Real Sociedad B vs Ponferradina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
11/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 36
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
88
Shots on target
37
Corner Kicks
24
Yellow Cards
52
Total shots
88
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
51
Corner Kicks
24
Goalkeeper Saves
50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Prieto A. (Own goal),
  • 19', 2 - 0, Astiazaran L. ,
  • 33', 2 - 1, Lancho J. ,
  • 43', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
  • 44', Sibille K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 58', 2 - 2, Bustos A. ,
  • 62', Rodriguez M. , Garcia E. ,
  • 63', Merino J. , Garro J. ,
  • 65', Ferrer P. , Valle B. ,
  • 72', Sibille K. , Andujar D. ,
  • 72', Lopez A. , Costa A. ,
  • 72', Cortes J. , Ramon A. ,
  • 76', Astiazaran L. , Orobengoa E. ,
  • 78', Goti Lopez M. 🟨,
  • 82', 3 - 2, Garcia E. ,
  • 83', Lancho J. , Mula A. ,
  • 84', Carbonell T. 🟨,
  • 86', Cabanzon Y. 🟨,
  • 86', Marchal A. , Ramirez D. ,
  • 86', Carbonell T. , Lebarbier A. ,
  • 88', 🟨,
  • 90+3', Carrera G. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Real Sociedad B
32.8%
Draw
29.1%
Ponferradina
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 27.4% 32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5% 28.5% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Sociedad B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Sociedad B's form might have worsened.
  • Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ponferradina's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Sociedad B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ponferradina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Real Sociedad B - Ponferradina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.82
    (2.26)
    3.16
    (3.3)
    2.44
    (2.78)
    8.1%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Real Sociedad B - Ponferradina?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Ponferradina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real Sociedad B won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Sociedad B - Ponferradina were as follows:
    25.08.2024 Ponferradina - Real Sociedad B 0:1
    24.02.2024 Ponferradina - Real Sociedad B 2:0
    03.12.2023 Real Sociedad B - Ponferradina 1:2
    Latest results of Real Sociedad B
    Latest results of Ponferradina
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife342010455:203570
    2Celta Vigo B341710756:431361
    3Zamora341510946:38855
    4Real Madrid B341581154:431153
    5Pontevedra341314743:261753
    6Ponferradina341491138:29951
    7Barakaldo341312944:341051
    8Unionistas3413101147:44349
    9AD Merida341391244:47-348
    10Arenas Getxo341451540:49-947
    11Lugo3411131032:37-546
    12Racing Club Ferrol341371438:43-546
    13Ath Bilbao B341291334:38-445
    14Real Aviles341191449:56-742
    15Ourense CF349111438:40-238
    16CF Talavera34991633:43-1036
    17Guadalajara34991637:52-1536
    18Cacereno347141331:45-1435
    19Osasuna B34891724:39-1533
    20Arenteiro34691929:46-1727

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation