Agdam, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Araz Naxçıvan than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Qarabağ Agdam - Araz Naxçıvan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↑
(1.33) |
4.56 ↓
(4.73) |
6.51 ↓
(8.08) |
9.1%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Qarabağ Agdam - Araz Naxçıvan?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Qarabağ will win (votes: 6 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Qarabağ (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Qarabağ won 4.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, Araz has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Qarabağ is the clear favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Qarabağ won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:9. (average 2.4:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Qarabağ won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:2. (average 2.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Qarabağ Agdam won against Araz Naxçıvan?
Qarabağ Agdam has won 8 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Araz Naxçıvan won against Qarabağ Agdam?
Araz Naxçıvan has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Qarabağ Agdam - Araz Naxçıvan were as follows:
21.09.2025
Araz Naxçıvan
-
Qarabağ Agdam
0:5
11.05.2025
Qarabağ Agdam
-
Araz Naxçıvan
2:0
23.04.2025
Qarabağ Agdam
-
Araz Naxçıvan
3:0
02.04.2025
Araz Naxçıvan
-
Qarabağ Agdam
1:0
08.03.2025
Araz Naxçıvan
-
Qarabağ Agdam
1:3
Latest results of Qarabağ Agdam
Latest results of Araz Naxçıvan
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 45:15 | 30 | 53 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 39:16 | 23 | 46 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 27:14 | 13 | 41 |
| 4 | Zira | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 38 |
| 5 | Araz | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 6 | Neftci Baku | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 30:20 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Sumqayit | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 31:30 | 1 | 31 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:26 | -3 | 26 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 18:25 | -7 | 21 |
| 10 | Gabala | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 19:29 | -10 | 16 |
| 11 | Kapaz | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 17:45 | -28 | 16 |
| 12 | Karvan | 22 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14:45 | -31 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
