Rei Sakamoto vs Vilius Gaubas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/04/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Final

Chances of winning


Rei Sakamoto
51.1%
Vilius Gaubas
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.2% 51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 52.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rei Sakamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Rei Sakamoto - Vilius Gaubas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.96)

    1.93
    (1.82)
    6.1%
    (6.1%)
    What is the prediction for Rei Sakamoto - Vilius Gaubas?
  • Users Predictions: Rei Sakamoto will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 159. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 124.
    • Recent performances by Sakamoto have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Gaubas has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Gaubas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Rei Sakamoto
    Latest results of Vilius Gaubas
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Gojo B.2 : 0
    2Harris B.Merida Aguilar D. (13)0 : 2
    3Garin C. (2)Blanchet U. (Alt)2 : 0
    4Pellegrino A.Damm M. (24)0 : 2
    5Svajda Z. (3)Sakamoto R. (WC)0 : 2
    6Gea A.Gaubas V. (22)0 : 2
    7Prizmic D. (4)O'Connell C.2 : 1
    8Piros Z.Barrios Vera T. (21)2 : 0
    9Vukic A. (5)Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 2
    10Moller E.Gaston H. (18)2 : 0
    11Halys Q. (6)Faria J.1 : 2
    12Harris L.McDonald M. (23)2 : 0
    13Kypson P. (7)Kouame M. (WC)2 : 0
    14Travaglia S.Basilashvili N. (20)0 : 2
    15Vallejo D. (8)Martinez P.2 : 0
    16Rocha H.Choinski J. (19)2 : 1
    17Kovacevic A. (9)Echargui M.1 : 2
    18Budkov Kjaer N.Maestrelli F. (16)2 : 0
    19van Assche L. (10)Dedura D. (WC)0 : 2
    20Blanch Dar. (WC)Bonzi B. (15)0 : 2
    21Wu Y. (11)Dhamne M. (WC)2 : 0
    22Virtanen O.Droguet T. (17)1 : 2
    23Hijikata R. (12)Rodesch C.0 : 2
    24Lajovic D.Arnaldi M. (14)2 : 1

    Final
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Merida Aguilar D. (13)
    2Garin C. (2)Damm M. (24)
    3Sakamoto R.Gaubas V. (22)
    4Prizmic D. (4)Piros Z.
    5Llamas Ruiz P.Moller E.
    6Faria J.Harris L.
    7Kypson P. (7)Basilashvili N. (20)
    8Vallejo D. (8)Rocha H.
    9Echargui M.Budkov Kjaer N.
    10Dedura D.Bonzi B. (15)
    11Wu Y. (11)Droguet T. (17)
    12Rodesch C.Lajovic D.