Result
3:2
28/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: League One - Round 29
- Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 1.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 30% | 70% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 29 | 26 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (168/238) | 89% (518/579) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 55% (42/77) | 79% (132/167) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 48% (12/25) | 27% (9/33) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 78% (14/18) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 33 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Burrell R. ⚽, Armer J. (A),
- 29', 2 - 0, Bodvarsson J. ⚽, McKiernan J. J. (A),
- 36', Ehibhatiomhan K. 🟨,
- 44', Garcia A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 60', Ehibhatiomhan K. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
- 60', Garcia A. ↓, Abrefa K. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 1, Craig M. ⚽, Smith S. (A),
- 71', 2 - 2, Smith S. ⚽, Dean H. (A),
- 82', Bodvarsson J. ↓, Bennett M. ↑,
- 86', McKiernan J. J. ↓, Kalinauskas T. ↑,
- 87', Campbell C. ↓, Wareham J. ↑,
- 90+2', 3 - 2, Burrell R. ⚽, Dodgson O. (A),
Chances of winning
Burton Albion
39.4% | Draw
27.9% | Reading
32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Burton Albion - Reading Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↓
(2.56) |
3.37 ↓
(3.4) |
2.88 ↑
(2.65) |
5.9%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Reading?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Reading will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burton: 12% – 65%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 8).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Burton won 2.
- Recent matches Burton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Reading is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Reading could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Burton won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:16 (average 1.3:2.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Burton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:9 (average 2:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Reading?
Burton Albion has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Reading won against Burton Albion?
Reading has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Reading were as follows:
01.10.2024
Reading
-
Burton Albion
3:1
20.04.2024
Burton Albion
-
Reading
3:2
30.09.2023
Reading
-
Burton Albion
0:0
Latest results of Burton Albion
Latest results of Reading
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:15 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 6 | Lincoln | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 24 |
| 7 | Bolton | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Mansfield | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 10 | Barnsley | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:16 | 2 | 18 |
| 11 | Northampton | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 10:12 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 | Doncaster | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 13 | Wigan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Luton | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 16 |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 14 |
| 16 | Reading | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 14 |
| 18 | Wycombe | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
| 20 | Exeter | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 21 | Plymouth | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 13 |
| 22 | Burton | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9:20 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 | Blackpool | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
