Rhode Island vs Sacramento Republic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football  USL League One Cup Rhode Island - Sacramento Republic
Result
0:1 penalties
10/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Cup - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.840.85
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
73% (275/376)78% (300/387)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
0.840.85
xG on target (xGOT)
0.330.62
Total shots
910
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
31
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
57
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
2422
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1718
Passes
73% (275/376)78% (300/387)
Long passes
42% (34/81)36% (25/70)
Passes in final third
58% (70/120)63% (73/115)
Crosses
27% (3/11)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.660.70
Throw-ins
2133
Fouls
1819
Tackles
58% (7/12)58% (14/24)
Duels won
5771
Clearances
2517
Interceptions
91
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.620.33
Goals prevented
0.620.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 8', Sanchez A. 🟨,
  • 28', Bacharach Capdevila H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 50', Shapiro-Thompson A. 🟨,
  • 52', Lopez R. 🟨,
  • 56', Atkinson D. , Brito J. ,
  • 68', Shapiro-Thompson A. , Nodarse F. ,
  • 69', Sanchez A. , Fuson N. ,
  • 77', Fuson N. 🟨,
  • 77', Stoneman G. , Herivaux Z. ,
  • 79', Ross N. , Luis Felipe ,
  • 79', Bennett K. , Wanner D. ,
  • 84', Gurr J. 🟨,
  • Penalties (0 - 3)
  • 1, Lopez R. (Pen),
  • 1, Rodriguez M. (Pen),
  • 2, Cicerone R. (Pen),
  • 2, Williams J. (Pen),
  • 3, Benitez M. (Pen),
  • 3, Fuson N. (Pen),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Rhode Island
32.9%
Draw
33%
Sacramento Republic
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.2% 32.4% 33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7% 33.8% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rhode Island has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rhode Island than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Rhode Island - Sacramento Republic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.86
    (2.73)
    2.85
    (2.88)
    2.76
    (2.8)
    6.4%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Rhode Island has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Sacramento Republic is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Rhode Island has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Sacramento Republic has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rhode Island won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rhode Island won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rhode Island - Sacramento Republic were as follows:
    21.06.2025 Rhode Island - Sacramento Republic 0:2
    11.05.2024 Rhode Island - Sacramento Republic 2:2
    Latest results of Rhode Island