Result
0:2
24/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 19
- Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | CCTV-5, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, DAZN France, Free, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Mexico | FOX One, Fox Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.30 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (485/548) | 68% (173/253) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 46 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (485/548) | 68% (173/253) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 42% (27/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 84% (245/292) | 60% (36/60) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (7/43) | 0% (0/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 0.23 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 45% (5/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 58 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.83 | 0.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Makengo J. ⚽, Talbi M. (A),
- 19', Lepaul E. 🟨,
- 32', Rongier V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 59', Frankowski P. ↓, Tamari M. ↑,
- 59', Lepaul E. ↓, Meite M. ↑,
- 60', Cisse D. ↓, Blas L. ↑,
- 63', Karim D. ↓, Pagis P. ↑,
- 63', Makengo J. ↓, Avom A. ↑,
- 74', Igor Silva ↓, Adjei N. ↑,
- 74', Dieng B. ↓, Soumano S. ↑,
- 77', Camara M. ↓, Szymanski S. ↑,
- 77', 0 - 2, Pagis P. ⚽,
- 81', Embolo B. ↓, Legendre E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Rennes
52.3% | Draw
26% | Lorient
21.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Rennes - Lorient Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↑
(1.76) |
3.66 ↓
(3.84) |
4.39 ↑
(4.38) |
4.9%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Rennes - Lorient?
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Rennes will win (votes: 21 - 72.4%). Lorient will win (votes: 1 - 3.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 24.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 56.1% – 88.7%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Rennes (votes: 7 - 70%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 60%) .
- AH -0.75 - Rennes (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Rennes (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 0.
- Rennes has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Lorient is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Lorient may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Lorient has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Rennes is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Lorient: Fadiga B.
(Injury)
Faye A.
(Foot Injury)
Katseris P.
(Thigh Injury)
Tosin A.
(Knee Injury)
Toure I.
(Knee Injury)
Yongwa D.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Lorient: Avom A.
(Ankle Injury)
Bamba M.
(Knee Injury)
Mvuka Mugisha J.
(Ankle Injury)
Soumano S.
(Knee Injury)
- We predict that Rennes will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:23. (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rennes won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Rennes won against Lorient?
Rennes has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lorient won against Rennes?
Lorient has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rennes - Lorient were as follows:
24.08.2025
Lorient
-
Rennes
4:0
03.03.2024
Rennes
-
Lorient
1:2
22.10.2023
Lorient
-
Rennes
2:1
27.01.2023
Lorient
-
Rennes
2:1
Latest results of Lorient
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 27 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 61:23 | 38 | 63 |
| 2 | Lens | 28 | 19 | 2 | 7 | 54:27 | 27 | 59 |
| 3 | Lille | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 49:34 | 15 | 53 |
| 4 | Marseille | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 58:38 | 20 | 52 |
| 5 | Lyon | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 43:29 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | Rennes | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49:41 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Monaco | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 50:43 | 7 | 49 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 46:34 | 12 | 43 |
| 9 | Lorient | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 38:44 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 39:39 | 0 | 37 |
| 11 | Brest | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 37:43 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 | Paris FC | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 37:45 | -8 | 35 |
| 13 | Angers | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 25:39 | -14 | 33 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 24:37 | -13 | 29 |
| 15 | Nice | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 34:56 | -22 | 28 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 24 |
| 17 | Nantes | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 24:45 | -21 | 19 |
| 18 | Metz | 29 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 26:63 | -37 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
