Result
1:2
17/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 38
- Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.69 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (285/399) | 62% (187/301) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (285/399) | 62% (187/301) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (42/96) | 29% (24/82) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (113/185) | 49% (48/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.42 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 32 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 76% (16/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 50 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.21 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 25', 1 - 0, Evans G. ⚽, Beesley J. (A),
- 27', Ward B. ↓, Burns F. ↑,
- 33', 1 - 1, Doyle K. ⚽, Wing L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 64', McKiernan J. J. ↓, Cannon A. ↑,
- 66', Patton S. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan K. ↑,
- 67', Keane W. ↓, Young K. ↑,
- 74', Chauke K. ↓, Williams D. ↑,
- 77', Wing L. 🟨,
- 84', Doyle K. ↓, Ritchie M. ↑,
- 84', Savage C. ↓, Fraser L. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 2, Ehibhatiomhan K. ⚽,
- 90+6', Beesley J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Burton Albion
41% | Draw
28.6% | Reading
30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Burton Albion's performance.Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Reading might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Burton Albion - Reading Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↓
(2.65) |
3.3 ↓
(3.4) |
3.05 ↑
(2.6) |
6.6%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Reading?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Burton (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Reading (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Burton (votes: 1 - 50%). Reading (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 16 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burton won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Burton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Burton will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Burton: Armer J.
(Inactive)
Delap F.
(Inactive)
Gilligan C.
(Inactive)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Revan S.
(Injury)
Webster C.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Reading: Elliott B.
(Inactive)
Kyerewaa D.
(Inactive)
O'Mahony M.
(Inactive)
Roberts H.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Reading: Rinomhota A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Burton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 1.3:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Burton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 2.3:2.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Reading?
Burton Albion has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Reading won against Burton Albion?
Reading has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Reading were as follows:
01.01.2026
Reading
-
Burton Albion
2:0
28.01.2025
Burton Albion
-
Reading
3:2
01.10.2024
Reading
-
Burton Albion
3:1
20.04.2024
Burton Albion
-
Reading
3:2
30.09.2023
Reading
-
Burton Albion
0:0
Latest results of Burton Albion
Latest results of Reading
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
