Result
29/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Racing Montevideo
48% | Draw
27.8% | Progreso
24.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Racing Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Racing Montevideo - Progreso Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↓
(2.09) |
3.37 ↑
(3.23) |
3.8 ↑
(3.38) |
7.3%
(8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 3.
- Recent performances by Racing have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Progreso is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Racing might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Racing won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:13. (average 1.7:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:1. (average 2.2:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Racing Montevideo won against Progreso?
Racing Montevideo has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Progreso won against Racing Montevideo?
Progreso has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Racing Montevideo - Progreso were as follows:
22.06.2025
Racing Montevideo
-
Progreso
3:0
30.03.2025
Progreso
-
Racing Montevideo
0:1
21.09.2024
Racing Montevideo
-
Progreso
1:0
07.07.2024
Progreso
-
Racing Montevideo
3:2
10.03.2024
Progreso
-
Racing Montevideo
4:3
Latest results of Racing Montevideo
Latest results of Progreso
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | Boston River | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17:4 | 13 | 18 |
| 3 | Montevideo City | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:9 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Nacional | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19:8 | 11 | 16 |
| 5 | Cerro Largo | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 16 |
| 6 | Defensor Sp | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 15 |
| 7 | Liverpool M | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Danubio | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:9 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 | Miramar | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 10 |
| 10 | Progreso | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | CA Cerro | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Racing Montevideo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:15 | -8 | 10 |
| 13 | Juventud | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5:8 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | Wanderers | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2:11 | -9 | 4 |
| 15 | River Plate | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2:13 | -11 | 2 |
| 16 | Plaza Colonia | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:19 | -14 | 1 |
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