Racing Montevideo vs Progreso – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Racing Montevideo - Progreso
Result
3:0
22/06/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio - Round 6
  • Referee: Burgos J. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaViju+ Sport
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
97
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
87
Yellow Cards
02
Total shots
97
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
43
Corner Kicks
87
Goalkeeper Saves
42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 38', 1 - 0, Da Silva E. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Fernandez N. , Sosa F. ,
  • 57', Ramirez S. , Cairus F. ,
  • 58', Pinheiro A. , Silva G. ,
  • 58', Rivero J. , Cougo A. ,
  • 61', 2 - 0, Sosa S. ,
  • 64', Brazionis , Pereira A. ,
  • 64', Da Silva E. , Silveira H. ,
  • 75', Copelotti M. , Gonzalez N. ,
  • 75', Trasante G. , Lopez P. ,
  • 78', Espinosa Dovat T. N. , Oyarzo Y. ,
  • 78', Sosa S. , Tomatis B. ,
  • 83', 3 - 0, Tomatis B. ,
  • 88', Lopez P. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Cougo A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Racing Montevideo
47.4%
Draw
29.2%
Progreso
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.9% 28.1% 27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 28.4% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Racing Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Racing Montevideo - Progreso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (2.09)
    3.25
    (3.33)
    3.93
    (3.46)
    6.9%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Racing Montevideo - Progreso?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Progreso will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 4 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Racing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Racing has had a series of away games.
    • Racing could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Racing won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.6:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:1. (average 2:0.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Racing Montevideo - Progreso were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Progreso - Racing Montevideo 0:1
    21.09.2024 Racing Montevideo - Progreso 1:0
    07.07.2024 Progreso - Racing Montevideo 3:2
    10.03.2024 Progreso - Racing Montevideo 4:3
    Latest results of Progreso
    Draw
    Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs

    Final
    1NacionalPenarol0 : 1