Result
3:1
22/10/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
- Referee: Gonzalez G. Jr. (Usa)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 1.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (383/465) | 85% (442/519) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.57 | 1.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 47 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (383/465) | 85% (442/519) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (24/46) | 52% (25/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (93/128) | 72% (122/170) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 1.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 44% (4/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 20 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.01 | 2.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | -0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 22', Caliskan N. 🟨,
- 25', 1 - 0, Mora F. ⚽,
- 37', 2 - 0, Mora F. ⚽,
- 39', 2 - 1, Glad J. ⚽, Goncalves D. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Caliskan N. ↓, Eneli E. ↑,
- 65', Olatunji V. ↓, Agada W. ↑,
- 65', Gozo Z. ↓, Rwan Cruz ↑,
- 74', Vera B. 🟨,
- 78', Antony ↓, Lassiter A. ↑,
- 78', Ayala D. ↓, Paredes C. ↑,
- 78', Ojeda B. ↓, Barea J. ↑,
- 79', Yedlin D. 🟨,
- 81', 3 - 1, Miller K. ⚽, Lassiter A. (A),
- 84', Luna D. 🟨,
- 85', Pereira da Costa D. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
- 85', Mora F. ↓, Kelsy K. ↑,
- 88', Yedlin D. ↓, Russell J. ↑,
- 88', Katranis A. 🟨,
- 90', Velde K. ↓, Fernandez O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Portland Timbers 43.3% | Draw 26.6% | Real Salt Lake 30.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Real Salt Lake has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Salt Lake than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Portland Timbers - Real Salt Lake Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.22 ↑ (2.17) |
3.58 ↓ (3.72) |
3.19 ↓ (3.21) |
4.4% (4.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Portland Timbers - Real Salt Lake?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Portland will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portland: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland won 2.
- Portland is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Salt Lake has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Portland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Portland could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Portland: Carballo F.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Rodriguez J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Salt Lake: Bell M.
(Muscle Injury)
Bonilla J.
(Knee Injury)
Brown J.
(Knee Injury)
MacMath Z.
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in Portland: McGraw Z.
(Back Injury)
Surman F.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portland won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 41:25. (average 2.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Portland won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:13. (average 2.5:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Portland Timbers won against Real Salt Lake?
Portland Timbers has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Salt Lake won against Portland Timbers?
Real Salt Lake has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Timbers - Real Salt Lake were as follows:
16.07.2025
Portland Timbers
-
Real Salt Lake
0:1
14.05.2025
Real Salt Lake
-
Portland Timbers
0:0
21.09.2024
Real Salt Lake
-
Portland Timbers
3:3
13.07.2024
Portland Timbers
-
Real Salt Lake
3:0
30.08.2023
Portland Timbers
-
Real Salt Lake
2:1
Latest results of Portland Timbers
Latest results of Real Salt Lake
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | New York City | |
| 5 | Inter Miami | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Nashville SC | |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 9 | San Diego FC | Bye | |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | Real Salt Lake | 3 : 1 |
| 11 | Minnesota United | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Seattle Sounders | |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 15 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | FC Dallas | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire | |
| 2 | Charlotte | New York City | |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Nashville SC | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | FC Cincinnati | Columbus Crew | |
| 5 | San Diego FC | Portland Timbers | |
| 6 | Minnesota United | Seattle Sounders | |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC | Austin FC | |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | FC Dallas | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal