Result
2:0
02/04/2026 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
 North-central-america | Centro America TV |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Jean-Baptiste J. ⚽,
- 21', Tatum Ferrera A. K. 🟨,
- 24', Perez C. 🟨,
- 34', Benavidez J. ↓, Osorto R. ↑,
- 44', Jean-Baptiste J. 🟨,
- 45+2', Vega Orellana A. N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Mejia C. ↓, Palacios D. ↑,
- 48', Rivera J. 🟨,
- 63', Castillo I. ↓, Ramos O. ↑,
- 64', Osorto R. 🟨,
- 76', Vega Orellana A. N. ↓, Sacaza C. ↑,
- 80', Vuelto D. ↓, Arzu E. ↑,
- 80', Hernandez E. ↓, Sayago D. ↑,
- 81', Jean-Baptiste J. 🟨,
- 83', Perez C. ↓, Moya B. ↑,
- 84', Ramirez D. ↓, Capeluto J. ↑,
- 88', Palacios D. 🟨,
- 90+4', Castillo R. 🟨,
- 90+5', 2 - 0, Arzu E. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Real España
35.1% | Draw
30.2% | CD Marathón
34.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real España has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real España's form might have worsened.CD Marathón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real España than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real España, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Marathón than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Real España - CD Marathón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.62 ↑
(2.22) |
3.05 ↓
(3.18) |
2.64 ↓
(2.93) |
8.8%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Real España - CD Marathón?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real España won 2.
- In recent matches, Real España has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Marathón is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real España won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:20. (average 0.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Real España won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Real España won against CD Marathón?
Real España has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has CD Marathón won against Real España?
CD Marathón has won 7 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real España - CD Marathón were as follows:
08.02.2026
CD Marathón
-
Real España
0:1
15.10.2025
CD Marathón
-
Real España
0:0
03.08.2025
Real España
-
CD Marathón
1:0
06.04.2025
CD Marathón
-
Real España
1:0
07.02.2025
Real España
-
CD Marathón
1:2
Latest results of Real España
Latest results of CD Marathón
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Real Espana | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 29:21 | 8 | 30 |
| 2 | Motagua | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 25:10 | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Olancho | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 25:13 | 12 | 27 |
| 4 | Olimpia | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23:12 | 11 | 26 |
| 5 | Marathon | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 21:16 | 5 | 24 |
| 6 | UPNFM | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 17 |
| 7 | Choloma | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15:22 | -7 | 17 |
| 8 | Genesis | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 16 |
| 9 | Platense | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20:21 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Juticalpa | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 14:36 | -22 | 14 |
| 11 | Victoria | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )
