Result
12/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Real Madrid Castilla
45.2% | Draw
30% | Pontevedra
24.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Pontevedra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (-1%)
Real Madrid Castilla - Pontevedra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↑
(2.03) |
3.08 ↑
(3.05) |
3.71 ↑
(3.66) |
8.6%
(9.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid Castilla won 3.
- Real Madrid Castilla is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Pontevedra has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Real Madrid Castilla will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid Castilla won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Real Madrid Castilla won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid Castilla won against Pontevedra?
Real Madrid Castilla has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pontevedra won against Real Madrid Castilla?
Pontevedra has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid Castilla - Pontevedra were as follows:
29.01.2023
Pontevedra
-
Real Madrid Castilla
1:1
06.11.2022
Real Madrid Castilla
-
Pontevedra
1:0
Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
Latest results of Pontevedra
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16:2 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Racing Club Ferrol | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | Guadalajara | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Real Aviles | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 10 |
| 6 | Pontevedra | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | Zamora | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Ath Bilbao B | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Osasuna B | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Arenteiro | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 8 |
| 11 | CF Talavera | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Barakaldo | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 13 | Lugo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Arenas Getxo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 | Cacereno | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Real Madrid B | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Merida AD | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 | Ponferradina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 4 |
| 19 | Ourense CF | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 |
| 20 | Unionistas | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:10 | -6 | 3 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
