Result
1:2 ET
11/03/2026 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League 2 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Afghanistan | Ariana |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 China | iQIYI |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Indonesia | MNC Soccer Channel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Malaysia | Astro Arena 2, Astro Go |
 North-macedonia | TDM Desporto |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
 Ukraine | Sport 1 |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball, Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.75 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (349/439) | 85% (504/591) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 2.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 39 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (349/439) | 85% (504/591) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (38/68) | 40% (17/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (60/100) | 72% (150/208) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 22% (8/37) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.96 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 75% (15/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.72 | 1.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 29', 0 - 1, Miura G. ⚽, Nakatani S. (A),
- 33', Sidcley ↓, Promrak A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Limwannasthian T. ↓, Mesa R. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 1, Gleyson ⚽,
- 64', Handa R. 🟨,
- 65', Deni Junior (Penalty Awarded),
- 68', Meshino R. ↓, Welton ↑,
- 68', Suzuki T. ↓, Mito R. ↑,
- 75', Deni Junior ↓, Rakotoharimalala N. ↑,
- 77', Hatsuse R. 🟨,
- 79', Hummet D. ↓, Nawata G. ↑,
- 79', Yamashita R. ↓, Okunuki K. ↑,
- 79', Hatsuse R. ↓, Kishimoto T. ↑,
- 88', Suengchitthawon T. ↓, Srisuwan K. ↑,
- 90+3', Mesa R. 🟨,
- Extra Time (0 - 1)
- 93', Abe S. 🟨,
- 99', 1 - 2, Welton ⚽, Nawata G. (A),
- 105+3', Srisuwan K. ↓, Wonggorn J. ↑,
- 105+3', Promrak A. ↓, Khemdee J. ↑,
- 112', Welton ↓, Kurata S. ↑,
- 116', Jebali I. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/5n7ynkfy
Chances of winning
Ratchaburi
18.4% | Draw
22.4% | Gamba Osaka
59.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ratchaburi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ratchaburi than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Ratchaburi - Gamba Osaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.05 ↑
(4.4) |
4.13 ↑
(3.75) |
1.57 ↓
(1.67) |
7.9%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ratchaburi - Gamba Osaka?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1.5 - Ratchaburi (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Ratchaburi (1.87) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Gamba Osaka will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Gamba Osaka will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Ratchaburi (votes: 3 - 50%). Gamba Osaka (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 1-1. Second leg.
- In recent matches, Ratchaburi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Gamba Osaka is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Ratchaburi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Gamba Osaka has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Gamba Osaka is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ratchaburi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Ratchaburi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Ratchaburi won against Gamba Osaka?
Ratchaburi has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Ratchaburi?
Gamba Osaka has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ratchaburi - Gamba Osaka were as follows:
04.03.2026
Gamba Osaka
-
Ratchaburi
1:1
11.12.2025
Gamba Osaka
-
Ratchaburi
2:0
02.10.2025
Ratchaburi
-
Gamba Osaka
0:2
Latest results of Ratchaburi
Latest results of Gamba Osaka
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Al Zawraa | Al Wasl | 2 : 4, 3 : 2 |
| 2 | Arkadag | Al Nassr | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Sepahan | Al Ahli Doha | 0 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Esteghlal F.C. | Al Hussein | 2 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Pohang | Gamba Osaka | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Ratchaburi | Persib Bandung | 0 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 7 | Bangkok Utd | Macarthur FC | 2 : 2, 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Cong An Ha Noi | Tampines | 1 : 3, 0 : 3 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Al Wasl | Al Nassr | |
| 2 | Al Ahli Doha | Al Hussein | |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | Ratchaburi | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Bangkok Utd | Tampines | 2 : 2, 2 : 1 |
Semi-finalsFinal
