Result
4:0
24/08/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 2
- Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belarus | Okko Sport |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 6 |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
 South-america | ESPN 4 South |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Football |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.23 | 0.07 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (429/486) | 87% (411/474) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.23 | 0.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.39 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 0 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 49 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (429/486) | 87% (411/474) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (23/33) | 42% (22/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (173/218) | 73% (68/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 0% (0/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.14 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 36% (4/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 3.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', Camara M. 🟥,
- 11', Wooh C. 🟥,
- 16', Meite M. ↓, Nagida M. ↑,
- 35', Karim D. 🟨,
- 41', Mendy F. 🟨,
- 45', Soumano S. 🟨,
- 45+4', 1 - 0, Soumano S. ⚽, Avom A. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Mendy F. ↓, Faye A. ↑,
- 47', 2 - 0, Tosin A. ⚽, Kouassi A. (A),
- 56', Soumano S. ↓, Bamba M. ↑,
- 56', Karim D. ↓, Pagis P. ↑,
- 63', Blas L. ↓, Salah I. ↑,
- 63', Rieder F. ↓, Cisse D. ↑,
- 65', 3 - 0, Pagis P. ⚽, Bamba M. (A),
- 66', Tosin A. ↓, Le Bris T. ↑,
- 69', 4 - 0, Le Bris T. ⚽,
- 71', Kouassi A. 🟨,
- 73', Nagida M. ↓, Seidu A. ↑,
- 73', Kouassi A. ↓, Yongwa D. ↑,
- 84', Katseris P. 🟨,
- 86', Abergel L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lorient
42.3% | Draw
31.3% | Rennes
26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorient's performance.Rennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rennes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorient that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (+10.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rennes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lorient - Rennes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↑
(2.5) |
3.5 ↑
(3.4) |
4.35 ↑
(2.5) |
-9%
(9.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lorient - Rennes?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Lorient will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%). Rennes will win (votes: 14 - 51.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 33.1% – 70.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Lorient (votes: 1 - 25%). Rennes (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 4.
- Lorient has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Rennes is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lorient may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Lorient has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Lorient: Adjei N.
(Ankle Injury)
Toure I.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Rennes: Ait Boudlal A.
(Red Card)
Brassier L.
(Ankle Injury)
Frankowski P.
(Injury)
Seidu A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Lorient: Cadiou N.
(Muscle Injury)
Fadiga B.
(Ankle Injury)
Faye A.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:33. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lorient won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Lorient won against Rennes?
Lorient has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rennes won against Lorient?
Rennes has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lorient - Rennes were as follows:
03.03.2024
Rennes
-
Lorient
1:2
22.10.2023
Lorient
-
Rennes
2:1
27.01.2023
Lorient
-
Rennes
2:1
Latest results of Lorient
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Toulouse | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | PSG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Strasbourg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Lille | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Lorient | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Marseille | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Monaco | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Nice | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Lens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Auxerre | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Rennes | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 3 |
| 14 | Brest | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Nantes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
| 17 | Paris FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Metz | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
