Result
2:1
18/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 13
- Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 1.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 26 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (308/418) | 67% (208/311) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 1.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 26 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 15 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (308/418) | 67% (208/311) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (22/75) | 30% (24/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (69/115) | 56% (79/140) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 21% (6/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.18 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.04 | -1.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 38', 0 - 1, Wing L. ⚽, Ritchie M. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Osho G. ↓, Fish W. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 1, Kellyman O. ⚽, Kpakio R. (A),
- 64', Kellyman O. ↓, Davies I. ↑,
- 64', Colwill J. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 1, Salech Y. ⚽,
- 69', Doyle K. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan K. ↑,
- 70', Ritchie M. ↓, Kyerewaa D. ↑,
- 70', Abrefa K. ↓, Yiadom A. ↑,
- 74', Dorsett A. J. R. ↓, Jacob M. ↑,
- 76', Trott N. 🟨,
- 79', Willock C. ↓, Ashford C. ↑,
- 86', Lane P. ↓, O'Mahony M. ↑,
- 90', Ashford C. ↓, Ng P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cardiff City
55.9% | Draw
24.8% | Reading
19.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cardiff City's form might have worsened.Reading has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Cardiff City - Reading Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↑
(1.53) |
3.83 ↓
(4.34) |
4.85 ↓
(5.48) |
3.6%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Reading?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Reading will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 3.
- Cardiff has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Reading is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Cardiff may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cardiff is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Cardiff: King E.
(Knee Injury)
Tanner O.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Reading: Camara M.
(Ankle Injury)
Williams D.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Cardiff: Alnwick J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Ng P.
(Hamstring Injury)
Robertson A.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Reading: Fraser L.
(Inactive)
Garcia A.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:27. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Reading?
Cardiff City has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Reading won against Cardiff City?
Reading has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff City - Reading were as follows:
31.07.2024
Cardiff City
-
Reading
2:1
17.02.2023
Cardiff City
-
Reading
1:0
Latest results of Cardiff City
Latest results of Reading
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:11 | 10 | 26 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 26 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 23:16 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 19:15 | 4 | 25 |
| 6 | Lincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 18:11 | 7 | 24 |
| 7 | Bolton | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 19:15 | 4 | 23 |
| 8 | Mansfield | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 19 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 18:18 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 | Luton | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 19 |
| 11 | Barnsley | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 18 |
| 12 | Doncaster | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 18 |
| 13 | Wigan | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 17 |
| 15 | Rotherham | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 13:16 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 | Northampton | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10:13 | -3 | 17 |
| 17 | Wycombe | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:16 | 2 | 16 |
| 18 | Exeter | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 14:14 | 0 | 16 |
| 19 | Reading | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 | Burton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 15 |
| 21 | Port Vale | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
| 22 | Plymouth | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 13 |
| 23 | Blackpool | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13:22 | -9 | 12 |
| 24 | Peterborough | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 10:22 | -12 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
