Result
0:0
29/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 9
- Referee: Guerra E. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', Oyarzo Y. 🟨,
- 17', Copelotti M. 🟨,
- 24', Copelotti M. 🟨,
- 34', Lopez P. ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
- 44', Rodriguez Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Oyarzo Y. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
- 63', Paolini M. 🟨,
- 68', Espinosa Dovat T. N. ↓, Alvarez F. ↑,
- 68', Tomatis B. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 69', Trasante G. ↓, Asconeguy D. ↑,
- 69', Fernandez N. ↓, Pinheiro A. ↑,
- 77', Rodriguez Y. ↓, Suarez F. ↑,
- 85', Cougo A. ↓, Kidd F. ↑,
- 90', Carroso H. 🟨,
- 90+4', Ramirez S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Racing Montevideo
46.2% | Draw
29.2% | Progreso
24.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Racing Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Racing Montevideo - Progreso Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↓
(2.09) |
3.21 ↓
(3.23) |
3.8 ↑
(3.38) |
6.6%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Racing Montevideo - Progreso?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Progreso will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 13 and 11)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 3.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Progreso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Racing is the team to beat.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Racing won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:13. (average 1.7:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:1. (average 2.2:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Racing Montevideo won against Progreso?
Racing Montevideo has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Progreso won against Racing Montevideo?
Progreso has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Racing Montevideo - Progreso were as follows:
22.06.2025
Racing Montevideo
-
Progreso
3:0
30.03.2025
Progreso
-
Racing Montevideo
0:1
21.09.2024
Racing Montevideo
-
Progreso
1:0
07.07.2024
Progreso
-
Racing Montevideo
3:2
10.03.2024
Progreso
-
Racing Montevideo
4:3
Latest results of Racing Montevideo
Latest results of Progreso
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 26:9 | 17 | 29 |
| 2 | Nacional | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24:10 | 14 | 24 |
| 3 | Defensor Sp | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 22 |
| 4 | Boston River | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 20:8 | 12 | 21 |
| 5 | Montevideo City | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22:15 | 7 | 21 |
| 6 | Liverpool M | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15:12 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | CA Cerro | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 19 |
| 8 | Cerro Largo | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 18 |
| 9 | Progreso | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15:14 | 1 | 17 |
| 10 | Danubio | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14:11 | 3 | 15 |
| 11 | Miramar | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16:19 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 | Racing Montevideo | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:18 | -9 | 12 |
| 13 | Juventud | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6:10 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | River Plate | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 6:17 | -11 | 7 |
| 15 | Plaza Colonia | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7:21 | -14 | 5 |
| 16 | Wanderers | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5:19 | -14 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
