Burton Albion vs Reading – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Burton Albion - Reading
Result
3:2
28/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League One - Round 29
  • Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.521.53
Ball Possession
30%70%
Goal Attempts
1216
Shots on Goal
64
Shots off Goal
46
Blocked Shots
26
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
66
Shots inside the Box
1010
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
11
Goalkeeper Saves
23
Free Kicks
84
Offsides
64
Fouls
48
Yellow Cards
02
Throw-ins
1619
Touches in the Opposition Box
2926
Passes
71% (168/238)89% (518/579)
Passes in the final third
55% (42/77)79% (132/167)
Crosses
48% (12/25)27% (9/33)
Tackles
67% (12/18)78% (14/18)
Clearances Total
3318
Interceptions
47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Burrell R. , Armer J. (A),
  • 29', 2 - 0, Bodvarsson J. , McKiernan J. J. (A),
  • 36', Ehibhatiomhan K. 🟨,
  • 44', Garcia A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 60', Ehibhatiomhan K. , Camara M. ,
  • 60', Garcia A. , Abrefa K. ,
  • 69', 2 - 1, Craig M. , Smith S. (A),
  • 71', 2 - 2, Smith S. , Dean H. (A),
  • 82', Bodvarsson J. , Bennett M. ,
  • 86', McKiernan J. J. , Kalinauskas T. ,
  • 87', Campbell C. , Wareham J. ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 2, Burrell R. , Dodgson O. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Burton Albion
39.4%
Draw
27.9%
Reading
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.8% 27.7% 35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7% 27.8% 35.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Burton Albion - Reading Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (2.56)
    3.37
    (3.4)
    2.88
    (2.65)
    5.9%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Reading?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Reading will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Burton: 12%65%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 8).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Burton won 2.
    • Recent matches Burton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Reading is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Reading could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Burton won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:16 (average 1.3:2.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Burton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:9 (average 2:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Reading were as follows:
    01.10.2024 Reading - Burton Albion 3:1
    20.04.2024 Burton Albion - Reading 3:2
    30.09.2023 Reading - Burton Albion 0:0
    Latest results of Burton Albion
    Latest results of Reading
    25.01.2025 Leyton Orient - Reading 2:0
    18.01.2025 Reading - Stockport County 1:3
    11.01.2025 Reading - Burnley 1:3
    01.01.2025 Cambridge United - Reading 1:3
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bradford City1173120:13724
    2Stevenage971115:8722
    3Lincoln1063117:9821
    4Cardiff1062215:6920
    5Huddersfield1061316:11519
    6AFC Wimbledon1060414:12218
    7Luton1051414:11316
    8Stockport County1044215:13216
    9Barnsley951314:12216
    10Doncaster1051410:11-116
    11Bolton1035214:10414
    12Mansfield1042415:13214
    13Northampton94147:8-113
    14Wigan1033414:15-112
    15Plymouth1040615:18-312
    16Port Vale1032510:10011
    17Leyton Orient1032513:18-511
    18Exeter1030710:12-29
    19Reading923410:14-49
    20Wycombe1022611:13-28
    21Rotherham102269:15-68
    22Blackpool1022610:17-78
    23Burton92256:14-88
    24Peterborough102177:18-117

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