Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Portland Timbers - Real Salt Lake
Result
3:1
22/10/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Gonzalez G. Jr. (Usa)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.811.01
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1222
Shots on target
87
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
82% (383/465)85% (442/519)
Yellow Cards
05
Expected Goals (xG)
1.811.01
xG on target (xGOT)
2.571.01
Total shots
1222
Shots on target
87
Shots off target
18
Blocked Shots
37
Shots inside the Box
1112
Shots outside the Box
110
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
2547
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1514
Passes
82% (383/465)85% (442/519)
Long passes
52% (24/46)52% (25/48)
Passes in final third
73% (93/128)72% (122/170)
Crosses
27% (6/22)35% (6/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.841.47
Throw-ins
1315
Fouls
1415
Tackles
40% (4/10)44% (4/9)
Duels won
4536
Clearances
4226
Interceptions
420
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
65
xGOT faced
1.012.57
Goals prevented
0.01-0.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 22', Caliskan N. 🟨,
  • 25', 1 - 0, Mora F. ,
  • 37', 2 - 0, Mora F. ,
  • 39', 2 - 1, Glad J. , Goncalves D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Caliskan N. , Eneli E. ,
  • 65', Olatunji V. , Agada W. ,
  • 65', Gozo Z. , Rwan Cruz ,
  • 74', Vera B. 🟨,
  • 78', Antony , Lassiter A. ,
  • 78', Ayala D. , Paredes C. ,
  • 78', Ojeda B. , Barea J. ,
  • 79', Yedlin D. 🟨,
  • 81', 3 - 1, Miller K. , Lassiter A. (A),
  • 84', Luna D. 🟨,
  • 85', Pereira da Costa D. , Ortiz J. ,
  • 85', Mora F. , Kelsy K. ,
  • 88', Yedlin D. , Russell J. ,
  • 88', Katranis A. 🟨,
  • 90', Velde K. , Fernandez O. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Portland Timbers
43.3%
Draw
26.6%
Real Salt Lake
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 25.8% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8% 26.7% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Real Salt Lake has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Salt Lake than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Portland Timbers - Real Salt Lake Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.17)
    3.58
    (3.72)
    3.19
    (3.21)
    4.4%
    (4.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Portland Timbers - Real Salt Lake?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Portland will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Portland: 35.2%92%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland won 2.
    • Portland is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Salt Lake has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Portland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Portland could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Portland: Carballo F. (Lower-Body Injury) Rodriguez J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Salt Lake: Bell M. (Muscle Injury) Bonilla J. (Knee Injury) Brown J. (Knee Injury) MacMath Z. (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Portland: McGraw Z. (Back Injury) Surman F. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portland won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 41:25. (average 2.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portland won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:13. (average 2.5:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Timbers - Real Salt Lake were as follows:
    16.07.2025 Portland Timbers - Real Salt Lake 0:1
    14.05.2025 Real Salt Lake - Portland Timbers 0:0
    21.09.2024 Real Salt Lake - Portland Timbers 3:3
    13.07.2024 Portland Timbers - Real Salt Lake 3:0
    30.08.2023 Portland Timbers - Real Salt Lake 2:1
    Latest results of Portland Timbers
    Latest results of Real Salt Lake
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionBye
    2Chicago FireOrlando City3 : 1
    3CharlotteBye
    4ByeNew York City
    5Inter MiamiBye
    6ByeNashville SC
    7FC CincinnatiBye
    8ByeColumbus Crew
    9San Diego FCBye
    10Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake3 : 1
    11Minnesota UnitedBye
    12ByeSeattle Sounders
    13Los Angeles FCBye
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    16ByeFC Dallas

    1/8-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionChicago Fire
    2CharlotteNew York City
    3Inter MiamiNashville SC1 : 0
    4FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew
    5San Diego FCPortland Timbers
    6Minnesota UnitedSeattle Sounders
    7Los Angeles FCAustin FC
    8Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2