RB Leipzig vs Sporting Lisbon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League RB Leipzig - Sporting Lisbon
Result
2:1
22/01/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 7
  • Referee: Lukjancukas M. (Ltu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
argentinaArgentinaFox Sports
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1, Moja TV
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Max, Sky+, TNT, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action, Voyo
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileESPN Premium
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFranceCanal+ Live 2
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 1
icelandIcelandViaplay, Vodafone Sport
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player
italyItalyNOW TV, Sky Sport 254
japanJapanWowow Prime
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport, Q Sport
kosovoKosovoART Motion Sport 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
montenegroMontenegroArena Premium 1
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaArena Premium 1, TDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 2
portugalPortugalSport TV5
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 2
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyTRT 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4, Virgin Media More
usaUsaCBS, Paramount+, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
uzbekistanUzbekistanZor TV
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
vietnamVietnamON Football, TV 360
worldWorldDisney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app, Virgin TV Go app

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.300.79
Ball Possession
47%53%
Goal Attempts
1017
Shots on Goal
62
Shots off Goal
36
Blocked Shots
19
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
09
Shots inside the Box
511
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
Free Kicks
615
Offsides
33
Fouls
156
Yellow Cards
30
Throw-ins
2022
Touches in the Opposition Box
1830
Passes
82% (376/457)83% (413/498)
Passes in the final third
64% (57/89)72% (103/143)
Crosses
33% (2/6)14% (3/22)
Tackles
70% (16/23)61% (11/18)
Clearances Total
3416
Interceptions
77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Sesko B. , Raum D. (A),
  • 29', St. Juste J. , Inacio G. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 55', Debast Z. , Morita H. ,
  • 55', Catamo G. , Braganca D. ,
  • 55', Harder C. , Gyokeres V. ,
  • 61', Raum D. , Klostermann L. ,
  • 61', Simons X. , Nusa A. ,
  • 62', Openda L. , Poulsen Y. ,
  • 69', Haidara A. , Kampl K. ,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Gyokeres V. , Braganca D. (A),
  • 76', Fresneda I. , Esgaio R. ,
  • 78', 2 - 1, Poulsen Y. , Baumgartner C. (A),
  • 79', Raum D. 🟨,
  • 84', Baumgartner C. , Vermeeren A. ,
  • 86', Vandevoordt M. 🟨,
  • 87', Orban W. 🟨,

Chances of winning


RB Leipzig
31.3%
Draw
25.6%
Sporting Lisbon
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.2% 26.5% 41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5% 27.1% 42.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • RB Leipzig - Sporting Lisbon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.08
    (2.97)
    3.74
    (3.6)
    2.23
    (2.32)
    4%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for RB Leipzig - Sporting Lisbon?
  • Users Predictions: Sporting Lisbon will win (97 of 118 users predict this - 82.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 75.3%89.1%. The data is statistically significant.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches RB Leipzig is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Sporting is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • RB Leipzig could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Sporting will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in RB Leipzig: Andre Silva (Calf Injury) Henrichs B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Sporting: Goncalves P. (Muscle Injury) Matheus Reis (Thigh Injury) Santos N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sporting: Quaresma E. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    18.01.2025 Bochum - RB Leipzig 3:3
    15.01.2025 Stuttgart - RB Leipzig 2:1
    12.01.2025 RB Leipzig - Werder Bremen 4:2
    20.12.2024 Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig 5:1
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Eintracht Frankfurt11005:143
    2PSG11004:043
    3Club Brugge KV11004:133
    4Sporting CP11004:133
    5Royale Union SG11003:123
    6Bayern Munich11003:123
    7Arsenal11002:023
    8Inter11002:023
    9Manchester City11002:023
    10Qarabag11003:213
    11Liverpool11003:213
    12Barcelona11002:113
    13Real Madrid11002:113
    14Tottenham11001:013
    15Dortmund10104:401
    16Juventus10104:401
    17Bayer Leverkusen10102:201
    18Bodo/Glimt10102:201
    19Slavia Prague10102:201
    20FC Copenhagen10102:201
    21Pafos10100:001
    22Olympiacos Piraeus10100:001
    23Atl. Madrid10012:3-10
    24Benfica10012:3-10
    25Marseille10011:2-10
    26Newcastle10011:2-10
    27Villarreal10010:1-10
    28Chelsea10011:3-20
    29PSV10011:3-20
    30Napoli10010:2-20
    31Ajax10010:2-20
    32Ath Bilbao10010:2-20
    33Monaco10011:4-30
    34Kairat Almaty10011:4-30
    35Galatasaray10011:5-40
    36Atalanta10010:4-40

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