RB Leipzig vs Sporting Lisbon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
2:1
22/01/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 7
  • Referee: Lukjancukas M. (Ltu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
argentinaArgentinaFox Sports
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1, Moja TV
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Max, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action, Voyo
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileESPN Premium
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFranceCanal+ Live 2
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 1
icelandIcelandViaplay, Vodafone Sport
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player
italyItalyNOW TV, Sky Sport 254
japanJapanWowow Prime
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport, Q Sport
kosovoKosovoART Motion Sport 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
montenegroMontenegroArena Premium 1
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaArena Premium 1, TDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 2
portugalPortugalSport TV5
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 2
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyTRT 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4, Virgin Media More
usaUsaCBS, Paramount+, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
uzbekistanUzbekistanZor TV
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
vietnamVietnamON Football, TV 360
worldWorldDisney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app, Virgin TV Go app

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.300.79
Ball Possession
47%53%
Goal Attempts
1017
Shots on Goal
62
Shots off Goal
36
Blocked Shots
19
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
09
Shots inside the Box
511
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
Free Kicks
615
Offsides
33
Fouls
156
Yellow Cards
30
Throw-ins
2022
Touches in the Opposition Box
1830
Passes
82% (376/457)83% (413/498)
Passes in the final third
64% (57/89)72% (103/143)
Crosses
33% (2/6)14% (3/22)
Tackles
70% (16/23)61% (11/18)
Clearances Total
3416
Interceptions
77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Sesko B. ⚽, Raum D. (A),
  • 29', St. Juste J. ↓, Inacio G. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 55', Debast Z. ↓, Morita H. ↑,
  • 55', Catamo G. ↓, Braganca D. ↑,
  • 55', Harder C. ↓, Gyokeres V. ↑,
  • 61', Raum D. ↓, Klostermann L. ↑,
  • 61', Simons X. ↓, Nusa A. ↑,
  • 62', Openda L. ↓, Poulsen Y. ↑,
  • 69', Haidara A. ↓, Kampl K. ↑,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Gyokeres V. ⚽, Braganca D. (A),
  • 76', Fresneda I. ↓, Esgaio R. ↑,
  • 78', 2 - 1, Poulsen Y. ⚽, Baumgartner C. (A),
  • 79', Raum D. 🟨,
  • 84', Baumgartner C. ↓, Vermeeren A. ↑,
  • 86', Vandevoordt M. 🟨,
  • 87', Orban W. 🟨,

Chances of winning


RB Leipzig
31.3%		Draw
25.6%		Sporting Lisbon
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.2% 26.5% 41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5% 27.1% 42.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-1%)
    •

    RB Leipzig - Sporting Lisbon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.08 ↑
    (2.97)    		 3.74 ↑
    (3.6)    		 2.23 ↓
    (2.32)    		 4%
    (4.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for RB Leipzig - Sporting Lisbon?
  • Users Predictions: Sporting Lisbon will win (97 of 118 users predict this - 82.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 75.3% – 89.1%. The data is statistically significant.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Recent matches RB Leipzig is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Sporting is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • RB Leipzig could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Sporting will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in RB Leipzig: Andre Silva (Calf Injury) Henrichs B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Sporting: Goncalves P. (Muscle Injury) Matheus Reis (Thigh Injury) Santos N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sporting: Quaresma E. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    18.01.2025 Bochum - RB Leipzig 3:3 ✺
    15.01.2025 Stuttgart - RB Leipzig 2:1 ✺
    12.01.2025 RB Leipzig - Werder Bremen 4:2 ✺
    20.12.2024 Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig 5:1 ✺
    15.12.2024 RB Leipzig - Eintracht Frankfurt 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    18.01.2025 Rio Ave - Sporting Lisbon 0:3 ✺
    11.01.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Benfica 1:2 ✺
    07.01.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Porto 1:0 ✺
    03.01.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - Sporting Lisbon 4:4 ✺
    29.12.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Benfica 1:0 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    3Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    4Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    5Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    6Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    8Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    9Barcelona (5)Bye
    10Chelsea (6)Bye
    11Liverpool (3)Bye
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Sporting CP (7)Bye
    14Manchester City (8)Bye
    15Arsenal (1)Bye
    16Bayern Munich (2)Bye
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