Result
1:1
22/03/2026 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', Flores F. 🟨,
- 31', Melendez D. 🟨,
- 32', Arana M. 🟨,
- 35', 0 - 1, Hernandez E. ⚽,
- 44', Mejia C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Arana M. ↓, Capeluto J. ↑,
- 46', Melendez D. ↓, Reyes A. ↑,
- 52', Lopez L. 🟨,
- 63', Macias J. ↓, John Kleber ↑,
- 73', Vuelto D. ↓, Arzu E. ↑,
- 73', Mejia C. ↓, Palacios D. ↑,
- 73', Gomez R. ↓, Serrano J. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 1, John Kleber ⚽,
- 87', Sayago D. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
- 88', Romario ↓, Mejia C. ↑,
- 90+5', Tatum Ferrera A. K. ↓, Pike C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Motagua
47.8% | Draw
27.9% | Real España
24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motagua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Real España has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real España than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Motagua - Real España Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↓
(1.95) |
3.25 ↓
(3.26) |
3.73 ↑
(3.49) |
10.2%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motagua won 2.
- Motagua is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Real España has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Real España may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Motagua is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Motagua won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:29. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Motagua won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Motagua won against Real España?
Motagua has won 8 of their last 20 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real España won against Motagua?
Real España has won 7 of their last 20 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Motagua - Real España were as follows:
01.02.2026
Real España
-
Motagua
2:2
23.12.2025
Real España
-
Motagua
1:1
13.12.2025
Motagua
-
Real España
0:3
23.11.2025
Real España
-
Motagua
1:2
31.08.2025
Motagua
-
Real España
3:2
Latest results of Motagua
Latest results of Real España
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Real Espana | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 29:21 | 8 | 30 |
| 2 | Motagua | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 25:10 | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Olancho | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 25:13 | 12 | 27 |
| 4 | Olimpia | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23:12 | 11 | 26 |
| 5 | Marathon | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 21:16 | 5 | 24 |
| 6 | UPNFM | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 17 |
| 7 | Choloma | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15:22 | -7 | 17 |
| 8 | Genesis | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 16 |
| 9 | Platense | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20:21 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Juticalpa | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 14:36 | -22 | 14 |
| 11 | Victoria | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )
