Real Sociedad B vs Ponferradina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
11/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 36
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
88
Shots on target
37
Corner Kicks
24
Yellow Cards
52
Total shots
88
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
51
Corner Kicks
24
Goalkeeper Saves
50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Prieto A. (Own goal),
  • 19', 2 - 0, Astiazaran L. ,
  • 33', 2 - 1, Lancho J. ,
  • 43', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
  • 44', Sibille K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 58', 2 - 2, Bustos A. ,
  • 62', Rodriguez M. , Garcia E. ,
  • 63', Merino J. , Garro J. ,
  • 65', Ferrer P. , Valle B. ,
  • 72', Sibille K. , Andujar D. ,
  • 72', Lopez A. , Costa A. ,
  • 72', Cortes J. , Ramon A. ,
  • 76', Astiazaran L. , Orobengoa E. ,
  • 78', Goti Lopez M. 🟨,
  • 82', 3 - 2, Garcia E. ,
  • 83', Lancho J. , Mula A. ,
  • 84', Carbonell T. 🟨,
  • 86', Cabanzon Y. 🟨,
  • 86', Marchal A. , Ramirez D. ,
  • 86', Carbonell T. , Lebarbier A. ,
  • 88', 🟨,
  • 90+3', Carrera G. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Real Sociedad B
32.8%
Draw
29.1%
Ponferradina
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 27.4% 32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5% 28.5% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Sociedad B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Sociedad B's form might have worsened.
  • Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ponferradina's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Sociedad B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ponferradina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Real Sociedad B - Ponferradina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.82
    (2.26)
    3.16
    (3.3)
    2.44
    (2.78)
    8.1%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Real Sociedad B - Ponferradina?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Ponferradina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real Sociedad B won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Sociedad B - Ponferradina were as follows:
    25.08.2024 Ponferradina - Real Sociedad B 0:1
    24.02.2024 Ponferradina - Real Sociedad B 2:0
    03.12.2023 Real Sociedad B - Ponferradina 1:2
    Latest results of Real Sociedad B
    Latest results of Ponferradina
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife25183445:133257
    2Celta Vigo B25146541:301148
    3Pontevedra251010532:201240
    4Ath Bilbao B25116828:28039
    5AD Merida25115935:33238
    6Real Madrid B25115932:33-138
    7Barakaldo25910633:27637
    8Lugo25910625:22337
    9Racing Club Ferrol251141029:28137
    10Ponferradina25106927:22536
    11Unionistas25106934:30436
    12Zamora2598832:30235
    13Real Aviles25941237:43-631
    14Arenas Getxo25931328:36-830
    15Ourense CF25771128:31-328
    16Cacereno25691022:31-927
    17CF Talavera25741425:36-1125
    18Arenteiro25661323:31-824
    19Guadalajara25661322:39-1724
    20Osasuna B25481317:32-1520

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
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