Result
3:2
28/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: League One - Round 29
- Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.52 | 1.53 |
Ball Possession |
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30% | 70% |
Goal Attempts |
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12 | 16 |
Shots on Goal |
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6 | 4 |
Shots off Goal |
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4 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
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2 | 6 |
Big Chances |
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4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
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10 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
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2 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
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8 | 4 |
Offsides |
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6 | 4 |
Fouls |
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4 | 8 |
Yellow Cards |
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0 | 2 |
Throw-ins |
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16 | 19 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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29 | 26 |
Passes |
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71% (168/238) | 89% (518/579) |
Passes in the final third |
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55% (42/77) | 79% (132/167) |
Crosses |
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48% (12/25) | 27% (9/33) |
Tackles |
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67% (12/18) | 78% (14/18) |
Clearances Total |
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33 | 18 |
Interceptions |
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4 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Burrell R. ⚽, Armer J. (A),
- 29', 2 - 0, Bodvarsson J. ⚽, McKiernan J. J. (A),
- 36', Ehibhatiomhan K. 🟨,
- 44', Garcia A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 60', Ehibhatiomhan K. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
- 60', Garcia A. ↓, Abrefa K. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 1, Craig M. ⚽, Smith S. (A),
- 71', 2 - 2, Smith S. ⚽, Dean H. (A),
- 82', Bodvarsson J. ↓, Bennett M. ↑,
- 86', McKiernan J. J. ↓, Kalinauskas T. ↑,
- 87', Campbell C. ↓, Wareham J. ↑,
- 90+2', 3 - 2, Burrell R. ⚽, Dodgson O. (A),
Chances of winning
Burton Albion 39.4% | Draw 27.9% | Reading 32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Burton Albion - Reading Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.41 ↓ (2.56) |
3.37 ↓ (3.4) |
2.88 ↑ (2.65) |
5.9% (6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Reading?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Reading will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burton: 12% – 65%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 8).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Burton won 2.
- Recent matches Burton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Reading is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Reading could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Burton won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:16 (average 1.3:2.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Burton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:9 (average 2:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Reading?
Burton Albion has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Reading won against Burton Albion?
Reading has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Reading were as follows:
01.10.2024
Reading
-
Burton Albion
3:1
20.04.2024
Burton Albion
-
Reading
3:2
30.09.2023
Reading
-
Burton Albion
0:0
Latest results of Burton Albion
Latest results of Reading
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Stockport County | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Bolton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Reading | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Wigan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Barnsley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Blackpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Cardiff | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Plymouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Doncaster | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Huddersfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Luton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Northampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Port Vale | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Wycombe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Bradford City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Lincoln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Mansfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Peterborough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Rotherham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
21 | Burton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Exeter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
23 | Stevenage | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
24 | AFC Wimbledon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two