Result
2:0
21/09/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
 North-central-america | Centro America TV |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', Lopez E. 🟨,
- 33', Romero C. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Tatum Ferrera A. K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Martinez G. ↓, Pena K. ↑,
- 46', Romero C. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
- 51', 2 - 0, Ramirez D. ⚽,
- 55', Lopez E. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
- 55', Mejia G. ↓, Ponce J. ↑,
- 64', Jean-Baptiste J. ↓, Vuelto D. ↑,
- 65', Gustavo Souza ↓, Carter D. ↑,
- 67', Baquedano M. ↓, Morales M. ↑,
- 69', Cruz N. ↓, Cacho D. ↑,
- 84', Garcia R. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
- 88', Giron A. ↓, Palacios D. ↑,
- 88', Hernandez A. 🟨,
- 90+3', Palacios D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Real España
58.7% | Draw
23.6% | Lobos UPNFM
17.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real España has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Lobos UPNFM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real España than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Real España - Lobos UPNFM Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↓
(1.58) |
3.89 ↑
(3.6) |
5.16 ↑
(5) |
9.1%
(11.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real España won 3.
- Real España is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lobos UPNFM is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lobos UPNFM may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Real España is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real España won 12 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 34:18. (average 1.7:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Real España won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:7. (average 1.8:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Real España won against Lobos UPNFM?
Real España has won 7 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lobos UPNFM won against Real España?
Lobos UPNFM has won 1 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real España - Lobos UPNFM were as follows:
12.04.2025
Real España
-
Lobos UPNFM
2:1
13.02.2025
Lobos UPNFM
-
Real España
3:4
30.11.2024
Real España
-
Lobos UPNFM
0:0
22.09.2024
Lobos UPNFM
-
Real España
1:0
03.04.2024
Real España
-
Lobos UPNFM
1:0
Latest results of Real España
Latest results of Lobos UPNFM
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 34 |
| 2 | Marathon | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 30:11 | 19 | 30 |
| 3 | Olancho | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28:20 | 8 | 22 |
| 4 | Real Espana | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 5 | UPNFM | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:27 | -5 | 20 |
| 6 | Platense | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23:16 | 7 | 19 |
| 7 | Motagua | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23:22 | 1 | 19 |
| 8 | Juticalpa | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18:25 | -7 | 17 |
| 9 | Choloma | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 19:38 | -19 | 11 |
| 10 | Genesis | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 18:27 | -9 | 10 |
| 11 | Victoria | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12:30 | -18 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )
