Result
1:1
23/12/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Apertura - Triangulares - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', Melendez C. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 0, Benavidez J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Vega L. ↓, Discua O. ↑,
- 46', Serrano J. ↓, Mejia C. ↑,
- 68', Melendez C. ↓, Palma C. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 1, Mejia C. ⚽,
- 88', Gomez R. 🟨,
- 90', Palma C. 🟨,
- 90', John Kleber 🟨,
- 90+1', Portillo J. ↓, Zapata R. ↑,
- 90+6', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Real España 53.3% | Draw 24.7% | Motagua 22% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Real España - Motagua Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.72 ↓ (1.97) |
3.71 ↑ (3.51) |
4.18 ↑ (3.52) |
8.9% (7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Real España - Motagua?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Real España (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Real España will win
(13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real España won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Real España may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Real España is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real España won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:26. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Real España won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Real España won against Motagua?
Real España has won 7 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Motagua won against Real España?
Motagua has won 8 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real España - Motagua were as follows:
13.12.2025
Motagua
-
Real España
0:3
23.11.2025
Real España
-
Motagua
1:2
31.08.2025
Motagua
-
Real España
3:2
17.05.2025
Real España
-
Motagua
2:0
14.05.2025
Motagua
-
Real España
1:0
Latest results of Real España
Latest results of Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Apertura - TriangularesGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Real Espana | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Motagua | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Marathon | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Olancho | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 3 | Platense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Final)