Real Madrid Castilla vs CD Guadalajara – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
13/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
104
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
21
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
01
Total shots
104
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
41
Corner Kicks
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 16', Neskes 🟨,
  • 25', 0 - 1, Caropitche S. M. ,
  • 40', Angel M. 🟨,
  • 45+4', 1 - 1, Jimenez D. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 47', Calvo T. 🟨,
  • 48', 🟨,
  • 49', 2 - 1, Mesonero D. ,
  • 61', 3 - 1, Zuniga L. ,
  • 67', Neskes , Samuel ,
  • 67', Munoz P. , Canizo A. ,
  • 77', Tavares R. , Moreno A. ,
  • 77', Caropitche S. M. , Diaz B. ,
  • 83', Diaz B. 🟨,
  • 89', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Real Madrid Castilla
54.7%
Draw
26.7%
CD Guadalajara
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 27.7% 18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4% 27.3% 18.4%

Real Madrid Castilla - CD Guadalajara Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.68
(1.73)
3.45
(3.35)
4.87
(4.95)
9.2%
(7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
  • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid Castilla won 3.
  • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
  • Guadalajara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, Real Madrid Castilla is the team to beat.
  • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid Castilla won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 2.5:1.5).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Real Madrid Castilla won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 3:1.7).
Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
Latest results of CD Guadalajara
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26
PlWDLDiffPts
1Tenerife20152336:102647
2Celta Vigo B20114530:24637
3Pontevedra2097426:17934
4Real Madrid B20102826:26032
5Ath Bilbao B2094723:25-231
6Zamora2086626:22430
7Real Aviles2093829:28130
8Racing Club Ferrol2093824:24030
9Barakaldo2078528:22629
10Lugo2078519:17229
11AD Merida2084828:28028
12Ourense CF2067724:25-125
13Unionistas2066824:27-324
14Arenas Getxo20731023:29-624
15Ponferradina2065922:22023
16CF Talavera20641021:23-222
17Arenteiro20551015:22-720
18Cacereno2047918:28-1019
19Osasuna B20461012:23-1118
20Guadalajara20461020:32-1218

      Promotion ~ LaLiga2
      Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
      Relegation