Result
0:1
08/02/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Aparicio D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 62', Vuelto D. ↓, Cruz N. ↑,
- 62', Ritacco G. ↓, Osorto R. ↑,
- 64', Castillo I. ↓, Ramos O. ↑,
- 64', Castillo R. ↓, Moya B. ↑,
- 66', Rivera J. 🟨,
- 70', Aguilera J. ↓, Arriaga L. ↑,
- 81', Vega Orellana A. N. ↓, Perez C. ↑,
- 81', Nunez M. ↓, Elvir S. ↑,
- 84', Sayago D. 🟨,
- 86', Sayago D. ↓, Hernandez E. ↑,
- 90+3', Samudio C. 🟨,
- 90+6', 0 - 1, Hernandez E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+7', Garcia A. ↓, Capeluto J. ↑,
- 90+8', Mejia C. ↓, Palacios D. ↑,
- 90+8', Osorto R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
CD Marathón
40.7% | Draw
30.7% | Real España
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CD Marathón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that CD Marathón's form might have worsened.Real España has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real España's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Marathón than the current prediction. (+12.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CD Marathón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real España than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real España, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
CD Marathón - Real España Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↑
(1.8) |
2.96 ↓
(3.35) |
3.18 ↓
(4) |
9.9%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for CD Marathón - Real España?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Marathón (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Real España (1.58) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Marathón (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Real España (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marathón won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Marathón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Marathón is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Marathón won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:19. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marathón won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 0.9:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has CD Marathón won against Real España?
CD Marathón has won 7 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real España won against CD Marathón?
Real España has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between CD Marathón - Real España were as follows:
15.10.2025
CD Marathón
-
Real España
0:0
03.08.2025
Real España
-
CD Marathón
1:0
06.04.2025
CD Marathón
-
Real España
1:0
07.02.2025
Real España
-
CD Marathón
1:2
02.11.2024
Real España
-
CD Marathón
0:3
Latest results of CD Marathón
Latest results of Real España
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Real Espana | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16:10 | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | Motagua | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | Marathon | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | Olimpia | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | UPNFM | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Olancho | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Victoria | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Juticalpa | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:17 | -9 | 9 |
| 9 | Platense | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Choloma | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 | Genesis | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:14 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )
