Ayr United vs Raith Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

31/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Somerset Park (Ayr).

Championship - Round 24
Referee: Hardie R. (Sco)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Ayr United Media, Raith TV

Match Stats


Ball possession
45%	55%
Total shots
9	16
Shots on target
8	11
Corner kicks
2	8
Yellow cards
7	1
Total shots
9	16
Shots on target
8	11
Shots off target
1	5
Corner kicks
2	8

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', McKenzie M. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Dempsey B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 2 - 0, Dowds A. ⚽,
59', Winter A. ↓, Nsio P. ↑,
59', Mullin J. ↓, Vaughan L. ↑,
59', Rowe J. ↓, Matthews R. ↑,
68', Main C. ↓, Summers B. ↑,
69', McMann S. 🟨,
77', 2 - 1, Vaughan L. ⚽, Doherty J. (A),
81', Dowds A. ↓, Oakley G. ↑,
81', Dick L. ↓, Want S. ↑,
82', Bannigan S. 🟨,
85', Finney G. 🟨,
86', Bannigan S. ↓, Bonnar J. ↑,
86', McKenzie M. ↓, Walker E. ↑,
88', Want S. 🟨,
88', King L. 🟨,
89', Brown S. 🟨,
90+1', Holt K. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Ayr United
45.1%

Draw
29.5%

Raith Rovers
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

29.5%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

29.1%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayr United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Raith Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raith Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Ayr United - Raith Rovers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.13)	3.12 ↑ (3.11)	3.63 ↑ (3.36)	8.4% (9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ayr won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Raith may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Ayr is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ayr won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 1.5:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Ayr won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.5:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Ayr United won against Raith Rovers?

Ayr United has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Raith Rovers won against Ayr United?

Raith Rovers has won 7 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Ayr United - Raith Rovers were as follows:

11.10.2025 Raith Rovers - Ayr United 0:2

09.08.2025 Ayr United - Raith Rovers 0:1

05.04.2025 Raith Rovers - Ayr United 1:0

04.01.2025 Ayr United - Raith Rovers 3:0

01.11.2024 Raith Rovers - Ayr United 2:0

Latest results of Ayr United

24.01.2026 Partick Thistle - Ayr United 2:1 ✺

17.01.2026 Dundee United - Ayr United 2:0 ✺

13.01.2026 Ayr United - Stranraer 4:1 ✺

10.01.2026 Ayr United - Airdrieonians 1:1 ✺

27.12.2025 Greenock Morton - Ayr United 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Raith Rovers

27.01.2026 Queens Park - Raith Rovers 1:2 ✺

24.01.2026 Raith Rovers - Queens Park 4:1 ✺

18.01.2026 Aberdeen - Raith Rovers 1:0 ✺

10.01.2026 Raith Rovers - Arbroath 2:3 ✺

06.01.2026 Raith Rovers - Queen of the South 1:0 ✺

Scottish Football Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	St Johnstone	27	15	9	3	50:22	28	54
2	Partick Thistle	27	13	10	4	40:30	10	49
3	Arbroath	27	11	9	7	37:33	4	42
4	Dunfermline	27	10	6	11	37:32	5	36
5	Ayr	26	7	13	6	32:31	1	34
6	Raith	27	7	9	11	28:28	0	30
7	Morton	27	6	12	9	28:36	-8	30
8	Queen's Park	26	6	10	10	28:39	-11	28
9	Airdrieonians	27	6	8	13	23:35	-12	26
10	Ross County	27	6	8	13	25:42	-17	26

      Promotion ~ Premiership
      Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals)
      Championship (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ League One