Result
2:2
06/12/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 18
- Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (227/300) | 80% (323/402) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 1.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (227/300) | 80% (323/402) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (19/47) | 31% (14/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (97/142) | 66% (59/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (4/25) | 11% (2/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.48 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 23', Mendy B. 🟨,
- 30', Alves R. 🟨,
- 30', Keramitsis D. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 0, Greenwood S. ⚽,
- 40', 2 - 0, Mukairu P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 52', Greenwood S. 🟨,
- 54', 2 - 1, Balde E. ⚽, Grzesik J. (A),
- 59', Kaput M. ↓, Donis C. ↑,
- 59', Lopes V. ↓, Baro R. ↑,
- 67', Pozo J. ↓, Przyborek A. ↑,
- 67', Maurides ↓, Tapsoba A. ↑,
- 67', Balde E. ↓, Wilson-Esbrand J. ↑,
- 69', Loncar D. 🟨,
- 75', Greenwood S. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 2, Tapsoba A. ⚽, Wilson-Esbrand J. (A),
- 82', Grzesik J. 🟨,
- 83', Ndiaye M. 🟨,
- 86', Mukairu P. ↓, Juwara M. ↑,
- 86', Koutris L. ↓, Smolinski K. ↑,
- 90', Wolski R. ↓, Leandro ↑,
Chances of winning
Pogoń Szczecin 45.4% | Draw 26.1% | Radomiak Radom 28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Pogoń Szczecin - Radomiak Radom Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.08 ↑ (1.93) |
3.61 ↑ (3.14) |
3.31 ↓ (3.52) |
6.1% (12.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin - Radomiak Radom?
Users Predictions:
Pogoń Szczecin will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 1.
- Pogoń Szczecin is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Radomiak is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Radomiak may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Pogoń Szczecin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Leo Borges
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Radomiak: Molendowski M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Radomiak Radom?
Pogoń Szczecin has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Radomiak Radom won against Pogoń Szczecin?
Radomiak Radom has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Szczecin - Radomiak Radom were as follows:
20.07.2025
Radomiak Radom
-
Pogoń Szczecin
5:1
10.05.2025
Radomiak Radom
-
Pogoń Szczecin
2:0
08.11.2024
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Radomiak Radom
0:1
16.02.2024
Radomiak Radom
-
Pogoń Szczecin
0:4
13.08.2023
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Radomiak Radom
0:2
Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
Latest results of Radomiak Radom
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 29:24 | 5 | 30 |
| 2 | Wisla Plock | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 20:11 | 9 | 29 |
| 3 | Rakow | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 26:22 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 28:20 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 | Cracovia | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 25:21 | 4 | 27 |
| 6 | Radomiak Radom | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 35:30 | 5 | 26 |
| 7 | Lech Poznan | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 29:26 | 3 | 26 |
| 8 | Zaglebie | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30:24 | 6 | 25 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 23 |
| 10 | Pogon Szczecin | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 28:32 | -4 | 21 |
| 11 | Arka Gdynia | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 15:32 | -17 | 21 |
| 12 | Lechia Gdansk | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 37:37 | 0 | 20 |
| 13 | Widzew Lodz | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 20 |
| 14 | GKS Katowice | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 23:28 | -5 | 20 |
| 15 | Motor Lublin | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 22:27 | -5 | 20 |
| 16 | Legia | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 | Termalica B-B | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 24:35 | -11 | 19 |
| 18 | Piast Gliwice | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18:19 | -1 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1