Result
1:2
29/03/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 9
- Referee: Heras H. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 32', Oyarzo Y. 🟨,
- 42', 0 - 1, Oyarzo Y. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Togni G. ↓, Muhlethaler S. ↑,
- 46', Oyarzo Y. ↓, Ferreira M. ↑,
- 47', 0 - 2, Vazquez A. ⚽,
- 52', Fernandez N. 🟨,
- 60', Lemos M. 🟨,
- 61', Habib T. ↓, Sosa N. ↑,
- 66', Cairus F. 🟨,
- 68', Cotugno G. 🟨,
- 73', Cairus F. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
- 73', Da Silva S. ↓, Tomatis B. ↑,
- 73', Remedi E. ↓, Jesus Trindade ↑,
- 73', Fernandez N. ↓, Batista F. ↑,
- 81', Sosa N. 🟨,
- 86', Vazquez A. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
- 86', Angulo L. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 2, Olivera M. ⚽,
- 90+3', Varese F. 🟨,
- 90+5', Lemos M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Peñarol de Montevideo
55.1% | Draw
27.1% | Racing Montevideo
17.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Racing Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Peñarol de Montevideo - Racing Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↓
(1.7) |
3.44 ↑
(3.41) |
5.31 ↑
(5.28) |
7.2%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Peñarol de Montevideo - Racing Montevideo?
Users Predictions:
Peñarol de Montevideo will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: ) and 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 2.
- Peñarol is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Racing is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Peñarol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Peñarol is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Peñarol will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 10 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 40:22. (average 2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.5:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Racing Montevideo?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Racing Montevideo won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Racing Montevideo has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Racing Montevideo were as follows:
19.01.2026
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Racing Montevideo
1:0
31.08.2025
Racing Montevideo
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
1:4
09.03.2025
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Racing Montevideo
0:2
30.09.2024
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Racing Montevideo
0:0
16.06.2024
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Racing Montevideo
1:1
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Latest results of Racing Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | 10 | 26 |
| 2 | Penarol | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Maldonado | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 22 |
| 4 | Central Esp | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 18 |
| 5 | Albion | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | Defensor Sp | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9:7 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Nacional | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Montevideo City | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 9 | Danubio | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Cerro Largo | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 | Wanderers | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Liverpool M | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Boston River | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | CA Cerro | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 9 |
| 15 | Juventud | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10:17 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | Progreso | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
