Real España vs Lobos UPNFM – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Honduras Liga Nacional Real España - Lobos UPNFM
Result
2:0
21/09/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hondurasHondurasDeportes TV
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaCentro America TV
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
44
Shots on target
34
Corner Kicks
56
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
44
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
10
Corner Kicks
56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', Lopez E. 🟨,
  • 33', Romero C. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, Tatum Ferrera A. K. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Martinez G. , Pena K. ,
  • 46', Romero C. , Ramirez D. ,
  • 51', 2 - 0, Ramirez D. ,
  • 55', Lopez E. , Hernandez A. ,
  • 55', Mejia G. , Ponce J. ,
  • 64', Jean-Baptiste J. , Vuelto D. ,
  • 65', Gustavo Souza , Carter D. ,
  • 67', Baquedano M. , Morales M. ,
  • 69', Cruz N. , Cacho D. ,
  • 84', Garcia R. , Martinez E. ,
  • 88', Giron A. , Palacios D. ,
  • 88', Hernandez A. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Palacios D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Real España
58.7%
Draw
23.6%
Lobos UPNFM
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57% 25% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2% 24.2% 18.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real España has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Lobos UPNFM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real España than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Real España - Lobos UPNFM Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.58)
    3.89
    (3.6)
    5.16
    (5)
    9.1%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real España won 3.
    • Real España is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Lobos UPNFM is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Lobos UPNFM may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Real España is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real España won 12 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 34:18. (average 1.7:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real España won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:7. (average 1.8:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real España - Lobos UPNFM were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Real España - Lobos UPNFM 2:1
    13.02.2025 Lobos UPNFM - Real España 3:4
    30.11.2024 Real España - Lobos UPNFM 0:0
    22.09.2024 Lobos UPNFM - Real España 1:0
    03.04.2024 Real España - Lobos UPNFM 1:0
    Latest results of Real España
    Latest results of Lobos UPNFM
    18.09.2025 Lobos UPNFM - CD Marathón 2:2
    13.09.2025 Motagua - Lobos UPNFM 3:3
    10.09.2025 Lobos UPNFM - Olancho 1:1
    31.08.2025 Juticalpa - Lobos UPNFM 0:2
    Honduras Liga Nacional Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpia1063124:131121
    2Marathon1054121:81319
    3Olancho1054123:14919
    4Juticalpa1044213:17-416
    5Motagua1043317:16115
    6Platense1042418:12614
    7Real Espana1042415:12314
    8UPNFM1034315:17-213
    9Genesis1023511:15-49
    10Choloma1021712:30-187
    11Victoria101098:23-153

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