Pogoń Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
06/12/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 18
  • Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.890.83
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
72
Corner Kicks
97
Passes
76% (227/300)80% (323/402)
Yellow Cards
52
Expected Goals (xG)
1.890.83
xG on target (xGOT)
1.581.52
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
93
Shots outside the Box
67
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
72
Corner Kicks
97
Touches in opposition box
3511
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
72
Free Kicks
1517
Passes
76% (227/300)80% (323/402)
Long passes
40% (19/47)31% (14/45)
Passes in final third
68% (97/142)66% (59/89)
Crosses
16% (4/25)11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.030.81
Throw-ins
1412
Fouls
1715
Tackles
85% (11/13)57% (8/14)
Duels won
5357
Clearances
2728
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.521.58
Goals prevented
-0.48-0.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 23', Mendy B. 🟨,
  • 30', Alves R. 🟨,
  • 30', Keramitsis D. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 0, Greenwood S. ,
  • 40', 2 - 0, Mukairu P. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 52', Greenwood S. 🟨,
  • 54', 2 - 1, Balde E. , Grzesik J. (A),
  • 59', Kaput M. , Donis C. ,
  • 59', Lopes V. , Baro R. ,
  • 67', Pozo J. , Przyborek A. ,
  • 67', Maurides , Tapsoba A. ,
  • 67', Balde E. , Wilson-Esbrand J. ,
  • 69', Loncar D. 🟨,
  • 75', Greenwood S. , Ndiaye M. ,
  • 76', 2 - 2, Tapsoba A. , Wilson-Esbrand J. (A),
  • 82', Grzesik J. 🟨,
  • 83', Ndiaye M. 🟨,
  • 86', Mukairu P. , Juwara M. ,
  • 86', Koutris L. , Smolinski K. ,
  • 90', Wolski R. , Leandro ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Pogoń Szczecin
45.4%
Draw
26.1%
Radomiak Radom
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 28.4% 25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 26.8% 23.9%

Pogoń Szczecin - Radomiak Radom Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.08
(1.93)
3.61
(3.14)
3.31
(3.52)
6.1%
(12.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin - Radomiak Radom?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
  • Users Predictions: Pogoń Szczecin will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pogoń Szczecin will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 1.
    • Pogoń Szczecin is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Radomiak is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Radomiak may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Pogoń Szczecin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Leo Borges (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Radomiak: Molendowski M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Szczecin - Radomiak Radom were as follows:
    20.07.2025 Radomiak Radom - Pogoń Szczecin 5:1
    10.05.2025 Radomiak Radom - Pogoń Szczecin 2:0
    08.11.2024 Pogoń Szczecin - Radomiak Radom 0:1
    16.02.2024 Radomiak Radom - Pogoń Szczecin 0:4
    13.08.2023 Pogoń Szczecin - Radomiak Radom 0:2
    Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
    Latest results of Radomiak Radom
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jagiellonia19105436:231335
    2Wisla Plock2089323:14933
    3Gornik Zabrze20103731:26533
    4Zaglebie2087533:27631
    5Cracovia2087527:22531
    6Rakow2093827:25230
    7Lech Poznan2078531:30129
    8Radomiak Radom1976635:30527
    9Korona Kielce2076724:22227
    10Piast Gliwice2075822:21126
    11GKS Katowice1982926:28-226
    12Lechia Gdansk2085741:39224
    13Motor Lublin2059626:33-724
    14Pogon Szczecin20641030:35-522
    15Arka Gdynia1964917:34-1722
    16Legia2048822:25-320
    17Widzew Lodz20621227:32-520
    18Termalica B-B20551025:37-1220

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1