Rennes vs Lorient – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
24/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 19
  • Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, DAZN France, Free, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
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italyItalyLigue 1+
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.831.30
Ball possession
69%31%
Total shots
226
Shots on target
54
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
93
Passes
89% (485/548)68% (173/253)
Yellow cards
20
Expected goals (xG)
1.831.30
xG on target (xGOT)
0.841.17
Total shots
226
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
101
Blocked shots
71
Shots inside the box
135
Shots outside the box
91
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
4614
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free kicks
718
Passes
89% (485/548)68% (173/253)
Long passes
53% (10/19)42% (27/65)
Passes in final third
84% (245/292)60% (36/60)
Crosses
16% (7/43)0% (0/8)
Expected assists (xA)
2.060.23
Throw ins
3119
Fouls
187
Tackles
64% (9/14)45% (5/11)
Duels won
4142
Clearances
1458
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
25
xGOT faced
1.170.84
Goals prevented
-0.830.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Makengo J. , Talbi M. (A),
  • 19', Lepaul E. 🟨,
  • 32', Rongier V. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 59', Frankowski P. , Tamari M. ,
  • 59', Lepaul E. , Meite M. ,
  • 60', Cisse D. , Blas L. ,
  • 63', Karim D. , Pagis P. ,
  • 63', Makengo J. , Avom A. ,
  • 74', Igor Silva , Adjei N. ,
  • 74', Dieng B. , Soumano S. ,
  • 77', Camara M. , Szymanski S. ,
  • 77', 0 - 2, Pagis P. ,
  • 81', Embolo B. , Legendre E. ,

Chances of winning


Rennes
52.3%
Draw
26%
Lorient
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.8% 24.6% 21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4% 24.3% 21.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Rennes - Lorient Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (1.76)
    3.66
    (3.84)
    4.39
    (4.38)
    4.9%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Rennes - Lorient?
  • Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Rennes will win (votes: 21 - 72.4%). Lorient will win (votes: 1 - 3.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 24.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 56.1%88.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Rennes (votes: 7 - 70%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 60%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Rennes (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Rennes (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 0.
    • Rennes has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Lorient is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Lorient may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Lorient has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Rennes is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Lorient: Fadiga B. (Injury) Faye A. (Foot Injury) Katseris P. (Thigh Injury) Tosin A. (Knee Injury) Toure I. (Knee Injury) Yongwa D. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lorient: Avom A. (Ankle Injury) Bamba M. (Knee Injury) Mvuka Mugisha J. (Ankle Injury) Soumano S. (Knee Injury)
    • We predict that Rennes will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:23. (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rennes won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.6:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rennes - Lorient were as follows:
    24.08.2025 Lorient - Rennes 4:0
    03.03.2024 Rennes - Lorient 1:2
    22.10.2023 Lorient - Rennes 2:1
    27.01.2023 Lorient - Rennes 2:1
    Latest results of Rennes
    18.01.2026 Rennes - Le Havre 1:1
    11.01.2026 Chantilly - Rennes 1:3
    03.01.2026 Lille - Rennes 0:2
    21.12.2025 Rennes - Les Sables 3:0
    13.12.2025 Rennes - Brest 3:1
    Latest results of Lorient
    16.01.2026 Monaco - Lorient 1:3
    10.01.2026 Hauts Lyonnais - Lorient 1:3
    04.01.2026 Lorient - Metz 1:1
    20.12.2025 Le Gosier - Lorient 0:7
    14.12.2025 Strasbourg - Lorient 0:0
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG24183353:193457
    2Lens24172545:212453
    3Lyon24143739:261345
    4Marseille24134751:331843
    5Lille24124837:31640
    6Rennes24117638:35340
    7Monaco24114940:36437
    8Strasbourg24105940:31935
    9Brest2496932:34-233
    10Lorient2489734:38-433
    11Toulouse2487933:28531
    12Angers24851122:30-829
    13Le Havre24681020:30-1026
    14Paris FC24681028:40-1226
    15Nice24661230:44-1424
    16Auxerre24461419:35-1618
    17Nantes24451522:41-1917
    18Metz24341722:53-3113

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