Result
4:3
20/02/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
 North-central-america | Centro America TV |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 20', Garcia D. 🟨,
- 26', Ruiz J. ↓, Ponce J. ↑,
- 41', 1 - 0, Benavidez J. ⚽,
- 43', Herrlein L. 🟨,
- 45+3', 2 - 0, Hernandez E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 46', Ponce J. ↓, Morales M. ↑,
- 48', 3 - 0, Cruz N. ⚽,
- 51', Crisanto L. 🟨,
- 57', 4 - 0, Hernandez E. ⚽,
- 60', Benavidez J. ↓, Ritacco G. ↑,
- 61', Garcia D. ↓, Palacios Y. ↑,
- 62', Palacios D. ↓, Mejia C. ↑,
- 63', Lopez E. ↓, Onofre G. ↑,
- 64', Crisanto L. ↓, Almendares K. ↑,
- 66', 4 - 1, Pena K. ⚽,
- 68', Herrlein L. ↓, Hernandez C. ↑,
- 76', 4 - 2, Pena K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 77', Osorto R. ↓, Arzu E. ↑,
- 79', Nunez Garcia J. 🟨,
- 84', Mejia C. 🟨,
- 85', 4 - 3, Nunez Garcia J. ⚽,
- 88', Vuelto D. ↓, Arana M. ↑,
- 90', Arzu E. 🟨,
- 90+5', Lopez R. 🟨,
- 90+5', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Real España
59.1% | Draw
25.1% | Lobos UPNFM
15.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real España has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real España's form might have worsened.Lobos UPNFM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real España than the current prediction. (+11.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real España, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Real España - Lobos UPNFM Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↑
(1.36) |
3.62 ↓
(4.15) |
5.76 ↓
(7.65) |
10%
(10.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: ) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real España won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Real España may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Real España is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real España won 13 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 34:16. (average 1.7:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Real España won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:6. (average 1.9:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Real España won against Lobos UPNFM?
Real España has won 8 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lobos UPNFM won against Real España?
Lobos UPNFM has won 1 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real España - Lobos UPNFM were as follows:
07.12.2025
Lobos UPNFM
-
Real España
0:0
21.09.2025
Real España
-
Lobos UPNFM
2:0
12.04.2025
Real España
-
Lobos UPNFM
2:1
13.02.2025
Lobos UPNFM
-
Real España
3:4
30.11.2024
Real España
-
Lobos UPNFM
0:0
Latest results of Real España
Latest results of Lobos UPNFM
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Motagua | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 22:8 | 14 | 26 |
| 2 | Real Espana | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 24:17 | 7 | 26 |
| 3 | Olimpia | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21:11 | 10 | 22 |
| 4 | Marathon | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 19:9 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Olancho | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | UPNFM | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Platense | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Choloma | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 11 |
| 9 | Victoria | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14:22 | -8 | 10 |
| 10 | Genesis | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 10 |
| 11 | Juticalpa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12:31 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )
