Result
2:2
01/02/2026 at 18:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
 North-central-america | Centro America TV |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 19', Vuelto D. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 0, Vuelto D. ⚽,
- 44', 1 - 1, De Olivera R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 55', 1 - 2, Discua O. ⚽,
- 58', Gomez R. 🟨,
- 64', Garcia D. 🟨,
- 67', Garcia A. ↓, Hernandez E. ↑,
- 67', Palacios D. ↓, Mejia C. ↑,
- 70', Ortiz L. 🟨,
- 71', De Olivera R. ↓, Barrios A. ↑,
- 72', Garcia J. ↓, Palma C. ↑,
- 72', Da Silva R. ↓, Mejia C. ↑,
- 77', Vuelto D. ↓, Cruz N. ↑,
- 79', Macias J. ↓, Vega L. ↑,
- 80', 🟨,
- 83', 2 - 2, Hernandez E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 88', Capeluto J. 🟨,
- 88', Portillo J. 🟥,
- 90+1', Palma C. ↓, Santamaria L. ↑,
- 90+5', 🟨,
- 90+6', Flores F. 🟨,
- 90+7', Ritacco G. ↓, Arzu E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Real España
48.1% | Draw
28.8% | Motagua
23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real España has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Motagua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real España than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real España, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Real España - Motagua Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↑
(1.76) |
3.15 ↓
(3.84) |
3.94 ↓
(4.02) |
10%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real España won 2.
- Real España is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Motagua's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Real España may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Real España is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real España won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:26. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Real España won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Real España won against Motagua?
Real España has won 7 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Motagua won against Real España?
Motagua has won 8 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real España - Motagua were as follows:
23.12.2025
Real España
-
Motagua
1:1
13.12.2025
Motagua
-
Real España
0:3
23.11.2025
Real España
-
Motagua
1:2
31.08.2025
Motagua
-
Real España
3:2
17.05.2025
Real España
-
Motagua
2:0
Latest results of Real España
Latest results of Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Real Espana | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16:10 | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | Motagua | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | Marathon | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | Olimpia | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | UPNFM | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Olancho | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Victoria | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Juticalpa | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:17 | -9 | 9 |
| 9 | Platense | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Choloma | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 | Genesis | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:14 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )
