Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Portland Timbers - Real Salt Lake
Result
0:1
16/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Da Silva A. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.050.96
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
92
Passes
78% (316/404)86% (475/551)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.050.96
xG on target (xGOT)
0.350.60
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
2721
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
109
Passes
78% (316/404)86% (475/551)
Long passes
57% (26/46)44% (20/45)
Passes in final third
71% (88/124)63% (70/111)
Crosses
31% (9/29)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.190.88
Throw-ins
239
Fouls
910
Tackles
57% (12/21)52% (11/21)
Duels won
5943
Clearances
2544
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.600.35
Goals prevented
-0.400.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45', Vera B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 52', Ruiz P. 🟨,
  • 55', Fernandez O. , Lassiter A. ,
  • 67', Hidalgo B. 🟨,
  • 69', Mora F. 🟨,
  • 71', Mora F. , Guerra G. ,
  • 71', Mosquera J. , Miller E. ,
  • 73', Junqua S. , Katranis A. ,
  • 73', Agada W. , Piol A. ,
  • 73', Ruiz P. , Eneli E. ,
  • 80', Glad J. , Quinton P. ,
  • 83', 0 - 1, Goncalves D. , Piol A. (A),
  • 86', Ayala D. , Paredes C. ,
  • 90', Luna D. , Marczuk D. ,
  • 90+2', Goncalves D. , Barea J. ,
  • 90+8', Rafael Cabral 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Portland Timbers
41.4%
Draw
25.8%
Real Salt Lake
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.5% 26.5% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5% 25.9% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Real Salt Lake has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portland Timbers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Salt Lake than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Salt Lake, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Portland Timbers - Real Salt Lake Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.1)
    3.68
    (3.6)
    2.94
    (3.41)
    5.1%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Portland Timbers - Real Salt Lake?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Portland will win (votes: 14 - 70%). Salt Lake will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Portland: 49.9%90.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Portland (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland won 2.
    • Portland has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Salt Lake is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Salt Lake may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Portland: Antony (Hamstring Injury) Lassiter A. (Hand Injury) McGraw Z. (Back Injury) Rodriguez J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Salt Lake: Bell M. (Hamstring Injury) Brown J. (Knee Injury) MacMath Z. (Back Injury) Ojeda B. (Yellow Cards) Wolff T. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portland won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 44:24. (average 2.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portland won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 33:12. (average 2.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Timbers - Real Salt Lake were as follows:
    14.05.2025 Real Salt Lake - Portland Timbers 0:0
    21.09.2024 Real Salt Lake - Portland Timbers 3:3
    13.07.2024 Portland Timbers - Real Salt Lake 3:0
    30.08.2023 Portland Timbers - Real Salt Lake 2:1
    17.05.2023 Real Salt Lake - Portland Timbers 0:0
    Latest results of Real Salt Lake
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC27164752:331952
    2Minnesota United27138644:301447
    3Vancouver Whitecaps26137644:291546
    4Seattle Sounders26118743:36741
    5Los Angeles FC24117643:301340
    6Portland Timbers26107935:37-237
    7Colorado Rapids271061136:41-536
    8Austin FC2598824:29-535
    9San Jose Earthquakes27881150:47332
    10Real Salt Lake26941327:33-631
    11FC Dallas26781138:46-829
    12Houston Dynamo26781133:42-929
    13Sporting Kansas City26661437:50-1324
    14St. Louis City26561529:44-1521
    15Los Angeles Galaxy26371629:55-2616


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati27164742:34852
    2Philadelphia Union27156644:261851
    3Nashville SC27145844:311347
    4Orlando City27138653:351847
    5Inter Miami24136553:391445
    6Columbus Crew26129542:37545
    7Charlotte271421145:39644
    8New York City25125836:30641
    9Chicago Fire26116950:44639
    10New York Red Bulls271161042:37539
    11New England Revolution26771233:37-428
    12Toronto FC26581327:34-723
    13Atlanta Utd264101231:49-1822
    14CF Montreal27481525:48-2320
    15DC United27481523:52-2920

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