Result
3:2
31/08/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
 Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 33', 1 - 0, John Kleber ⚽,
- 37', Discua O. ↓, Nunez J. ↑,
- 38', 2 - 0, Melendez D. ⚽,
- 43', Benavidez J. 🟨,
- 45+1', Garcia D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Nunez M. ↓, Tatum Ferrera A. K. ↑,
- 46', Vuelto D. ↓, Carter D. ↑,
- 48', 2 - 1, Mencia Hernandez D. J. ⚽,
- 63', Mejia C. ↓, Macias J. ↑,
- 63', Serrano J. 🟨,
- 63', Gomez R. 🟨,
- 64', 2 - 2, Benavidez J. ⚽,
- 65', Mencia Hernandez D. J. 🟨,
- 65', 3 - 2, Melendez D. ⚽,
- 70', Gustavo Souza ↓, Moya B. ↑,
- 79', Cruz N. ↓, Romero C. ↑,
- 82', John Kleber ↓, Vazquez M. ↑,
- 83', Argueta C. ↓, Sacaza G. ↑,
- 83', John Kleber 🟨,
- 87', Jean-Baptiste J. ↓, Moreno Y. ↑,
- 90+2', Carter D. 🟨,
- 90+6', Cardozo Coitinho S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Motagua
39.5% | Draw
27.9% | Real España
32.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motagua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Real España has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real España's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real España than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real España, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Motagua - Real España Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↑
(2.18) |
3.29 ↑
(2.99) |
2.8 ↓
(3.42) |
9.2%
(8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motagua won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Real España may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Real España has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Motagua won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Motagua won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Motagua won against Real España?
Motagua has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real España won against Motagua?
Real España has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Motagua - Real España were as follows:
17.05.2025
Real España
-
Motagua
2:0
14.05.2025
Motagua
-
Real España
1:0
26.04.2025
Motagua
-
Real España
1:1
22.02.2025
Real España
-
Motagua
2:0
15.12.2024
Motagua
-
Real España
1:0
Latest results of Motagua
Latest results of Real España
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Marathon | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19:6 | 13 | 18 |
| 2 | Olimpia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 17 |
| 3 | Olancho | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Juticalpa | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:16 | -4 | 14 |
| 5 | Platense | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16:9 | 7 | 13 |
| 6 | UPNFM | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:13 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Real Espana | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Motagua | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Genesis | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
| 10 | Choloma | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:23 | -15 | 4 |
| 11 | Victoria | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5:18 | -13 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )
