Result
0:5
21/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 5
- Referee: Aghayev A. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 14 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 4', 0 - 1, Bayramov T. ⚽,
- 11', Alxasov 🟨,
- 27', Alxasov 🟥,
- 28', 0 - 2, Bayramov T. (Pen),
- 32', Rodrigues N. ↓, Bruno Franco ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Boli C. ↓, Simakala B. ↑,
- 50', Abbasov U. 🟨,
- 52', 0 - 3, Qurbanly M. ⚽,
- 59', Wanderson ↓, Ahmadzada M. ↑,
- 60', Santos F. 🟨,
- 65', 0 - 4, Bayramov T. (Pen),
- 70', Qurbanly M. ↓, Duran C. ↑,
- 70', Huseynov B. ↓, Matheus Silva ↑,
- 70', Leandro Andrade ↓, Zoubir A. ↑,
- 70', Bayramov T. ↓, Cafarquliyev E. ↑,
- 70', Kady Borges ↓, Pedro Bicalho ↑,
- 71', Abbasov U. ↓, Buludov O. ↑,
- 85', 0 - 5, Chriso ⚽,
- 87', Andrade P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Araz Naxçıvan
19.3% | Draw
24.1% | Qarabağ Agdam
56.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Araz Naxçıvan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Qarabağ Agdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Araz Naxçıvan than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Araz Naxçıvan - Qarabağ Agdam Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.03 ↓
(6.09) |
4.03 ↑
(3.83) |
1.71 ↑
(1.5) |
3.1%
(9.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Araz won 1.
- Araz is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Qarabağ has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Araz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Araz has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Qarabağ is considered a favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Araz won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:26. (average 0.8:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Araz won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Araz Naxçıvan won against Qarabağ Agdam?
Araz Naxçıvan has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Qarabağ Agdam won against Araz Naxçıvan?
Qarabağ Agdam has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Araz Naxçıvan - Qarabağ Agdam were as follows:
11.05.2025
Qarabağ Agdam
-
Araz Naxçıvan
2:0
23.04.2025
Qarabağ Agdam
-
Araz Naxçıvan
3:0
02.04.2025
Araz Naxçıvan
-
Qarabağ Agdam
1:0
08.03.2025
Araz Naxçıvan
-
Qarabağ Agdam
1:3
22.12.2024
Qarabağ Agdam
-
Araz Naxçıvan
2:0
Latest results of Araz Naxçıvan
Latest results of Qarabağ Agdam
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Turan Tovuz | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10:4 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Araz | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 14 |
| 3 | Qarabag | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:2 | 9 | 13 |
| 4 | Zira | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 14:7 | 7 | 13 |
| 5 | Sabah Baku | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | Sumqayit | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Shamakhi | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Neftci Baku | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Karvan | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:13 | -9 | 5 |
| 11 | Gabala | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 |
| 12 | Kapaz | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2:20 | -18 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
