Real España vs Motagua – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Honduras Liga Nacional Real España - Motagua
Result
2:0
17/05/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Nacional - Clausura - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
139
Shots on target
83
Corner Kicks
39
Yellow Cards
35
Red Cards
10
Total shots
139
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
56
Corner Kicks
39
Goalkeeper Saves
36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', Serrano J. 🟨,
  • 17', 1 - 0, Vuelto D. ,
  • 34', Argueta C. , Gomez R. ,
  • 39', Discua O. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Cardozo Coitinho S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Zapata R. , Portillo J. ,
  • 46', Discua O. , Melendez D. ,
  • 54', Flores F. 🟨,
  • 58', Vuelto D. , Mejia C. ,
  • 62', Licona M. 🟨,
  • 63', Portillo J. 🟨,
  • 74', Flores F. , Romero C. ,
  • 74', Osorto R. , Alvarado E. ,
  • 75', Moya B. , Mencia Hernandez D. J. ,
  • 75', Serrano J. , Mejia Y. ,
  • 75', Melendez C. , Vazquez M. ,
  • 76', Romero C. 🟨,
  • 88', Moreno Y. , Tatum Ferrera A. K. ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 0, Romero C. ,
  • 90+6', Romero C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Real España
40.7%
Draw
33.7%
Motagua
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 27.7% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4% 28.1% 30.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real España has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Motagua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Motagua might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real España than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Motagua could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Real España - Motagua Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.25)
    2.75
    (3.31)
    3.61
    (2.93)
    8.2%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real España won 1.
    • Recent performances by Real España have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Motagua is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Real España may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Real España could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real España won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:25. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real España won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.5:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real España - Motagua were as follows:
    14.05.2025 Motagua - Real España 1:0
    26.04.2025 Motagua - Real España 1:1
    22.02.2025 Real España - Motagua 2:0
    15.12.2024 Motagua - Real España 1:0
    12.12.2024 Real España - Motagua 0:2
    Latest results of Real España
    14.05.2025 Motagua - Real España 1:0
    03.05.2025 Real España - Olancho 1:0
    26.04.2025 Motagua - Real España 1:1
    12.04.2025 Real España - Lobos UPNFM 2:1
    Latest results of Motagua
    Honduras Liga Nacional Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpia330011:299
    2Marathon320110:196
    3Platense32016:246
    4Real Espana32016:336
    5Olancho31115:504
    6UPNFM31114:5-14
    7Juticalpa31112:8-64
    8Genesis21013:303
    9Choloma20114:9-51
    10Motagua20021:4-30
    11Victoria30030:10-100

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